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<;1 /' / SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY May, 1971 Vol. 20, No .5 co IN THIS ISSUE: The I nformation Revolution - And the Bill of Rights Programming and Mini-Computer Costs Cost Savings Possible in Data Preparation Maybe the Computers Can Save Us After All Computer-Controller Interface PE RIODICALS SEC 1263399045 3 2 21SkRa: 0104 180 W SAN CARLOS Sf *01271 SAN JOSF CA 95113 5" ; Nf 01 in m te al Peter Denning, 29, is an Assistant Professor of Electrical Engineering at Princeton. He's also an ACM member and chairman of our committee on special interest groups and committees (SIGs/SICs). He wasn't always as active in ACM. "I joined in 1965 while working on my thesis," says Peter. "Mainly for technical material and a chance to meet other computer professionals. In 1968, I was asked to edit the Operating Systems (SIGOPS) newsletter. I got involved and quickly toe it up, to cover less 's need stronger leader~ should have don't , like performance i computer architecture." lea SIC "Sp AC go } is involved in ACM, I most respected I the computer field. 19 his career. Sharing I making a contribution :er profession. tee co thl on "f\ L c: ing ACM. Fill out and . . >n today . San Jose Public Library FOR OVERTIME A CHARGE OF 5 CENTS A DAY Careful usage of books is expected and any soiling damage or los8 is to be paid for by the borrower. ' Announcement 815 Washington St., Newtonville, Mass. 02160 invites your subscription to: 'The C&A Notebook on COMMON SENSE. ELEMENTARY AND ADVANCED devoted to research, development, exposition, and illustration of the most important (or one of the most important) of all branches of knowledge, i.e., the subject of WHAT IS GENERALLY TRUE AND IMPORTANT = + + + + + + + + Purposes: to to to to help you (and us and anybody) avoid pitfalls to point out new solutions to old problems to stimulate one's resourcefulness prevent mistakes before they happen display new paths around old obstacles to increase one's accomplishments apply in practical situations the observations to improve one's capacities and wisdom of great scientists and wise me For additional information see in the April issue the Editor: Edmund C. Berkeley editorial on page 6 and the article pages 27-31. - - - - - To: - - - - - - - -(may be copied' on any piece of paper)- - - - - - - - - - - - - Computers and Automation 815 Washington St., Newtonville, Mass. 02160 Yes, please enter my subscription to "The C&A Notebook on Common Sense, Elementary and Advanced" ~( ) as a READER, subscription $12 a year (24 issues) Please enroll me~( ) as a PARTICIPATOR, subscription $6 a year (24 issues) In order to be a participator, I AGREE to send to the C&A Notebook reasonable contributions to this project of at least 400 words per month -- of notes, comments, ideas, concepts, principles, examples, anecdotes, proverbs, etc. (Note: Only 10 days grace period!) Please send me a description of "reasonable contributions". Please send me as free premiums for subscribing: 1. Riqht Answers -- a Short Guide to Obtaining Them 2. The Empty Column 3. The Golden Trumpets of Yap Yap ) I enclose $_ _ __ Name ) Please bill me. 4. Strategy in Chess 5. The Barrels and the Elephant 6. The Arqument of the Beard ) Please bill my orqanization. Returnable in 7 days for full refund if not satisfactory (if in salable condition) Title ________________________________________________ Organization___________________________________________________________________________________________ Address (including zip) _________________________________________________________________________________ Signature___________________________________________________________ Purchase Order No. __________________ + Vol. 20, No.5 May, 1971 COnlputers and automation The magazine of the -design, applications, and implications of information process'ing systems. Editor Edmund C. Berkeley Assistant Editors Linda Ladd Lovett Neil D. Macdonald Software Editor Advertising Director Art Directors Contributing Editors Fulfillment Manager 13 [A] PROGRAMMING AND MINI-COMPUTER COSTS by David R. Ellis, Director of Programming, Interdata How to "properly" program a mini-computer; i.e. how to implement software and documentation that yields a minimum cost solution (including performance, testing, training, and maintenance) to some particular task. 30 [A] PLAYING GAMES WITH A COMPUTER by James R. Palmer, Technical Staff, Hughes Aircraft Co. How an effective educational game to teach factory ope~ion was designed employing a computer - and is successfully uSed at a cost of less than $9 per team to play the game. 31 ESSENTIAL COMPUTER CONCEPTS FOR TOP MANAGEMENT[A] by Frank J. Gabriel and the Editor An inventory of sl ightly over 100 computer concepts, proposed In order for top management t~mputers. 19 [A] COST SAVINGS POSSIBLE IN DATA PREPARATION by William J. Primavera, Burroughs Corp. A report on critical factors, including machine utilization, error control, pre-preparation of source data, etc. 38 THE GROWTH OF THE COMPUTER INDUSTRY by James B. Hunter, President, Digital Scientific Corp. Stewart B. Nelson Bernard Lane Ray W. Hass Daniel T. Langdale John Bennett Moses M. Berlin Andrew D. Booth John W. Carr III Ned Chapin Alston S. Householder Leslie Mezei Ted Schoeters Richard E. Sprague Advisory Committee The Computer Industry James J. Cryan Alston S. Householder Bernard Quint William J. McMillan [F] Computers and Earthquakes Edilor;alOffices Berkeley Enterprises, Inc. 33 RESTORATION OF SERVICE AFTER EARTHQUAKE by D. L. Talley, Redcor Corp. 33 UNINTERRUPTIBLE POWER SUPPLY PROTECTED NASA COMPUTER DURING EARTHQUAKE by Robert R. Bentley, General Electric 815 Washington St., Newtonville, Mass. 02160 617-332-5453 [F] [F] Computers and Government AdtJertis;ng Contact 21 [A] MAYBE THE COMPUTERS CAN SAVE US AFTER ALL by Edward You rdon A proposal for a privately owned and operated National I nformation Bureau which would serve as a central source of information for anyone on any subject of reasonable interest. 37 LIFE SUPPORT AND WAR CONTROL SYSTEMS FOR PLANET EARTH by Howard Kurtz, War Control Planners THE PUBLISHER Berkeley Enterprises, Inc. 815 Washington St., Newtonville, Mass. 02160 617-332-5453 Computers and Automation is published monthly (except two issues in June) at 815 Washington .St., Newtonville, Mass. 02160, by Berkeley En· terprises, Inc. Printed in U.S.A. Subscription rates: United States, 11 monthly i~sues and two issues in June (one of which is a directory issue) - $18.50 for 1 year, $36.00 for 2 years; 12 monthly issues (without directory issue in June) - $9.50 for 1 year; $18.00 for 2 years. Canada, add 50¢ a year for postage; foreign, add $3.50 a year for postage. Address all U.S. subscription mail to: Berkeley Enterprises, Inc., 815 Washington St., Newtonville, Mass. 02160. Second Class Postage paid at Boston, Mass. Postmaster: Please, send all forms 3579 to Berkeley Enterprises, Inc., 815 Washington St., Newtonville, Mass. 02160. CD Copyright 1971, by Berkeley Enterprises, Inc. Change of address: If your address changes, please send us both your new address and your old address (as it appears on the magazine address imprint and allow three weeks for the change to be made. 4 [A] Compu ters and Socie ty 8 THE INFORMATION REVOLUTlON[A] AND THE BI LL OF RIGHTS by Jerome B. Wiesner, Provost, and President-Elect, Mass. Inst. of Tech. How an "information tyranny" could develop, unless the legislative and legal systems of this country bring up to date the basic safeguards for protecting the privacy of individuals. COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 36 7 55 32 34 33 LYING BY THE UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT: [A] AN "ACCEPTABLE LEVEL"? by Edmund C. Berkeley, Editor, Computers and Auto~a!ion Apparently the truthful battle toll of American soldiers destroyed by -the war in Vietnam, which the computers in the Pentagon ought to report, is not 54,000 but over 200,000. WHY THE PUBLIC DISLI KES COMPUTERS by Leroy Pope, The News, Framingham, Mass. THOMAS J. WATSON FELLOWSHIPS AWARDED TO 70 STUDENTS FROM 34 COLLEGES by Robert O. Schulze, Thomas J. Watson Foundation $290,000 Awarded in Libel Damages to an Insurance Broker Suing Retail Credit Co., from Computerworld [F] [F] [G] "A Data Bank for Narcotics Addicts" - Comment by Bruce Madsen [F] "To Help Liberate One's Mind from Newspeak" - Comment by M. L. Huber and the Editor [F] Computers, Science, and Assassinations 27 THE ASSASSINATION OF PRESIDENT KENNEDY: [A] The Spatial Chart of Events in Dealey Plaza by Robert B. Cutler, Architect The chart, first published in May 1970, is revised and brought up to date. 34 THE DEATH OF WALTER REUTHER by Terrell L. Elrod and the Editor [A] The Golden Trumpet 54 Stop Expressing Political Polemics, by John Culleton [G] 54 Don't Blame President Nixon by James E. Crow and H. Irvin Smith [G] 54 Masquerading as a Computer Journal, by Patrick M. Cooney [G] 54 Surprise, Delight, and Support for Your Views and Concerns by John R. Macleod [G] 34 C&A Provokes Thin~ing, by Vincent K. Roach [G] 55 Publishing Courage, by Robert W. Carter [G] 55 Oasis of Truth, by Mrs. Grace P. Vale [G] Fron t Cover Pic ture The front cover shows some electronic circuit boards which form the "backbone" of computercontrolled automated warehouses and manufacturing plants. Such boards provide a link or interface between computers and the control systems which run materials through large factories and warehouses. The boards translate "slow" signals of 1/50 second from equipment into microsecond signals suitable for computers. The boards shown are from Cutler-Hammer Industrial Systems Division, Milwaukee, Wisc. Departments Cornputers and Puzzles Across the Editor's Desk Appl ications Educations News Research Frontier Miscellaneous Advertising Index Calendar of Coming Events Monthly Computer Census New Contracts New Installations New Products and Services 40 40 41 42 42 53 39 50 26 Numbles, by Neil Macdonald [C] 39 Problem Corner, by Walter Penney, COP [C] 48 49 43 The Unemployed Compu ter Professional 6 How an Unemployed Computer Professional Might Start His Own Business and Earn a Reasonable Income as His Own Employer [E] by Edmund C. Berkeley, Editor, Computers and Automation 18 The C&A Notebook on Common Sense, Elementary and Advanced [N] The Ninth Annual Computer Art Contest fAl - Article [Cl - Monthly Column Announcemen ts 3 Key [N] [El - Editorial [Fl - Readers' Forum [G] - The Golden Trumpet [Nl - Notice COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 5 EDITORIAL How an Unemployed Computer Professional Might Start His Own Business and Earn a Reasonable Income as His Own Employer It seems to me that many an unemployed computer professional could, if he wished, start his own business, and after a period of something like two to six months earn a reasonable income as his own employer. He might thus attain the pleasant state of NEVER AGAIN being able to be fired. He might even ask himself "If I could work at whatever I wanted, what would I do?" And he might choose work which is closely in accordance with his deepest desires. Important qualifications are needed however in order for that first statement above to be true: • Not all unemployed computer professionals, only some, could do this (the others probably should not try); • The usual entrepreneurial requirements (common sense, perseverance, keen observation, honesty, caution, shrewdness, etc.) must be met; • Good business practices must be learned and followed (the median life of a small business is, I understand, about five years); • In the early stages, both hard work and continual close attention, usually for over 60 hours a week, will be necessary; • The choice of products and services to be offered is a critical question that has to be solved well; etc. Contrary to what many people may think, "ample financing" at the start of a new business - for example, enough money to rent an office, buy furniture, and hire several people for several months before obtaining any sales - is I think not usually desirable. To be able to do this with other people's money (investors' money, for example) has a tendency to encourage wasteful and economically unsound business operation. Bad habits for both persons and businesses are hard to change: it is better not to acquire them. But the large number of successful small businesses (carpenter, gift shop, salesman, copying service, electrician, shoe repair, record and music shop, real estate office, ...) reveals how common are the qualities of the entrepreneur, the businessman. Even in a socialist country like the Soviet Union, the one-man business with no employees is a legal activity. Note that extensive formal education is often unnecessary. The computer profession like a computer itself has much input and much output. Many computer professionals have come into the computer field directly from other fields and without much specialized education. They have previously been in fields such as education, or management, or mathematics, or electrical engineering, or systems design. Similarly, a great many computer professionals may, and will, leave the field for other occupations such as manager, engineer, administrator, lawyer, or entrepreneur. This editorial is a plug for becoming an entrepreneur. In fact there is little reason why many computer professionals need continue to be computer professionals. It does not require seven years of specialized education to learn to be a computer professional - as it does to become a medical doctor. At least some persons with talent can become adequate computer professionals in about two months of assiduous learning and some practice on a computer. And, for many people, a computer or data processor is not hard to understand - not much harder to understand than a machine that will knit socks, or a machine that will weave a pattern in cloth. If a computer person decides to change his main occupation to entrepreneur, what should he produce or offer for sale? There are a great many products and services whicr consumers want, probably more than a million kinds. There are a great many varieties of manufacturing and service organizations which produce these products and services, from those which consist of one man and almost no capital equipment to those which consist of thousands of persons and tens of millions of dollars worth of capital equipment. However, it is not true that all the competitive advantages lie with the big organization. Many kinds of laws such as Parkinson's Law, the Peter Principle, etc., work to the disadvantage of the big organization. And the big organization which may be effective in year N may be almost the opposite in year N plus 3 - after some key people have left or retired or other changes have occurred: witness the Penn Central. In regard to products or services in the computer field, I have noticed at least three items which could have a large market. Also, so far as I know, nobody at present provides them. These are: (1) a negative line feed (Le., a line rollback) on typewriter-like keyboard output from a computer (such as a teletype); (2) a non-standard typing keyboard (such as the Dvorak keyboard) which could save 30% to 50% of human time inputting information into a computer; and (3) methods of computer-assisted documentation of computer programs, which I believe could rescue upwards of a billion dollars worth of computer programs for which effective documentation is almost nonexistent. Outside of the computer field, I have noticed several dozen products and services which it seems to me that many consumers would eagerly buy if the price were reasonable. One example is an electric clock with a nonbreakable plastic case. This would avoid the usual built-in obsolescence of the usual electric alarm clock, which breaks (Continued on next page) 6 COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 READERS' FORUM WHY THE PUBLIC DISLIKES COMPUTERS Leroy Pope From liThe News" Framingham-Natick, Mass. Jan. 8, 1971 A bachelor, leaving a hospital, is handed a bill for delivery of a baby. A New Yorker keeps getting bills from the Motor Vehicle Violation Bureau for a parking ticket he paid three months ago, and each month the fine goes up $5. An accountant loses his checkbook and the bank advises changing his account number. Within three weeks, the bank refuses to honor instructions to make automatic monthly accounts from either the old account number or the new one! Another bank sends a statement to a depositor informing him cheerfully it has paid all ~is monthly bills and has credited his account with the total instead of deducting it! Literally thousands of persons across the country are infuriated and confused each month by such mistakes apparently made by computers. Credit card and other billing mistakes cause the most anguish. "Others are terribly annoyed because they constantly see the computer as an invader of privacy that knows more about you than you want anyone to know," says Felix Kaufman, partner in the accounting firm of Lybrand, Ross Bros. & Montgomery. "But the real reason so many people hate computers is that they are the first machines in history to really move in on our intellectual and emotional lives," Kaufman said. "The computer can't think and certainly can't feel. Yet it gets involved in both intellectual and emotional decision making - such as casting horoscopes and computerized when it is knocked off the bedside table, and falls on the floor. I once asked General Electric to make such a clock; they refused. What qualifications do I have that I might speak as an authority on this subject? One is experience. In 1948, 23 years ago, I resigned from a safe, salaried job in a large life insurance company home office, where I was doing actuarial and methods work, and I started in business for myself, with a part-time secretary. I have now had therefore 23 years of experience operating and running a small business; and we have met over 500 payrolls on time. The business has had ups and downs, and narrow' squeaks; but I am still an eighty percent owner of Berkeley Enterprises Inc.; we have always had enough money in the bank. to pay all our debts as they fell due. We have made a flock of mistakes, and have learned lessons from most of them. Certain misfortunes we have seen no way to avoid, but we dating services," he explained. An insurance company cancels a motorist's liability policy on the basis of a computer "throwout." Of course this is a human decision by an executive to throw out all of a certain class of policyholders. "But the computer gets the blame, and, in a sense, justly so," said Kaufman. "If the company didn't have all its policy data stored in a computer executives would have to hunt up and weigh every case individually before cancelling." The computer thus becomes, in the public mind, either a Machiavellian intelligence or a colossal blunderer. It is neither, it is a slave that does exactly what it is told to do at amazing speed. Nearly all so-called computer errors are human errors. A few are machine errors, mistakes of peripheral reading and printing machines not the computer itself. Take the bachelor startled at being handed a bill for having a baby. Two human errors were involved. The key puncher transposed the code number for his minor operation into the code number for a baby case. "But the programmer made the original mistake. He forgot to program an automatic red light in case an obstetrical or gynecological charge turned up for a male patient," said Kaufman. People started hating computers when the banks began using numbers instead of names to control checking accounts. Women in particular resented it, according to Kaufman. The bright ray in the computer cloud is the act of programming. While relatively young and error prone, it should get better. "Better programming," says Kaufman "eventually will reduce errors and overcome public dislike of the computer." have adapted to the limitations they have placed upon us. If any computer person who reads this editorial is a subscriber to "Computers and Automation", is unemployed, is seriously interested in trying to develop a small business of his own, and is willing to send us certain data about his aptitudes, we will send him: (1) a list. of several dozen products and services for which we have observed a need; (2) some further remarks and guidelines drawn from our experience and thoughts on the subject of operating one's own business. For further information, see the details of this offer on page 29. Edmund C. Berkeley EDITOR COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 7 THE INFORMATION REVOLUTION - AND THE BILL OF RIGHTS "The great danger is that we could become 'information bound', because each step in the development of an 'information tyranny' appeared to be constructive and useful. I suspect that it would be much easier to guard against a malicious oppressor than to avoid being slowly but increasingly dominated by an information Frankenstein of our own creation. " Dr. Jerome B. Wiesner, Provost and President-Elect Massachusetts Institute of Technology Cambridge, Mass. 02139 The way in which we use and control the great new capabilities being created by the information revolution will shape the future character of our society; it may be said, indeed, to be shaping it already. Technology has been providing mankind with new tools and new opportunities for a long Line and, in response, society has evolved new institutions and has changed its physical form. Sometimes these responses have been comfortable and swift, as in the case of the telephone and radio, at other times, they have been halting and painful, requiring repeated trials with many errors to find a new eqUilibrium that was comfortable for the socie ty. Knowledge IS Power For a long time, the rate of technological progress was sufficiently slow to enable society to adapt to the required change without permanent distortion of values. The pace of change is now very swift. We say "time is shorter now", and that is why we are faced with our present problem. To make the matter particularly urgent, information threatens to undo that subtle balance achieved in the Constitution between the people and the state which avoids anarchy on the one hand and tyranny on the other. Nowhere is it more true that "knowledge is power". Information technology puts vastly more power into the hands of government and the private interests that have the resources to use it. To the degree that the Constitution meant for the power to be in the hands of the "governed", the widespread collection of personal information poses a threat to the Constitution itself. There is also no doubt that technology can be and has been used to assist in the violation of the Bill of Rights. But it must be remembered that the violations are made by humans, not by machines. To my non-legal mind, there is even the question of whether the Bill of Rights, drafted in a Simpler time, is adequate to protect man in his relation to the modern state and, whether there isn't a need for additional amendments providing protection for the individual against possible new infringements of his liberties. Based on a statement delivered to the Constitutional Rights SubCommittee of the Senate Judiciary Committee on March 11, 1971. 8 Because many of our difficulties stem from the unforeseen side effects of technology or from the misuses of technological capabilities, there is a growing resentment and antagonism toward science and technology. There is also a widespread feeling that mankind would be better served if we could retreat to a simpler time. Given the present size of the world's population and the complexities of modern society, this hardly seems possible. In fact, I am firmly convinced that only through the sophisticated and careful use of technology can we create a truly decent society. In this circumstance, we must learn to manage technological change effectively for the common good. This, it seems to me, is the particularly important and urgent task of the Congress. Many committees of the Congress are concerned with aspects of this problem (such as the present hearings on the SST), but there is little focus on the overall task. 1984 Could Come Unnoticed Modern information technology provides the potential to add to our general well-being and to enhance human freedom and dignity if properly used by extending our muscles, brainpower and material resources. Yet it also threatens to ensnarl us in a social system in which controls could essentially eliminate human freedom and individual privacy. Improperly exploited computer and communication technology could so markedly restrict the range of individual rights and initiatives that are the hallmark of a free society and the foundations of human dignity as to eliminate meaningful life as we appreciate it. In other words, 1984 could come to pass unnoticed while we applauded our technical achievements. The great danger which must be recognized and counteracted is that such a dc-personalizing state of affairs could occur without specific overt decisions, without high-level encouragement or support and totally independent of malicious intent. The great danger is that we could become "information bound", because each step in the development of an "information tyranny" appeared to be constructive and useful. I suspect that it would be much easier to guard against a malicious oppressor than to avoid being slowly but increasingly dominated by an information COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 Frankenstein of our own creation. (Though we should recognize, I believe, that an effective means of citizen surveillance and intimidation could also provide attractive opportunities for a would-be dictator.) Control of Information Present and growing capabilities for surveillance and control are made possible by modern communication and computational techniques. It is very clear that such capabilities, through data-centralization and manipulation, will continue to grow at an ever increasing rate as our understandings of communications, computation and cognitive processes expand. At the same time, it is obvious that means for effective record keeping, information gathering, and data processing are essential needs of a modern society. The problem is to determine how to reap the maximum assistance from modern technology in running a better society and at the same time, how to keep it from dominating us. In order to do this, we may have to adopt some stern measures in the form of very strict controls on who can do what with private information about any individual in the society. The present capabilities in information collection have already lead to clear-cut infringements of citizens· rights. In fact, even without technological assistance, there have been serious violations of the Constitutional protections by many agencies of the government and by many private organizations. Furthermore, the awareness of security dossiers has inhibited many people in their political activities. What Kind of Society Are We Building? There is one specific point which I would like to stress. The issue of constitutional rights is but one dramatic aspect of the major problem of our time; namely: given so many options by a rapidly developing technological capability, what kind of a society are we going to allow to be created for ourselves and for our descendents? We live at a moment in history - I believe a unique moment - when the decisions we make, the paths we take, will shape the future of man's world for a long time to come. Technology allows us exciting opportunities for shaping a world to our liking, but it also poses the possibilities of a disastrous misstep. People everywhere have begun to appreciate that the thoughtless applications of technology on a large scale, done with the best of intentions and for the most constructive purposes, can frequently have large-scale destructive at least, very unpleasant - side effects. We have slowly come to realize that we can intervene into the workings of the physical world on a scale and in ways that actually threaten man's survival on this planet: Fortunately, there is a widespread reaction against such careless actions;witness the growing concern for the environment and the growing disenchantment with war, particularly nuclear war, as an instrument of foreign policy. The Effects of Small-scale vs. Large-scale Applications I We are also beginning to understand that we can affect man's social and psychological environments in equally disturbing ways. We have learned one particularly important lesson about all of this. It is that technological innovations that are wholly constructive when employed on a small or moderate scale can, with increased and constant COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 application, have such serious impact on the environment or on the society that massive efforts are required to offset their disastrous side effects. Sometimes a technical innovation can affect both the physical and psychological environments. The automobile, electric power and the aeroplane all illustrate this point. The early manufacturers of automobiles hardly anticipated that their machines would produce the Los Angeles smog, the blight of our cities, or the malaise of the suburbs. And even today, the individual user of a bit of technology such as the automobile, a pesticide or a polluting detergent clearly believes that his personal gain greatly outweighs the environmental hazards that his small transgression produces. On the other hand, it is perfectly obvious that citizens of our country are sufficiently concerned about these problems to be willing to legislate against pollution even at the price of considerable inconvenience and cost. They are ready to spend substantial sums of money for less destructive products and large sums to undo the environmental damage from the past. Weapons Control An important lesson can be learned too from our efforts to control weapons systems. It is much easier to stop the application of a specific piece of technology or a specific technique or a new strategy before it has been developed or widely applied, than after the fact. For example, it was relatively straightforward for the United States and the Soviet Union to agree to prohibit the introduction of nuclear weapons in outer space or on the ocean sea beds because these weapons did not exist. In contrast, it has proven impossible to curtail the emergence of anti-ballistic missile systems, even in the face of widespread agreement that they can't be effective, because they do exist and the decision to halt their development and deployment is contrary to the interests of large groups of people. It is perfectly obvious that this is a generally applicable theorem. If we want to avoid traumas from the 'mis-application of technology in the future, we should learn to recognize the inherent environmental or social threats in an early stage of a new technological development. I think that this point is particularly important in the matter of preserving privacy and freedom. The motto "eternal vigilance is the price of liberty" applies here with special meaning. Surveillance of People Modern electronic aids are not required for the operation of a comprehensive surveillance operation. In fact, the very effective security systems run by the Defense Department and the FBI during and after World War II made only modest use of electronic information storage and retrieval. But such systems were consequently quite expensive and also limited in the number of people that they could watch over closely. They freEiuently bogged down when presented with too much information. Large-scale data systems now operated by government bureaus and even private credit bureaus maintain files on tens of millions of people with no difficulty whatsoever. Furthermore, as you know, interconnecting communication networks allow information in separate files to be coordinated and centralized with great ease. In addition, as the software for data analysis becomes more sophisticated, it will be possible to simulate patterns of behavior for individuals and social groups and attempt to predict or anticipate their behavior with the purpose of 9 maintaining better surveillance on individuals who, in one sense or another, might represent a threat to someone having access to the data system. In a way, this was what the Army was doing when it selected anti-war organizers, speakers and demonstrators for particular attention. Apparently, their system was not very effective and it was detected before it could become a substantial threat to the freedom of the individuals involved and to the nation as a whole, but nonetheless, it is an indication of the threat to privacy and freedom that does exist. Who Is Under Surveillance? In fact, I wonder if the full extent of that Army surveillance system has really been exposed? When I was President Kennedy's Science Adviser, I found that it was frequently very difficult to find out the full scope of similar organizations. I have participated in anti-Vietnam war demonstrations, I have spoken at them, I have marched in them, and I have wondered lately whether I am being watched as a threat, as a dangerous enemy of the realm. How do I know if I am under continuous surveillance? The answer is, I don't know. I doubt that anyone is aware of the full extent of the surveillance and information collection activities that go on in this nation. Many people, myself included, have long operated on the assumption that our activities are being monitored. I have also operated under the premise that I should not allow myself to be inhibited by such a possibili ty. I do this because I have great confidence in the basic integrity of the safeguards built into the administrative and judicial system of the country. If I lacked such confidence and did not feel that I could defend myself, were there to be unjust conclusions or accusations, I would undoubtedly feel much more severely restricted. Students Do Feel Inhibited I know that many, many students are afraid to participate in political activities of various kinds which might attract them because of their concern about the consequences of having a record of such activi ties appear in a central file. They fear that at some future date, it might possibly cost them a job, or at least make their clearance for a job difficult to obtain. I don't kno~ to what extent these student fears have any justification, but I can tell you that they are real fears and that they frequently have caused students to back away from activities which attracted them. I might add here that I am not referring to confrontations or planned violence, but participation in seminars, political study groups, etc., that were seriously questioning governmental and social arrangements or policies. Technical Safeguards Are Not Enough There are those who hope that new technology can redress these invasions of personal autonomy, existing or prospective, that information technology makes possible, but I don't share this hope. To be sure, it is possible and desirable to provide technical safeguards against unauthorized access to data banks or information transmission systems. It is even conceivable that computers could be programmed to have their memories fade with time and to eliminate specific identity when the information was being 10 processed to provide social profiles, etc., and such safeguards are highly desirable, but the basic safeguards cannot be provided by new inventions. They must be provided by the legislative and legal system of this country. We must face the need to provide adequate guarantees to individual privacy. Specific Needs I am a communications specialist, not a legal expert, and consequently, I hesitate to propose specific legislation. However, I have spent considerable time thinking about the issues involved and I would like to mention several specific needs which I see. These are: 1) A watchdog authority, perhaps an independent agency, possibly a division of the General Accounting Office, perhaps the FCC, to review regularly the public and private information gathering and processing activities within the country. The agency should have the authority to examine the nature and extent of such activities and should report its findings to the Congress and the public. 2) Congress should set rigid limitations on permissible surveillance activities and establish much stronger safeguards than now exist against misuse of datafile information. 3) Action should be taken as quickly as is feasible to re-establish public confidence in the sanctity of the boundaries of an individual's physical and psychological living space. This will require a number of steps. Outlawing some activities such as the free exchange of private information, collecting data not needed by an agency, etc., will help a good deal. Acknowledging publicly the extent of permissible surveillance and by whom is also important. Requiring disclosure of non-security type data to the concerned individual seems possible in many situations. In the few situations where this will not work, as in national security matters, judicial controls should be strong. 4) Technical means of insuring data security and safeguarding privacy should be developed vigorously and their use required. A Balance Between Threats to Freedom - and Freedom We should be prepared to accept the cost of considerable inefficiency in our various social and governmental pro-. cesses to safeguard our privacy and, as I judge it, our freedom, dignity, happiness and self-respect. By costs, I mean both the financial costs and the loss of a degree of control that the state might otherwise have over genuinely threatening individuals such as criminals and violent revolutionaries. Our task is to achieve a proper balance between the ability to cope with individual threats to the society and its capability to abridge the freedom and happiness of its members. In countries where the legal system cannot be counted on, the people are at the mercy of the administrators and they must hope that the bureaucracy will be benign. Such a situation smothers freedom. Because I believe that an "information tyranny" poses a very serious threat to the survival of a free society in our country, I vigorously recommend that Congress take whatever steps are necessary to bring the Bill of Rights up to date. 0 COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 PROGRAMMING AND MINI-COMPUTER COSTS "Computer ads and brochures often supply many words and few useful facts about software. Documentation on the subject often uses jargon and symbolism that makes it dlfficult for the novice to read. In fact there are few criteria available today to enable anyone to objectively compare the quality of existing software. Yet the dlfference between a costly and a cost-effective use of mini-computers depends on software. " David R. Ellis Interdata, Inc. 2 Crescen t Place Oceanport, N.J. 07757 Minicomputers are gaining in popularity and acceptance at a phenomenal rate. One reason is the apparent getsomething-for-nothing appeal that stems from computers with greater and greater power getting less and less expensive. While it is true that computer hardware costs are falling at a rapid rate because of technological advances, it is not always true that the cost of putting these computers to use is falling proportionately. In fact, the opposite is often the case. Minicomputers of today provide the engineer an unprecedented opportunity to implement or improve an endless variety of data collection, automatic test, and control tasks which otherwise would be handled in a more expensive, manual fashion which is subject to errors. The difference between a costly and a cost-effective use of minicomputers for such applications depends on programming. Minicomputers must be programmed to handle each specified application with specific software. However, the hardware characteristics of many minicomputer systems the computer architecture, memory size, and peripheral devices - do not lend themselves to easy generation of software. In fact, some minis are downright difficult to program. When applying a mini therefore, the application engineer must give careful attention to programming requirements. David R. Ellis received a BSEE degree from Purdue University, and an MSEE and EE degree from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. He joined Interdata in 1967, and is presently the Director of Programming. He has been active in the development of operating systems and systems software for minicomputers since 1964. COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 This article discusses the minicomputer software situation and sets down some guidelines for proper progamming. The phrase "proper programming" means implementing software and documentation that yields a minimum cost solution to some task, the specifications for which must cover operating performance, testing, training and maintenance requirements. Sources of Software The prospective buyer or user with an application problem to solve must ultimately face up to the question: How do I obtain the software necessary for my application? From a computer vendor? From an independent supplier? Or must I write the programs myself? Before trying to answer the questions, let one fact be made clear - the low dollar figures for minicomputers that are quoted in advertisements and news releases do not normally include the specific application software needed to solve your particular problem. System Software What is normally included in the price of the hardware is a set of the appropriate "system software" programs associated with that computer, such as: a. Symbolic Assembler b. Fortran Compiler (if any) c. Other language processors (like Algol, Cobol, if any) d. Operating Systems (i.e. DOS, RTOS, if any) e. Math Library f. Utility routines (i.e. program loader, debug program, editor, conversion routines.) Another type of system program is a diagnostic or test program. Such programs are not normally associated with any application, nor are they used in the software development s'equence. 13 The system software programs do not handle any application problems by themselves. Rather, they serve as tools which help the user to create the types of programs which can be used for specific applications. For example, the use of a minicomputer for process control requires additional programs which read the analog or digital inputs at a proper rate, perform control calculations appropriate to the process being controlled, and generate proper control signals to the valves or actuators which control the process. These programs could be generated with the assistance of the system software programs by someone who understands the process control environment. A program preparation sequence using the assembler might run as follows: a. b. c. d. e. f. g. h. i. Enter bootstrap loader into memory. Enter program loader into memory. Load the editor program. Use the editor program to create source tapes of the user's programs. Load the symbolic assembler. Assemble the source tapes, which convert the symbolic language into binary machine language, punching binary object tapes. Load the assembled binary object tapes into memory. Test and debug the object programs using a debug program. Repeat steps as necessary until the new programs are satisfactory to the user. An exception to the statement that system programs are always provided with the minicomputer hardware occurs with those manufacturers that have unbundled, which means simply that they charge for the system software separately from and in addition to the charge for the hardware. Very few mini manufacturers are unbundled, but the buyer must watch for separate pricing policies. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. An obtainable application package might provide a complete program which performs some entire end-user function, or it might provide a partial solution to a problem, requiring the buyer to make extensive changes or additions. It is seldom clear from the designation or the descriptive literature just how complete an application package really is, or how it is tailored to one's needs. Application software claims need to be scrutinized carefully. To procure the proper application software, you have to know what obtainable packages are available, as well as the considerations involved in developing the system yourself. The Development Process Here are the steps to follow in a typical development process for a minicomputer application system: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6_ 7. S. 9. Application Programs To adapt a mini to your specific application, then, you must acquire application programs. Whether these should be purchased from the vendor, purchased from an independent organization such as a software house, or written by yourself depends on many factors. When dealing with the manufacturer, one factor is how many computers you will need. If several machines are involved, the manufacturer may be interested in producing your application software. On the other hand, if only one computer installation is involved, the manufacturer may not consider it economically feasible to write specific application software. Another significant factor is how closely your application conforms to what other people have done in previous situations. If your job, or a very similar one, has been solved many times before, you stand a much better chance of finding an interested supplier who will provide the needed software at a reasonable price. Pre-Canned Packages There are also companies who offer pre-canned packages that claim to solve certain general problems. Examples of application packages are as follows: 1. 14 IDACS-S from Digital Equipment Corporation for industrial data acquisition and control. DC 2 from Fisher Controls Corporation for process control applications. Key Logic from Redcor for keypunch to disc data collection tasks. FFT from INTERDAT A for on-line Fast Fourier Transform calculations. HP 2000 Series from Hewlett Packard for general purpose in-house time sharing systems. The 270X from INTERDATA for 360 frontend communications handling. 10. Define the system and the project. Evaluate vendors. Acquire minicomputer hardware. Train or acquire the development staff, if necessary. Acquire a special development system, if necessary. Design, write, assemble and test the software. Document the software (for training, operation and maintenance). Install and test the system. Train users of the system (on operation and maintenance ). Write project reports for follow-up on other development projects as needed. In reality, the steps in such a process are iterative in nature, and overlapping in time. For discussion purposes, it is helpful to show them as discrete steps which proceed sequentially. If either the entire application system or the application software is purch~sed, rather than just the minicomputer hardware, then the development process changes somewhat. (See Figure 1.) The actual purchase of the minicomputer hardware (step 3) is but one step in ten. The cost of the hardware may in fact be a small part of the total cost, depending on how much time and effort is required to satisfy the other nine steps. While minicomputer prices have tended to shrink, the cost of people's time or talent has increased; as a result, the ratio of total system costs to hardware costs has risen dramatically. To illustrate, consider a hypothetical application of a modest-configuration mini for automatic testin~ purposes in an industrial plant. The minicomputer system, assuming no large peripheral or bulk-storage devices are involved, may cost approximately $25,000. To estimate the total system cost, it is necessary to estimate the total amount of labor required for the development process. The system definition, vendor evaluation, and hardware purchase may be accomplished with a few people - let's say approxiCOMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 Figure 1 - Application Development Process mately six mari months. The software costs, for training the programmers, implementing and documenting, may be large or small depending on the number and experience level of the people involved. Let's assume that two programmers are involved who need one month each of training, two months each for implementation, and three months each for documentation. Total software costs would then be approximately 12 man months. Installation, Testing, and Training Purchase com lete application system Acquire mini-computer hardware Purchase applications softwar ITrain or acquire dev~ ~~~~~~-=-~taff No I Acquire s p e c i J I l I development --Yes-system as needed I ~N~o Then comes the installation, testing, and training of users of the system. In an industrial operation, these tasks may involve many people, particularly if the automatic testing relates directly to company operations. For example, 10-15 people may be involved for two to three months, which means that from 20-45 man months might be required. Let us assume for this example that 32 man months is a good estimate. Total labor required, then, is 6 + 12 + 32 = 50 man months. These figures are summarized in Figure 2. Assuming for the sake of round numbers that labor costs $1000 per month, then the development costs for the system are approximately $50,000, or twice the cost of the hardware. What does all this have to do, you might wonder, with "proper programming." In the above example, the estimated software development costs are only $12,000. However, the labor expenses for the installation, testing and training of the system, which amounts to $32,000 are a direct function of the quality of the programs and documents produced during the software development phase. Therefore, proper programming in the first stage is essential to minimize the TOTAL system development cost, not just the software development cost. It is worth noting that the software development effort follows (or should follow) the definition phase of a project. A good application and project specification should define the requirements for each phase of the project. For example, a need for good training material and tutorial documents for use by manufacturing personnel should be identified at the outset of the project, since this defines the type of software documentation required. A good definition, therefore, is fundamental to the success of a project. It is certainly necessary before a computer can be programmed properly for a particular application. Programming Considerations Train users of the system Operate and maintain system COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 Computer ads and brochures often supply many words and few useful facts about software. Documentation on the subject often uses jargon and symbolism that makes it difficult for the novice to read. There are few criteria available today to enable anyone to objectively compare the quality of existing software. Here are some guidelines for preparing programs properly. Software Purchase The first point, at the risk of repetition, stresses that all good programs, even those that are purchased, must start with a good project definition. Even when software or an application system is purchased, it must be installed, tested and maintained once it is delivered. Therefore, the specs supplied to the vendor must define what level and quality of documentation is required to satisfy the needs of the users after delivery. Failure to specify this information at the time a purchase is negotiated can lead to later complications for both the buyer and the vendor. 15 Figure 2 - Estimated labor for development of hypothetical industrial test system Estimated No. of People Estimated Man Months Required Defin~ system and} 2 6 Train programmers} Implement software Document software 2 2 4 6 proJ ect Evaluate vendors Buy hardware Install system Test system Train users } 10-15 32 50 largest amount of programs and data that must co-exist in memory at one time. Note that some minicomputers use a portion of core memory for dedicated functions, such as interrupt pointers. The area in memory reserved for these purposes is not available for program storage, and should be deducted when estimating the amount of memory available for programs and data. If the right memory size for the end use is insufficient to allow program preparation, then some other method must be found to develop software for the application system. Some alternatives in this case are: 1. Buy an additional system for development purposes only. 2. Buy enough time on another computer of that model to develop the programs. 3. Use an assembler, if one is available, that runs on a 360 or some larger machine for purposes of development. (This approach may prove satisfactory for program assemblies, but program debugging may be difficult or impossible.) 4. Buy the necessary software outright. Qualities of System Software Hardware Selection The prospective purchaser of a mini is confronted with a bewildering array of vendors, and a wide range of products from which to choose. Often the cost tradeoffs for various items in the minicomputer product line are not obvious. For example, should the system have 8 KBI or 16 KB of memory? Should the buyer consider magnetic tape rather than paper tape? Is the Multiply/Divide option worth the money? There are no universal answers to these questions. It IS generally true that the smaller the hardware configuration, the more difficult to develop programs, and the more dollars required to write the necessary software. For example, if the application program requires about 8 KB of core memory, the buyer might opt for this memory size in an effort to save $3K to $4K in the cost of the computer, rather than buy a 16 KB memory. However, the 8 KB memory may not support the compiler for that computer model. Therefore, all programs will have to be written in assembly language, which may require additional training for the programmers. Furthe'r, to get the program into 8 KB may require extensive optimization and recoding of the programs. If more than three to four man months of programming effort results from the choice of this memory size, it costs the buyer more money in the long run. The same applies to selection of a Multiply/Divide option, or Floating-point option, or other instruction set options that may be available. In general, scrimping on the cost of the hardware can be penny-wise and pound-foolish for the buyer, unless many machines are required. Determining the best amount of memory for a particular application can be a difficult problem. One criterion is to get enough core to support the system programs (such as the Fortran compiler) on the chosen minicomputer. Another criterion is to get enough memory to support the 1 KB means kilo byte, where byte is an 8-bit unit of memory 16 Most mlm vendors supply a fairly standard set of systems software programs with the computer: assemblers, compilers, program loaders. Once the software development begins in the chosen mini, these programs become very important, since they are the tools with which the programmers must work to implement the desired result. While difficult to measure quantitatively, there are good and bad characteristics of system programs, and they should be assessed during vendor evaluation. The software characteristics to examine are as follows: 1. Documentation. This is the means by which your programmers will" learn how to use the system. The documents should be clear and concise. For the novice programmer, some tutorial material should be available. The operation of system programs, and the computer for that matter, should be straightforward in design and easy to use. 2. Performance. The- programs should be well-tested and perform consistent with their claimed operating characteristics. Evidence of testing may be hard to come by, but if the performance of a compiler is of interest to a user, it is not unreasonable to ask the vendor how it was tested. 3. Adaptability. Every user encounters needs to make some minor modifications to some programs. The changes may concern the use of some unique peripheral device, or the addition of some feature of particular interest. For this reason, programs provided by the manufacturer should be readily modifiable by the users themselves. To facilitate changes, source tapes or cards and listings should be available for all programs. In addition, program documents, such as listings, should be written clearly so that the program structure is explained. Device independence, which results from the use of an I/O monitor or operating system, when one is available with the computer, may obviate the need for changing many programs. Examples of such operating systems are DOS on the Data General Nova and Supernova, RTOS on the COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 INTERDATA Model 5, and the 2005A Real-Time Executive for the Hewlett Packard 2116. 4. Vendor Support. Most programs provided by computer manufacturers are subject to revisions, changes or improvements as more and more users have an opportunity to use the program. It is the responsibility of the manufacturer to inform the customers of these revisions and changes. Some companies convey news regarding changes or improvements through a newsletter to their user group. Programmer Training If programmers must be trained to use the new mini then the effort required to explain the new machine should be explored. This is another aspect of computer evaluation which is difficult to quantify. An important factor is the availability of some well-written training material slanted toward the novice programmer. More important than this, however, is choosing a minicomputer with a straightforward design. Intricate complexities in a machine, such as fixed or relative memory paging or an involved addressing scheme, can slow down both learning and software development efforts. Another factor in training concerns the type of documentation required for the project. Traditionally, English has been a much more difficult language to master than Fortran, and minicomputers offer no simple solution to the documentation problem. If well-written documents are required to explain the application system to its users, then it is important to get someone on the project who can write, as well as program. This move may require some extra training effort at the start of a project, but the long-range benefits to the users make this wise. Choice of Language Assembly language is still the cornerstone of most minicomputer software systems. For many functions, such as interrupt handling, input/output procedures for unusual devices, or optimatization for time-critical cases, assembly language is essential. In almost every application, some assembly language programs are used, and knowledge of the assembly language is required. Some higher-level, or problem-oriented languages, such as Fortran, Basic, or Algol, are available, but not many others are in use today on minicomputers. The lack of numerous problem-oriented languages is a major distinction between minicomputers and larger computers such as IBM 360, CDC 6600, B5500. The need for Fortran or an equivalent language on the mini is critical when the application program involves many arithmetic calculations. The job of programming an arithmetic expression such as: the mini's system software allows the user to intermix programs written on different language levels. Also., it pays the buyer to get those machine features, such as floatingpoint arithmetic instructions, that assist both the programmer and the system software itself in getting the job done efficiently. Floating-point instructions, for example, make the compiler more efficient, the arithmetic programs much smaller, and execution times much faster. Optimization In programming, memory space and execution time represent tradeoffs in a program design. That is, the smaller a program is made, using subroutine or interpretive techniques, the slower it will execute. Similarly, for faster execution times, more memory space is needed. Without delving into the theoretical justification for this ph~nom enon, let the user be aware that techniques which attempt to nest or pack programs too tightly into core memory tend to slow down program execution. A caution flag should be waved if a programmer advocates a special technique such as interpretive coding for packing more and more programs into less and less core. Another disadvantage of excessive progra~ packing (space optimization) is that program logic become.s difficult to follow, difficult to test, difficult to document, and difficult to change. In general, the best approach is to insure that sufficient core is available to write straightforward programs that do not employ tricks or devious methods. For time optimization, meaning minimizing the execution time, it is best to write programs in assembly language using straight-line code, with as few branches and subrou tine calls as possible. Testing the System Thorough testing of a system is often necessary, but not always possible. A communications concentrator system, for .example, may not get all facets of the program testing untIl the system is functioning on-line. At that time, it may not be possible to generate at will all possible error conditions, so the program's error detection and recovery may go untested. One alternative to this situation is to build special test equipment which simulates the real-world ?rocess. T~e testing procedures should be defined as early In the project as possible. One technique is to build trace points, loop counters, and special debugging messages into the program to aid in the testing process. These can be removed later to make the debugged program smaller. Where testing is difficult, dealing with a vendor that knows the application area, and has working installations in the field, can be a big help. Program Maintenance Maintenance activities include: a. b. using 16-bit fixed-point add/subtract/multiply/divide instructions can be an enormous job, particularly if much numerical precision is required. For problems involving such calculations, use of a higher-level language is a must. Because many application systems involve both arithmetic calculations and I/O peculiarities, it is important that COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 c. The analysis of the system for service purposes if the system should develop a malfunction. The correction of the system if an error in its design is uncovered. The changing of the system if a new or different operating feature is desired. Such maintenance functions all require a knowledge of how the program was designed and implemented. Maintenance functions also require knowing the mechanics of making 17 minor changes in the system. Depending on who will maintain the system, and under what conditions, maintenance documentation may be trivial or it may be monumental. In general, a clean, well-commented listing which explains the internal design of the program is essential to perform any maintenance. Other documents, such as flow charts, diagrams and descriptive information may be required, depending on the application. A final thought on maintenance is that the use of a minicomputer with straightforward architecture and simple addressing mechanisms does more to simplify the maintenance function than all the flow charts in the world. Software: Make or Buy Again, proper programming requires at the outset, a good project and design spec that defines the requirements for system performance, testing, training, and maintenance. Given the existence of such a specification, the prospective user of a minicomputer system has to determine what vendors can satisfy his needs - either with a complete "turnkey" system, or an application software package to supplement some standard mini, or just a plain mini with its library of system software to help the user write his own application programs. Even if some vendors offer a complete system, or an application software package that meets the requirements, the user should consider the cost trade. offs of making or buying the software. Figure 3 provides a summary of factors which affect the make-or-buy decision. Figure 3 - Factors for Make or Buy Decision If all the conditions in the right-hand column of Figure 3 are satisfied, the user should buy the system from a qualified vendor. If all the conditions in the left-hand column are applicable, then the user should develop the software himself. If some conditions on the right and some on the left are met, then the prolipective buyer must evaluate the factors and establish priorities before making the decision. Conclusion Software needs are of prime consideration when evaluating a minicomputer application. Falling prices of minicomputer hardware do not necessarily mean that the software costs are falling; in fact, the converse is often true. Programming is getting easier, due to more and better system software available from vendors, but there are potential pitfalls in selecting a vendor. Application programs with fancy names, or sophisticated operating systems may not help you - the end user - at all. Therefore, to minimize software costs, choose a mini that has good programming characteristics, has good quality system software available, and an established company behind the product, for support. Making that choice can get the programming off to a good start. The proper programming effort then requires the user to fully specify all the phases of the job to be done - from developing, to training, to operating, to maintaining the system. Good programs are those which satisfy all needs, both short term and long, at minimum cost. D You are invited to enter our ~~d loose application specs precise applications specs specs may change with time specs not likely to change available application packages not similar or need extensive modification appropriate system available from outside organization programming talent in house no programming talent in house a. hardware good for programming development b. hardware not good for development i. 360 support avail able ii. development system available. hardware configuratior. not good for programming development complete testing not easy complete testing is practical widespread or long term use in company anticipated for training, operation, and maintenance little use or interaction expected with organization other future application jobs likely no jobs like it now or in near future 18 COMPUTER ART CONTEST the special feature of the August, 1971 issue of computers and automation GUIDELINES FOR ENTRY 1. Any interesting and artistic drawing, design or sketch made by computer (analog or digital) may be entered. 2. Entries should be submitted on white paper in black ink for best reproduction. Color entries are acceptable, but they may be published in black and white. 3. The preferred size of entry is 8Y2 x II inches (or smaller); the maximum acceptable size is 12Y2 x 17 inches. 4. Each entry should be accompanied by an explanation in three to five sentences of how the drawing was programmed for a computer, the type of computer used, and how the art was produced by the computer. There are no formal entry blanks; any letter submitting and describing the entry is acceptable. We cannot undertake to return artwork, and we ask that you NOT send originals. The winning entry will appear on the cover of our August issue - more than 25 entries will be published inside, and other entries will be published later in other issues. Deadline for receipt of entries in our office is July 2,1971. COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 COST SAVINGS POSSIBLE IN DATA PREPARATION "Some critical factors affecting the costs of data preparation are: operator productivity; machine utilization; error control; scheduling; pre-preparation of source data; and verzfication by computer using logic checks. " William J. Primavera Bostelman Associates, Inc. 654 Madison Ave. New York, N. Y. 10021 Computer users of all sizes may save 20 percent to 30 percent or more of their current keypunching costs by increasing productivity, reducing verification, improving scheduling, or acquiring new equipment. Although computers, systems and programming have been continually refined to their current level of sophistication, data preparation has largely been neglected. Many companies still prepare and enter input as they did in the early days. I nefficient Practices Several typical inefficient practices include the following: • Keypunch operators leave their machines to get small, unscheduled batches of work. • Supervisors are unaware of individual performance (since it had never been measured) and of "normal" production (since there have been no established standards). • Some formats force an operator to search for data which is out of sequence. • The company applies a policy of 100% verification despite the noncritical nature of most information. Rising Costs for Data Preparation While each succeeding computer generation has decreased cost per computation about tenfold, data preparation costs have actually risen. The main reason is the extra personnel expense incurred to process the burgeoning input that today's faster and more productive computers can handle. Management is often unaware of the opportunity for cost reduction and control in data entry. Take, for example, the following three broad observations recently made: 1. 2. 3. Data entry costs (keypunch and closely related activities) can represent 20 percent to 50 percent of total recurring expenses for electronic data processing. These tend to rise faster than processing costs. Two critical factors are operator productivity and machine utilization, which affect the quantity per dollar of the EDP "product". Two more critical factors are error control and scheduling. These affect the accuracy and timeliness of the infbrmation, the quality of the "product". Equipment alone does not solve data entry problems. Potential "trade-offs" with source data preparation preceding data entry and computer processing following data entry must be investigated. Formats, procedures, and managerial controls must also be scrutinized. In fact, careful analysis of the critical factors affecting data entry may help achieve significant economies without any equipment changes at all. (Based on a report made for the "Lybrand Newsletter", March, 1971, published by Lybrand, Ross Bros., and Montgomery.) COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 Some Suggested Solutions Much operator verification time can be eliminated by computer editing (i.e., having the computer verify the accuracy of the data by a variety of logic checks.) More realistic scheduling may level out workloads and raise productivity. In addition, simply measuring operator performance may increase productivity and decrease errors. New equipment may also offer some further savings and better control. Many advocates of keypunch replacements ("buffered" keypunch, keyboard-to tape, and keyboard to-disc-to-tape) promote this equipment as a way to save from 10 percent to 50 percent of data entry costs. The accompanying chart of major data entry equipment characteristics illustrates the general advantages and disadvantages of each category. It does not, however, tell the whole story. Usually, a careful appraisal of an individual company's requirements, correlated with a detailed analysis of critical factors, is needed before a clear picture of the actual efficiency gains and savings of cost emerges. Predicting Operator Productivity Operator productivity is the most difficult, yet the most important factor to assess. Experience with the automation of data input and output has led to the development of a technique for predicting data preparation times (without physical observation of a job) before actual installation. The technique is reasonably accurate, and permits a quick judgment of the 19 DATA ENTRY EQUIPMENT - MAJOR CHARACTERISTICS "0 .= t) s:: 4. Management control = I-< co C. A. Are operator productivity and error statistics easy to obtain? "0>' s:: Q) co~ +-' en YES NO 1. Operator productivity B. Does the equipment facilitate good, close supervisory control? A. Is operator limited by machine speeds of duplicating, skipping, and card positioning? YES NO NO NO YES 5. Operating costs LOW YES C. Are more than two formats readily available to an operator? NO YES A. What is the relative unit cost of equipment? B. Is job setup easy and fast? NO NO NO NO IN MOST CASES NO MEDIUM MEDIml MEDIUM to HIGH3 B. What is the cost of supplies? HIGH YES HIGH LOW VERY LOW Co Can subsequent computer processing costs be reduced? D. Is it easy and fast to correct detected errors? NO YES YES NO YES E. Can on-line editing reduce the need for verification? u. NO NO SmlEWHAT YES Is a special physical environment required? NO NO \'0 NO YES IN SOME CASES I\, smm CASES E, What are the operating conditions? 2. Error control A. Is batch balancing an available option? NO YES YES YES B. Are edit checks possible (beyond the usual POOR POOR GOOD GOOD F. Is the system vulnerable to equipment failure? NO NO SOMEWHAT YES field definition controls)? NO NO NO YES 3. Machine utilization A. Can one machine both enter and verify data? NO IN MOST CASES YES YES effect on operator productivity of various equipment, formats, or methods. Preparation times are computed using pre,determined standards for each individual machine and each human element required in a data entry job. For example, consider a data entry job of 3D-character records in an 80-column card "image" (20 key-entered, 10 duplicated, 50 skipped). Assuming an even mixture of alphanumeric data, an ideal source document, and an operator-detected-and-corrected-error rate of 7 per 1,000 keystrokes, the studies showed a productivity factor of .76 for key-tape. This figure means that this job can be prepared on key-tape in 76 percent of the time it would take on standard keypunch equipment. Even greater operator productivity could be realized on this job during verification because of the ease with which detected errors can be corrected. 1. With automatic program load option; otherwise, job setup requires keying in a new program. 2. Most key entry devices can be equipped with registers to record production and error statistics, but these must be accumulated and analyzed by hand. 3. From medium to high, depending on the number of operator stations. Evaluation of major jobs, using this approach, should establish the productivity gains and economic benefits that could be achieved by varying factors. Some Results One company, which had to replace its current equipment in order to attain compatibility with a new computer system, expects to save 4 out of 14 operators by data entry measurement and control, and another 2 because of improved equipment. Another company, by applying basic production and schedule controls, and revising formats, reduced errors to 1/5 of the previous level, increased opera tor productivity by 25 percent, brought back in-house work (which had been done by a service bureau), and decreased its work force - and yet made no change in its key-tape equipment. o 20 COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 MAYBE THE COMPUTERS CAN SAVE US AFTER ALL "If part of the average citizen's feeling of impotence and disillusionment is caused by a lack of organized and readily-available information, would it not be possible to put such information at his fingertips with a computer?" Edward Y ourdon 527 Third St. Brooklyn, N. Y. 11215 We have known for several years that mortal men are incapable of managing large cities to the general satisfaction of their constituents. The 1970 elections have shown us that this pervasive feeling of disgruntlement has spread to the state level, and the 1972 elections may very well show evidence of a "throw the rascals out" mood at the national level. Perhaps then we will all agree that our society has grown too complex to be effectively managed by mere human beings. Losing Faith Before this national disenchantment became so strong, most Americans had what so many generations of men before us have had: faith. Men must have faith in themselves, in their social order, their leaders, and their government, or we would never have progressed past the point of feudal kingdoms. That faith usually persists even when the leaders of a country are slightly corrupt and inefficient, and even when the people are slightly hungry and unhappy. I t is usually broken only by catastrophic failings of the system, failings as dramatic as those that brought on the French Revolution, the Bolshevik Revolution, or even our own American Revolution. Somelfow, we seem to be losing that kind of fai th today, for reasons that are not entirely clear. Perhaps it is because poli tical faith, like religious faith, depends on the fai thful being kept relatively uninformed and unenlightened. Certainly, television and radio have brought us into much closer contact with those who would lead us. It is possible that this familiarity has begun to breed a slight degree of contempt for leaders who, after all, do contradict themselves and who occasionally do use poor grammar. Perhaps our disenchantment is caused by the fact that faith seems to work only when surrounded by ritual, by familiar day-after-day repetitions of the same facts, the same speeches, the same political ceremonies. Maybe we have lost faith because Alvin Toffler's "future shock" has destroyed such comfortable rituals for us. COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 What Choices Do We Have? Given this state of affairs, there seem to be several choices open to us; it seems to me that we must make a choice, either consciously or by default, by the end of this decade. The most obvious choice, of course, is to avoid doing anything at all. We lack a prophet who could tell us with certainty what will happen if we fail to make some basic changes in the form and structure of our government; at the very least, it would appear that we can look forward to great periods of restlessness and instability. We have, sadly enough, no prophets; we have only leaders who persist in telling us "what's right with America". As a result, it seems likely that we will continue mUddling along as we have been for the last several centuries. Running Away There are more drastic choices: we can attempt to bomb our outmoded society into oblivion, or we can simply run away from it. However, despite the wild antics of a few revolutionaries, I think the vast majority of Americans are profoundly committed and dedicated to this country. We were born here; we grew up here, for better or for worse; a number of us have fought on strange continents for the honor and the glory of America. We have no place else to go; we could not escape the influence of this country and its problems even if we wanted to. Those of us who run away to Canada or England are, for the most part, unhappy. Despite the way we move restlessly from city to city, America is, in the very deepest sense of the word, our' home. Back to a Rural Life Still another choice is represented by the hippie communes and the "back to the earth" movement currently in vogue with the young. While this is a viable alternative for 21 Edward Yourdon is an independent consultant, lecturer, author, critic, teacher, and student. He has published a number of articles on time-sharing and on-line systems, and his book, Design of OnLine Computer Systems, will be published by Prentice-Hall next spring. He was previously Director of Research & Development at E.L.I. Computer Time-Sharing, and has also worked for General Electric and Digital Equipment Corp. Mr. Your don has a B.S. in mathematics from MIT, and is currently working toward his Ph.D. in computer sciences at Brooklyn Poly tech. those who simply cannot cope with the Establishment, or for those who can afford to buy a farm in Vermont, it does not seem likely that the great mass of Americans would be either willing or able to settle down to the quiet rural life our forefathers knew. It is difficult to imagine that a rural economy would be capable of supporting 200 million Americans in the lavish style to which they have become accustomed. A More Responsive, Computerized Government There is yet another choice, though it seems to arouse violent feelings of paranoia whenever it is mentioned: we can attempt to make our government more automatic, more organized, and more responsive with the use of computers. At the moment, the vast majority of government computers are nothing more than glorified adding machines, used to spit out bills and process tax reports. We have made little or no use of the computer's ability to organize and retrieve information, information which could be used to help legislators govern more effectively, and which might help the average citizen better understand what is going on in government. There are a multitude of major changes which could be effected with computers, including the six which follow. 1. Voter Registration and Vote Processing Computers have occasionally been used on the local and state level to help automate both voter registration and the actual counting of votes. While these efforts have been only partially successful, there is reason to believe that a national, unified computerized voting system would remove many of the inequities in our voting process. Since the computer would be capable of keeping tabs on every citizen, it would be easier to relax residency requirements so that everyone could vote in the national elections, if not in the state and local elections. The voting booths could be connected directly to a central computer complex, so that an individual's vote would be registered immediately. This would make it more difficult for political bosses to rig an election, though the possibility of fraud would not be completely eliminated. 22 2. I mproved I nformation for Legislators A good deal of the actual legislative work at the state and national levels is done by staff organizations; the lawmakers themselves are too busy (or so they would have us believe) to spend much time analyzing and researching information on legislation currently under consideration. Even with this staff help, though, the legislator must often make snap decisions in areas where he is relatively uninformed. A computerized information retrieval system would make it possible for a Congressman or a Senator to obtain information on any subject with a minimum of effort. The same kind of system might be used 'to provide citizens information on various subjects, as we shall discuss in detail presently. 3. Optimum Scheduling of Services At the city and state level, it often seems that things like garbage collection, snow removal, road repair, bus schedules and street cleaning are performed on an inflexible, if not completely random, basis. Computers could be used to optimize such services on a relatively dynamic basis, so that as conditions changed, the services could be re-scheduled. 4. More Up-to-date Information on the State of the Economy At the moment, there are a number of economic indicators which give government officials a rough feeling for the direction in which the economy is moving. In addition to the fact that these indicators are often contradictory and subject to different interpretations, there is a problem caused by the delay from the time the economic phenomenon occurs until it is noticed; and then the delay from the time it is noticed until something is done about it; and finally, the delay from the time some action is taken until the time the effect of that action is felt. The total delay can easily be as little as six months or as much as two years, and it can cause a great deal of economic damage. What we need is a computerized model of our economy, an idea which has been of fundamental interest to economists for several years. To have any validity, the model would have to have several thousand inputs, including such things as the production and capital expenditure figures COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 from major corporations, money supply and interest rates of the major banks, and employment, wages and spending figures of the American citizen. The output from the model could help economists and lawmakers review the state of the economy on a weekly, or even a daily, basis. Instead of taking six months or a year to react to an economic crisis, we would be able to take action within a matter of days. Even more important, a comprehensive model would allow economists to simulate the effects of various proposed economic activities. The effect of the General Motors strike could be predicted by the machine, as well as the effect of a decrease in defense spending. people - the economists, legislators, and administrators often have a difficult time describing their application in sufficiently precise detail for the computer people. Fortunately, there has been a growing familiarity with computers in these professional disciplines, and there is some hope that they will be willing and able to participate in more ambitious computer projects in the near future. Computer people, by the same token, are beginning to specialize in specific applications, and they should eventually be able to converse more intelligently with legislators and economists. People Fear Computers 5. More Streamlined Administration of Government It is conceivable that a large number of clerical tasks carried on by local, state and Federal administrations could be eliminated with a computer. Programs like Social Security, unemployment benefits, the processing of marriage licenses, and so forth, could almost be completely automated; exceptional cases, of course, would continue to be handled by people. In the past, it has often been true that the computers were more expensive than the people they replaced. However, computers do not ask for raises, do not go on strike, and do not take long vacations. Since the cost of computing equipment has been decreasing as a result of improved technology, and since labor costs continue to spiral upwards, it might be wise for many administrators to reexamine the economics of automation. 6. Better Determination and Control of National and State Priorities A common complaint in these times of tight money is that our priorities are wrong - we should be spending more on urban problems and less on foreign aid, or more for foreign aid and less for defense. The final decisions must, of course, be made by people, and the decisions often take highly political considerations into account. Nevertheless, a c01)1puter might be able to help in the decision-making process. The computer could, for example, easily tell a legislator how many extra schools or hospitals could have been built with the money being spent in Cambodia; it could tell how many jobs would be affected if $1 billion was shifted from defense work to mass transit or pollution control. Equally important, a computer might be able to help control these priorities, once they were determined. It could point out cases of fraud and embezzlement, as well as pork-barrel projects and cases of extreme nepotism. There is one obstacle, however, that will be more difficult to overcome: the ordinary man in the street is deathly afraid of computers. To many Americans, the word "computer" is a reminder of incorrect bills, all-digit telephone numbers, and the indignity of having to use one's Social Security number as a prime means of identification; to other more sensitive souls, "computer" evokes memories of George Orwell's 1984 or Karl Capek's R. U.R. There is no doubt that a computer can bungle simple things like bills and invoices. In fact, when it comes to resolving an incorrect bill, we seem to be finding that a computer can be more petty, more arbitrary and more obstinate than any human bureaucrat. On the other hand, computer technicians are quick to point out that these problems are rarely, if ever, the fault of the computer per se; what has happened is that somebody has programmed the computer in a petty, arbitrary and obstinate way. If someone took the trouble to program a computer to be sweet, apologetic and understanding, much of the ill will toward computers would disappear. For example, consider the fact that many current computer systems use numbers as a prime means of identification. When dealing with Blue Cross, American Express, or the local gas and electric company, one must know one's account number or there is no hope of getting anywhere with either the computer or its human attendants. Account numbers are used primarily because it is easier for the programmers to deal with a well-known 9-digit decimal number than it is to deal with a variable-length string of numbers and letters that he would find in a name_ and address; in addition, the programmer can be sure that the account number is a unique identification of the customer, while the name "John Smith" may not be unique. Nevertheless, the programmer could, if he wan ted to make the computer system a little more palatable to its customers, dispense with the ubiquitous numbers forever. Why Hasn't Government Become More Computerized? Misuse of Computers Some of these projects have been attempted on an experimental basis - the city of Wichita Falls, Texas, for example, is almost completely computerized. However, there has been very little concerted effort on the part of the Federal and state governments to move in this direction, and things are even more primitive at the city level. Part of the reason for this backwardness is that many of the projects are difficult to define and specify. Most computer people know little or nothing of the application they are attempting to computerize, and they fail to program the computer for the exceptions that are inevitably present. On the other hand, applications-oriented Unfortunately, this does not dispel the deeper fear of computers felt by laymen and scientists alike: the fear that the computers will eventually "take over" and start running our lives. If this happens, it will not be the resul t of the computer having acquired some innate intelligence of its own - while we can get computers to play a reasonably good game of tic-tac-toe and checkers, we computer people have all but given up hope, for the present time at least, of building a truly "intelligerlt" computer like HAL in the movie 2001. The really important danger, as Norbert Wiener has pointed out in books like God and Golem and The Human Use of Human Beings, is that an unscrupulous COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 23 leader can use a powerful computer to help subjugate his people, or that a thoughtless leader might abdicate some of his decision-making powers to a computer. The appearance of com pu terized war games, computerized military strategy-making systems like WIMMIX, computerized defense systems like SAGE, and the growth of computerized surveillance files certainly lend credence to these fears. It would be absurd to minimize the dangers to this kind of misuse of computers - dangers that seem potentially far greater than those posed by the computers that generate incorrect bills. Since it is ultimately people that misuse the power of a computer, just as it is people that misuse atomic energy, a great deal more attention should be given to systems of human checks and balances to ensure that the rights and privileges of American citizens (and citizens of the rest of the world, for that matter) are not being endangered by computers. Can We Have Faith in Computers? It seems, then, that computers could bring about a tremendous improvement in various phases of government ... if one has faith: faith that the computers will work properly, faith that they will not be as petty and obstinate as many of the current computer systems, faith that they will not be misused by scheming politicians or over-zealous bureaucrats. We seem to have come full circle, first indicating that men had lost faith in their human leaders, and now suggesting that things will be better if they have faith in a cold-blooded mechanical computing machine. In the long run, the advantages of computers will hopefully become self-evident. If, twenty years from now, people become generally aware that it is a computer that gets the garbage picked up on schedule; a computer that makes the telephone work properly; and a computer that keeps unemployment at a minimum, then they may gradually begin to feel a little more benevolent towards the machines. Opinions: A Mixture of Facts and Faith In the meantime, the garbage iSIl't being picked up, the telephone doeSI1 't work, and unemployment is by no means at a minimum level. To make matters worse, even the pitifully primitive computer systems that currently exist don't work half the time. As a result, many of us are perpetually disgruntled, and do not feel kindly towards politicians, computers or the government. Our opinions on these subjects are a curious mixture of facts and faith, and the proportion of the two seems to differ from one generation to the next, from one neighborhood to the next, and from one ethnic group to the next. It is important to realize, I think, that our opinions and our views of the world are a function of our environment. Most of us have certain social and political attitudes formed and influenced by our parents, our friends, by the type of education we received, by the type of work we do, and by the newspapers, movies, and television shows that we happen to watch. One of the problems in forming an opinion is that there is simply too much information available on any particular subject. In order to form an intelligent opinion on Vietnam, for example, one is faced with the difficult task of reading dozens of books, thousands of newspaper articles, reprints of Congressional hearings and investigations, as well as the 24 speeches and statements by officials of the government and military. There is simply too much to read, too much to learn, and too much to keep up with. Our natural instinct, in many cases, is to block it out, or avoid it. Depending on our inclinations, we read selected articles from the New York Times and avoid the New York Daily News; we read Time magazine, but not Ramparts; we listen to speeches by Barry Goldwater, but turn off the television set whenever Eugene McCarthy's face comes into view; we expeditiously avoid books that run counter to our opinion on the subject. On the other haild, there are times when desperatelyneeded information is not available to the average American. Listening to a debate between any two political candidates, for example, can be a highly frustrating experience - each accuses the other of having wrongly opposed or supported critical legislation, and it is extremely difficult, given the resources and the patience of the average citizen, to detect who is telling the truth. The "truth", such as it is, may be scattered through various official documents and reports, or it may be withheld from the public for reasons of national security and/or political expedience. It is highly ironic, given the nature of our national malaise, to hear leaders implore us to "have faith" that their programs will work out well. Everyone Asks "Why?" We are faced with a serious dilemma. Any manager or leader will point out that he cannot do his job properly if he constantly has to report every detail of his decisionmaking processes to his subordinates; this maxim becomes more and more true the higher one goes in management of any kind. On the other hand, the citizens of this country are faced with such staggering problems that they are no longer willing to submit meekly to the decisions of men who, as they have seen on their television screens, are often not much wiser than they. Everyone now wants to know "why": why haven't we gotten out of Vietnam, or conversely, why haven't we invaded North Vietnam? Why are we spending so much money on this program or that program? Since adequate answers to these questions are not forthcoming from our leaders, and since sufficient information is not available for the average citizen to answer his own questions, we have seen a growing disillusionment with all politicians. A Computer in the Hands of the People One way of improving the situation would be to put a computer in the hands of the people. If, as we have suggested above, part of the average citizen's feeling of impotence is caused by a lack of organized and readilyavailable information, would it not be possible to put such information at his fingertips with a computer? I believe that it would be feasible, both economically and technically, to create a National Information Bureau, whose sole purpose would be to provide information to any citizen on any issue. Creating a National Information Bureau An example will illustrate the possibilities of such a system. Suppose a local citizen's group wanted more information on welfare, so that it could form an intelligent opinion of local political candidates. Not knowing where to begin, it might ask the National Information Bureau what COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 information existed on welfare. The Bureau might respond that its files on welfare are broken into six categories: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Welfare legislation Welfare statistics History of welfare in the United States Sociological and psychological effects of welfare Attitudes towards welfare - speeches, interviews, etc. 6. Bibliography Each of these categories could, of course, be broken down further. Thus, the section on "legislation" might be broken down as follows: 1. Legislation a. Federal legislation 1. Currently pending legislation 2. Recently enacted legislation b. State legislation 1. Alabama 2. Alaska • • • c. 50. Wyoming Legislation passed by major cities 1. New York 2. Boston etc. The local citizen's group could then request summaries of books, copies of articles, speeches and so forth. Similar information could be maintained on such subjects as Vietnam, defense spending, the economy, and crime. Information would be available in as much or as little detail as desired. The major purpose of the National Information Bureau would, of course, be to serve as a central source of information on any subject of reasonable interest. However, it would also serve to illustrate the inconsistencies and the contradictions that exist in areas like the Vietnam war. If a political figure made one speech in the North and another contradictory one in the South, it would become evident in the files of the National Information Bureau; if his voting record in Congress was at odds with his public speeches to his constituents, it would also be recorded by the Bureau. If a politician quoted statistics or made charges that were contradicted by other reputable sources, that, too, would show up in the files. country has a right to a decent amount of food, clothing and shelter, and the conservative feeling that everyone should work hard enough to be self-supporting. In other situations, the Bureau might show that there are five or six sides to an issue, each of which has its own combination of facts and faith. The National Information Bureau would essentially be a large computer system. It would receive newspaper articles from every major newspaper in the country; speeches by all major public figures; books; polls, news analyses by television and radio commentators, and so forth. All of this would be filed, categorized and summarized automatically. The source material' might be kept on microfilm; summaries, analyses and indexes could be kept on faster forms of storage. For those who merely wanted to "browse", information could be displayed on devices called CRTs, which look like television screens. Copies of source documents could be made on high-speed printers or microfilm reproduction equipment. In computer parlance, such a system is known as an "information retrieval system". As long as the range of information is fairly well-defined, and the relationships between different pieces of information not too complex, information retrieval systems are certainly within the capabilities of current technology. A number of business organizations use information retrieval systems to extract information about their employees or about sales, production or inventory. Scientists often use information retrieval systems to find literature on a particular subject of interest. Even the government data files which pose such a potential threat to our privacy are, for the most part, information retrieval systems. The National Information Bureau would simply be an information retrieval system designed to handle a different kind of information for a different clientele. Financing the National Information Bureau Since computers are so expensive, financing such a system might well be a problem. It would be desirable to avoid government financing, since that would pose a number of thorny problems. On the other hand, it is not at all clear that the National Information Bureau could be selfsupporting. To do so, it would have to charge its customers for the information it provided, and this would certainly discourage both the poor and many of the middle-class Americans who desperately need it. The only approach that seems viable, at the moment, is to provide financing from an independent, non-profit foundation. False Data Helping to Distinguish Between Fact and Faith The National Information Bureau could also help people distinguish between matters of fact and matters of political faith. It might become evident, for example, that despite all the statements and speeches emanating from the White House, Richard Nixon's attitude toward youth is still summed up by his· comment to Theodore White: "They were given too much, too easily; and this weakened them." In addition to showing what the public figures really believe in, the files of the Bureau could also show what "faiths" are involved in the major issues of the day. It might show, for example, that the question of welfare really boils down to an emotional argument between the liberal and conservative attitudes: the liberal feeling that everyone in a civilized COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 There arc other potential problems that should be explored before any money is invested in such an ambitious undertaking. For one thing, it is quite possible, if not almost certain, that false data would be supplied to the system at various times. Economic or military figures which would prove embarrassing would probably be "adjusted" before being released to the public and to the files of the National Information Bureau. This, of course, is already being done, but the exposure that would be provided by the Bureau would make it even more necessary. It might also make politicians attempt to withhold more information from the public. This would not cause any great harm to the information retrieval system unless it took the form of a complete 25 national conspiracy. There are still some politicians in this country with opposing viewpoints, and there is still some free flow of information; since all available information would be digested by the Bureau, the deceptions or inconsistencies of anyone politician would soon become apparent. However, if the entire United States Government undertook a concerted effort to hoodwink the American people, it is conceivable that they could engage in such a massive propaganda campaign that even the National Information Bureau would be fooled. The Bureau Might Be Biased There is also the possibility that the Bureau itself might be biased. If the computer were programmed by a rabid segregationist, for example, the resulting system might reflect that bias. Since the National Information Bureau would be dealing with the categorization, the summarization and, to some extent, the analysis of information, it would be easy for even the most subtle personal prejudice to work its way into the computer. Hopefully, this problem could be resolved by subjecting the system to a constant scrutiny by people of varying political and philosophical attitudes. Criticism and Pressure I t is almost certain that the system would be subjected to extreme criticism by any individual or group that felt it was being unfairly portrayed by the Bureau. Financial and/or political pressure could certainly be brought to bear on the system by lobbies, companies, individual politicians or even the entire government. If this happens, and if the pressure is strong enough to shut down the National Information Bureau, then we will indeed be in as much trouble as the young revolutionaries say we are. NUMBLES NUMBER PUZZLES FOR NIMBLE MINDS -AND COMPUTERS Neil Macdonald Assistant Editor Computers and Automation A "numble" is an arithmetical problem in which: digits have been replaced by capital letters; and there are two messages, one which can be read right away and a second one in the digit cipher. The problem is to solve for the digits. Each capital letter in the arithmetical problem stands for just one digit 0 to 9. A digit may be represented by more than one letter. The second message, which is expressed in numerical digits, is to be translated (using the same key) into letters so that it may be read; but the spelling uses puns or is otherwise irregular, to discourage cryptanalytic methods of deciphering. We invite our readers to send us solutions, together with hunun programs or computer programs which will produce the solutions. This month's Numble was contributed by: Stuart Freudberg Newton High School Newton, Mass. NUMBLE 715 S ELF + T R U S T C 0 F F E The Greatest Danger: Lack of Interest The greatest danger of all is that nobody will be interested in such a system. No matter how available the information is, there will certainly be some people that will be too lazy or too uninterested to obtain it. There may also be a number of people who will not want to have anything to do with the Bureau because it only seems to tell them bad things. The "it's-about-time-we-heard-what'sright-with-America" philosophy might find it very difficult to cope with a National Information Bureau that refused to sugar-coat the material it collected. It is not really clear, then, whether such a system would work or would have any value. It is clear, though, that computers are here to stay; technology is here to stay; the information explosion is here to stay. American society will continue to become more complex, more confusing, and more technological in nature. No one seriously expects Americans to move back to the farms ell masse in order to solve the ecology problem. Similarly, no one really expects the telephone company to give up its all-digit dialing system, or the government to give up on its attempts to reduce everyone to a social security number. We have already spawned the monster; now all we can do is attempt to control its growth and its appetite. We can try to control the way technology is used, so that it becomes easier, not more difficult, for people to cope with the complexities of our age. The National Information Bureau might well be a first step in that direction. D 26 H=L +ISTHE + 0 FIE F I 56748 43974 81542 99344 Solution to Number 714 In Numble 714 in the March issue, the digits 0 through 9 are represented by letters as follows: T=O M,N= 1 A,U=2 S=3 L=4 F,G = 5 I,Y = 6 0= 7 E=8 D=9 The message is: Folly does not see its magnitude. Our thanks to the following individuals for submitting their solutions - to Numble 713: Gordon Bruno, Cliffside Park, N.J.; A. Sanford Brown, Dallas, Texas; T. P. Finn, Indianapolis, Ind.; John H. MacMullen, Eden Prairie, Minn.; Richard Marsh, Washington, D.C.; G. P. Petersen, St. Petersburg, Fla.; and Robert R. Weden, Edina, Minn. - to Numble 712: Twite S. Emerick, Harrisburg, Pa., and Vincent K. Roach, New York, N.Y. COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 THE ASSASSINATION OF PRESIDENT KENNEDY: The Spatial Chart of Events in Dealey Plaza In the May 1970 issue, "Computers and Automation" published a 32 paqe feature article by Richard E. Spraque, entitled "The Assassination of President Kennedy: the Application of Computers to the Photoqraphic Evidence". In this article, Richard E. Spraque, President, Personal Data Services, Hartsdale, N.Y., stated that analysis of the evidence proves that the Warren Commission conclusions (that Lee Harvey Oswald was the sole assassin, and that there was no conspiracy) are false; and indicates convincinqly that there were at least four ounmen firina from four locations, none of whom was Oswald; and that the conspiracy to kill Kennedy involved over 50 persons (of whom several are identified in the article) • This article contained a spatial chart of the events in Dealey Plaza, Dallas, Texas, at the time of the assassination of President Kennedy, showing many details. The chart published here is a revision and contains corrections and some additional information: the scale in feet has been corrected; certain cars have been properly titled; and four or five names of persons or locations have been added or corrected. C&A will publish additional revisions and corrections when known. 1. Areas on the Chart. The spatial chart is divided into square areas 40 feet by 40 feet, each labeled by a letter A to K from top to bottom (I is omitted) and a number 1 to 15 from left to right. 2. Person Names. The name of a person in the following index refers to the location of such person. 3. Numbers. A number folowing the name of a person refers to the film (or roll) number of a still photograph, or the frame number of a movie sequence taken by such person. Numbers preceded by Z refer to frame numbers of the color movie film taken by Abraham Zap ruder standing in area D 7. 4. Motorcade. The leading portion of the motorcade including President J.F. Kennedy is shown diagrammatically 7 to 8 seconds before the first shot. The motorcade is arranged in sequence along Houston St. and Main St. All these cars, of course, were moving and therefore occupied different positions at later times. The only successive locations shown for later positions of the motorcade are the locations of President Kennedy's head in the lead car. These head locations are marked by a sequence of dots along Elm St. These locations were carefully determined by the FBI; they are identified by the frame numbers of the color movie film taken by Abraham Zapruder; these locations were used by the Warren Commission in their investigation. Successive frames were 1/18 second apart. 5. Note. The information shown in the diagram of the motorcade (C-J 14, J 15) is not repeated in this index. Much of the geographic information (such as locations of trees, white traffic lines, yellow marks on curbs, etc.) is not repeated in this index. INDEX AND GUIDE TO LOCATIONS Location Person or Object Altgens 2, 3 Altgens 6 (at Z 255) Altgens 7 (at Z 346) ~ F 8 G 8 '''Babushka Lady" (who took an entire movie of the motorcade from the opposi te side from Zapruder) Bell I, 2 Bell 3 Betzner Betzner Betzner 3 Bond, 1 to 3 Bond, 4 to 9 Brchm(s) Brenna n bullet mark(s) on curb Commerce St. compass directions Connally, Gov. J. B., back shot (at Z 238) Hester(s) Hill, Jean Holland Houston St. Hudson and two friends Hughes I, 2 Hughes 3 Hughes 5 H H E C C G G F D J 3, H 11 11 13 13 12 13 11 9 13 6 K 1-6 J 8 E 9 Da lla s County Crimi na 1 Courts Bldg. Dallas County Records Bldg. Dallas County Sheriff's Office Dal-Tex Bldg. Dillard 1 Dorman, Mrs. Elm St. Elm St. extension former Dallas County Courts Bldg. garage bldg. next to TSBD gra ssy knoll F 8 F-H 15 C-E 15 H 15 A 15 C 13 A 11 H 1 to B 15 A-B 6-12 off map, see K 15 A 8-10 G 4 to C 10 C 7 F 9 H 2 A-K 13-14 F 6 14 K 12 K 10 K COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 Person or Object Kennedy behind "the" oak tree, from Z 161 to Z 207 Kennedy at: Z 133 Z 161 Z 189 (throat shot) Z 226 (back shot) Z 238 Z 255 Z 285 Z 312 (head shot) Z 313 (2nd head shot) Z 346 Z 400 Z 433 Z 465 Z 485 knoll, grassy Main S1. Man tf- ••• these were men whose names have not been determined Man tf-l, source of 1st shot at Z 189 Man tf-2 Man tf-3 Man tf-4 Man tf-5, source of 6th shot at Z 313 Man tf-6, off map in Dal-Tex Bldg, source of 2nd shot at Z 226 and 4th shot at Z 285 Man tf-7 Man tf-8, source of 3rd shot at Z 238 and 5th shot at Z 312 Man wi th Umbrella Martin 0 Martin 1 Martin 2 material picked up by -Walthers and others Moorman Muchmore 1 Muchmore 2 Location D 10-11 C 11 D 11 D 10 E 9 Person or Object Newman(s) Nix I, 2a Nix 2B Oswald's alleged window parking area and railroad yard puff of smoke (shown in 9 photos) railroad yard and parking area Location -Ef3 K 12 J 10 A 13 B-E 4-5 E 7 B-E 4-5 F 8 G G H H H to C 6 5 3 1 9 scale in feet shots, sources of: 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th K 8-9 E 5 A 15 A 11 A 15 A 11 D 6 J 1-15 D 5 E E E D 7 7 7 6 see A 15 D 8 A 11 D H G C H 8 13 13 12 6 F 9 G 13 F 11 Si tzma n smoke, puff of (sho~n in 9 photos) Stcmmons -·Freeway sign D 7 E 7 Tague (~ho was hi t in the face by a fTagment of a shot) Texas School Book Depository Bldg. at 411 Elm St. (TSBD) TSBD, 6th floor easternmost window, from ~hich Warren Commi ssi on a 11eged Lee Oswald fired 3 shots Towner, J. 1 Towner, T. 1 Tcwner, T. 2 K 3 "Umbrella" Man Willis 5, 6 Zapruder (location of Abraham Zapruder during the entire color movie ··,hich he took) D 8 A 10-13 A 13 C 13 C 13 D 12 D 8 D 11 D 7 (See chart on next two pages) 27 of C.~AR..T .sPATIAL NOR..TWE....R-N WALF- of :PLALA DEALEV DALLA.s, TE..XA:;' !>h..oWln..~ J 0 oh.oto91"'0-Ph..e..I"!>. posd'"\on...~ Ken.rvuilf~ or o6Je.L~ {. sUr"i'oun-d.\..nC} \1...~)O pm I 'Z.1.. 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EL M 2 o r- tf'/ E.LM ':.t :l o :r • DillArcl.I(Ut -P(,.t.~~/('a.rnu-o.. car -# 3 4 11.:~I) DALL....'5 c.ouNTY RECCIZD!a In..l)~ i • Be:tirw-I 3 I JMortin. 1 DALLAS COUIJTY /". C12JMI~ ;.~. COWtT$ ':: ' 2 'i1 t-JOI2..T"- : "- &n.cll.l.. , . , ..........-.r eBt..U.l z. ..... ~ \;:j'\:>r'I" • ' .. ' I' 5U:IG ; ,j' ',:' " ; __ ~: ':' .. ~. 0·· .• ' • t\-~"~F D~.ijGS"~ co.r"3 60 ,",,0 I>e..~ .?! h ~G4.Ie. ."n.,,! in. feet 80 I Weo.ver PLAYING GAMES WITH A COMPUTER James R. Palmer Member of the Technical Staff Space and Communications Group Hughes Aircraft Company Los Angeles, Calif. 90009 Playing games can be fun -- and educational. Anyone who has played the game Monopoly has probably learned a lesson about undercapitalization and a liquidity crunch. The advent of the computer offered a new vehicle for these lessons: the management game. Overnight a science of computerized education sprang forth. Statistical simulation was employed to develop some very elaborate and sophisticated game models. More recently computerized education has turned toward the concept of programmed learning as a vehicle for instruction. The El Segundo Division of Hughes Aircraft Company was recently faced with a need for utilizing some of these techniques. The company was developing a detailed educational course on production control. It was felt that some type of game would be useful at the end of the course to summarize the basic principles. A survey of games and simulations then available uncovered no precisely appropriate packaged product. Hence authorization was given for a project to develop an educational game for this application. The D~velopment Project From the beginning, the project was oriented towards a very clear objective: to design a game that illustrates the basic principles of production control. But coupled to this objective were three constraints. First, the development and operation of the game had to be inexpensive. Second, the qame had to be simple. Third, the game had to prove true-to-life realism. These constraints were imposed by the particular application for which the game was designed. Three educational tools were selected for use in the game. These were the computer, statistical simulation, and programmed learning. Tne computer was selected because of its speed, impartiality, and accuracy. To contend with the high costs attached to its use, a timesharing system was selected and special emphasis was placed on simplified game design. cipants toward,considering a set of fundamental questions that the subject (production control) is designed to answer. That is, a production control system is designed to answer the questions: What is being manufactured? How is it being manufactured? How many are being manufactured? When are they being manufactured? Therefore, the game was structured to force the student to repeatedly answer these questions as the simulation proqressed. Included was a system of response checking to flag any illogical responses by the student, present an analysis of errors, and offer a chance for resubmission. This is similar to standard programmed learning techniques except that the questions were made cyclically repetitive, and the amount of conditional branching was sharply curtailed. The Results The game that resulted from this project is called DEFOG, or Deterministic Factory Operation Game. It is designed around a fictitious product having five parts. To conform to the "true-to life realism" constraint, a complete set of drawings and cost and technical specifications for the parts are included in the game. Several days before the simulation is to be run the participants (who may be separated into teams) are given an instruction manual for the game. They are told that for the game they have been assigned responsibility for meeting a specified delivery schedule on a fixed price contract. (Penalty costs are established for missed schedules.) Also, they are given a set of general instructions for pre-game study and planning. The actual simulation proceeds in a month-by-month manner. Each simulation month starts by asking the participant which parts he wants to purchase, fabcate and assemble during that month. He is then asked for his order quantities in each category. His responses are checked to make certain he hasn't tried to purchase something that can't be purchased, assemble something he doesn't have parts for, etc. At the end of each simulated month, a breakdown of the participant's inventory and manufacturing cost is presented. At the end of the game, the participant's profit on the contract is calculated. Analysis Statistical simulation was selected as a tool because of the atmosphere of challenge and realism that it offers. But here a rather novel approach was taken. Because of the constraints on game simplicity and cost, ~he-introduction of any random factor game elements was avoided. That is, the game was written in mathematically deterministic format. The goal was to keep the game elements simple enough to be understood but complex enough so the solution is not immediately obvious. DEFOG has ,been successfully employed in several applications. In addition to its use in four classes of the company's production control course, the game was presented at the recent 1971 Systems Engineering Conference (SENCO 71) in Phoenix, Arizona. Post-game informal discussions by the participants have indicated that they did in fact develop an increased understanding of certain principles of production control. Comments like "inventory costs killed us", and "we found a way to avoid assembly overtime", indicated an understanding of various cost trade-offs. So it seems that the objective of the game was met. The third educational tool selected, programmed learning, also had to be modified for this application. The objective of the game was to illustrate principles, not to teach specific information. Hence the approach taken was to guide the parti- Furthermore, the game does appear to remain within the constraints which governed its design. Total development cost was under $1500. Labor was by far the largest cost element. Development time was one month. It costs less than $9 per team to play the 30 COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 game. This mayor may not comply with the constraint on being "inexpensive", but the company feels that DEFOG will be a very profitable investment over the years. With regard to the constraint on game simplicity, success is more obvious. Of the four teams that played the game on its premier opening occasions two teams discovered the optimum solution. The other two teams managed a profii on the simulated contract. Finally, the sense of realism in the game seems adequate. The first participants were operating manufacturing men; they were able to readily identify with the situation and the problem. Some Generalizations If the explicitly expressed satisfaction of DEFOG's users is a legitimate measure of success, then DEFOG is a success. But perhaps the most significant success is not DEFOG itself but rather the teChnique used to develop it. This technique can be summarized in fi ve steps: (1) Determine a specific need or application~ because it forms a particular part of a particular production control course being given to a particular group of individuals. In a different application DEFOG (or ~ game) might be irrelevant and worthless. (2) Once it is decided that there is a valid application for a game, determine the precise objective of the game. A game designed to teach specific facts should be quite different from a game designed to teach general principles. (3) Establish the constraints to which the design must conform. Most important is the financial constraint. Other constraints will stem from the particular application. (4) Determine what tools are available, and which of those are most appropriate. (5) Design the game to meet the objective within the constraints using the selected tools. Acknowledgements The author thanks Dr. Harry W. Steinhoff, Jr., of Hughes Aircraft Company and Dr. Alan Rowe of the University of Southern California for their generous contributions to the success of this project. ESSENTIAL COMPUTER CONCEPTS FOR TOP MANAGEMENT 1. From Frank J. Gabriel 6740 Old York Road Philadelphia, PA 19126 In your extraordinarily fine, perhaps the finest magazine on computer technology developments, "Computers and Automation", in the October 1970 issue, in your excellent edi torial "What Top Management Should Know About Computers", you stated that you estimate that a member of top management would need to know and understand some 60 to 100 important terms and some 40 to 80 propOSitions about computers. COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 May I respectfully suggest, without imposing on your extremely busy time, that if it is in any way at"all possible, you Sir should graciously make that compilation and publish it forthwith (as it is very much and urgently needed), either in your magazine or in a separate booklet; and that I woul~ consider myself privileged to receive it either on a complementary basis or paying for it, which I would do gladly. 2. From the Editor In an editorial in "Computers and Automation" for October 1970 I said: I would estimate that a member of top management would need to know and understand some 60 to 100 important terms, and some 40 to 80 important propositions about computers. Also he should have a short (3 to 5 "day) course (of good quality) about computers. And the course should include interactive contact with a computer. As a result of Mr. Gabriel's request, I have put together a beqinning, a preliminary list of slightly over 100 important terms and topics, as candidate terms for top management to understand. (Definitions and propositions will be determined later.) 1. General Concepts computer / data processor digital computer vs. analog computer desk calculator vs. slide rule electronic data processing / automatic data processing / EDP / ADP size / cost / speed / capacity / flexibility / reliabi li ty communication / computing 2. Computer definition of / history of / future of / programming of computerized system / systems analysis applications: what a computer can do easily vs. what a computer can do with difficulty vs. what a computer cannot do at all final assembly principle vs. principle of successive models stored program computer vs. externally programmed computer input / output / storage / central processor / registers or locations / core external storage: punched cards / magnetic tape / magnetic discs / punched paper tape modem / console / terminal 3. Programming hardware vs. software machine instruction / machine coding / machine word 31 memory reference 8. Computer Department operation code organization of department ASCII (pronounced "askee", and meaning American Standard Code for Information Interchange) open shop vs. closed shop batch processing vs. time-shared vs. access vs. entire machine mote conditional transfer operator vs. programmer vs. systems analyst microprogramming batch operations vs. real-time operation pseudo operation code tu rn-a round-time standard coding form 4. Programming in General programming languages information / data numbers / digits / characters / truth values / words / parameters / variables It seems to me that this is a~most the total list of essential computer concepts and topics for top management. This list may even err a little on the side of fullness. However, a member of fop management needs to "know his way around" so as never to be fooled or deceived. Comments from readers are invited. mathematics vs. logic vs. programming algorithms or calculating rules accuracy vs. precision problems vs. solutions constants / expressions / statements / loops / variables / declarations / transfer instructions / conditional transfer instructions / subrouti ne calls octal system vs. binary system vs. decimal system fixed point operation vs •. floating point operation binary arithmetic simulation / models 5. Programming Languages machine language symbolic language (Based on a report in "Computerworld", March 24, 1971) A court in Oakland, Calif., has awarded $290,000 to an insurance broker Paul F. Roemer, Jr., plaintiff1in a precedent~setting case in which libel damages were filed against Retail Credit Co. This company is the largest dossier holder in private business, and has some 48 million dossiers on file. It deals largely with private business but also cooperates with government agencies. The charge alleged that damaging information was supplied through a former business associate who had had disagreements with Roemer. The credit company's report on Roemer said that there was a question of his honesty over misuse of funds. The conclusion of the report was that Roemer "is by no means recommended." ("DETAILS" -continued from page 7) assembly language -------(may be copied on any piece of paper)------- COBOL / FORTRAN / BASIC To: Computers and Automation, Dept. E 815 Washington St. w Newtonville, Mass. 02160 problem-oriented vs. machine-oriented programming languages 6. Programming Operations writing / debugging / documenting / flow chart / assembling / compiling / loading / operating / testing / storinq / dumping / tracing / debugging / de~k checking amendment, correction, modification 7. Systems Analysis and Synthesis observation / interviewing / investigation / typical examples of results / testing of typical examples on a computer / bench-mark problems / feasibility analysis / changeover / continued modification and adaptation 32 $290,000 AWARDED IN LIBEL DAMAGES TO AN INSURANCE BROKER SUING RETAIL CREDIT CO. Yes, r am interested in the offer made in the editorial by E. C. Berkeley on page 6 of the May 1971 issue. r am an unemployed computer professional. r am a subscriber to "Computers and Automation". r am seriously interested in trying to develop a small business of my owno r enclose a statement about my education, background, aptitudes, resour6es. interests, purposes, and any prior experience r have had as a self-employed person. Please send me the list of the several dozen products and services for which you have observed a need, and some further remarks and guidelines on the subject of operating one's own business. My name and address are attached. COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 RESTORATION OF SERVICE AFTER EARTHQUAKE you offered a copy of a list of books concerning relationships to reality. D.L. Talley Redcor Corporation 21200 Victory Blvd. Woodland Hills, Calif. 91364 I believe I sent a Readers Service Card (with 2 circled), as instructed, to obtain a copy of the list. To my knowledge, I have received no communication. Tabulating Consultants, Inc., a major computer service bureau in Burbank, California, faced a severe financial loss on- Tuesday February 9th. Their company is located close to the epicenter of the major earthquake which struck Southern California at 6:01 am that day. Tabulating Consultants runs two shifts a day on their 16 terminal KeyLogic system. If this listing of books is still available, I would still be interested in obtaining a copy, if you please. I assume the copy would be available essentially free of charge. Jack Moore, one of Redcor Corporation's customer service engineers, reported to Tabulating Consultants when they opened at 7 am. Power was off for over an hour. Moore assisted in clearing debris. When power was restored, he ran complete preventive diagnostic routines. The system was re-initialized and in a short time turned over to Jeri Borella, Data Transcription Supervisor for Tabulating Consultants. Richard Kurzenknabe, Tabulating Consultants' president, said "I couldn't be more pleased with the Redcor initiative and assistance in getting us back into business. Redcor anticipated the problems which might have resulted from the earthquak and the resulting power failure. Their response allowed us to get back on the air with the minimum amount of lost revenue. You couldn't ask for better service than we received during this emergency." UNINTERRUPTIBLE POWER SUPPLY PROTECTED NASA COMPUTER DURING EARTHQUAKE Robert R. Bentley, News Bureau General Electric Bala Cynwyd, PA 19004 When rocked by one of California's strongest earthquakes on Feb. 9, the computer complex at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory in California still functioned flawlessly, providing an important link in returning Apollo 14 astronauts to earth. The sixty million dollar complex of computers was serving as a back up monitoring center for that manned flight, as well as receiving data from deep-space probes, when the earthquake broke incoming power lines. An uninterruptible power supply provided continuous power, helping assure safe splashdown for the astronauts, and save irreplaceable information from deep-space. Even milli-second interruptions of computer power can cause misinterpreted data or loss of stored information. JPL's uninterruptible power system was developed by the Custom Power Equipmen~ Departm~n~ of General Electric and it smooths out IrregularItIes and pr?vides battery power during major power breaks untIl emergency generators can take over and supply power. liTO HELP LIBERATE ONE'S MIND FROM NEWSPEAK"-COMMENT Thank you for your assistance. 2. FrQm the Editor The list was referred to in March with the following description: I have put together a list of some dozen books that I think are useful to help liberate one's mind from the propaganda and Newspeak of today. Because over 300 readers of "Computers and Automation" asked for the list, we decided to publish it with comments. In the June 1970 issue it was published with full citations and comments, under the title "To Help Liberate One's Mind from Newspeak", on pages 9, 10, and 13. For convenience, the books referred to there are here listed again, but for more information please see the June issue. 1. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. In General Bertrand Russell / Sceptical Essays Rudolf Flesch / The Art of Clear Thinking Winston W. Little, W. Harold Wilson, and W. Edgar Moore / Applied Logic Monroe C. Beardsley / Thinking Straight: Princi les of Reasonin for Readers and Writers George A. Miller Lan ua e and Communication Neil Postman and Charles Weingartner Teaching as a Subversive Activity 2. On Propaganda, Fads, Crusades, and Lies in General 7. Alfred McClung Lee and Elizabeth Briant Lee, Editors / The Fine Art of Propaganda, A Stud of Father 8. Martin Gardner Name of Science 9. Eric Hoffer / The True Believer: Thoughts on the Nature of Mass Movements 10. William McGaffin and Erwin Knoll / Anything but the Truth: The Credibility Gap -- How the News is Managed in Washington 3. Some Particular Struggles Between Doctrine and Reality 11. Senator J. William Fulbright / The Arrogance of Power 12. Jerome D. Frank / Sanity and Survival 13. James E. Bristol and 7 other authors / Anatomy of Anti-Communism 14. Mark Lane J A Citizen's Dissent 1. From M. L. Huber E. I. DuPont de Nemours & Co. Wilmington, De1. 19808 In your editorial "Computers, Language, and Reali ty" in "Computers and Automation", March 1970, COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 33 THE DEATH OF WALTER REUTHER 1. From Terrell L. Elrod Systems Supervisor Hoffman La RoChe Inc. Nut/~y, N.J. 07110 In the past I have applauded the efforts of you and others who have not been satisfied with the information released to the public surrounding the viol~nt deaths of our national leaders. Supplementary data and the analysis of events published by you have been newsworthy and are a contribution to the search for the true facts that surrounded their tragic deaths. However, your January 1971 article "The Death of Reuther: Accidental or Planned?" was put11 shed prematurely si nce the investigator, "Leonard Walden," answered your questions in only a highly generalized manner adding nothing to the facts already known about this incident. For example, his comment on the altimeter was "The altimeter of the Lear Jet could have malfunctioned eit~er accidentally or by design." How many other alternatives are there? The important points are: did the altimeter malfunction, and if so, what was the cause; was the altimeter tampered with, if so, by whom; a~d.m?st of all -- if the answers to these two possibliltles are no -- was pilot error involved. W~lter In your apparent haste to publish an assasination hypothesis, you nowhere explore the possibility of pilot error. No mention is made concerning the possibility of unstable aerodynamic characteristics of the Lear Jet in turbulent weather. I strongly feel that before you can begin to investigate a possible plot on th~ life of Walter Reuther you must first determine that there was no aircraft malfunction or pilot error involved. Otherwise, we might soon start reasoning that because more than 50,000 persons are killed on ou: nation's highways that a possible conspiracy eXlsts among the asphalt manufacturers of the country. II. From the Editor You are quite right that many aspects of the publication of the article on Walter Reuther's tragic death would en~itle a reader to say that the article was "published prematurely". But there are these other factors: (1) It and far are costs money to investigate further, the employment of our investigator so has cost several hundred dollars and we not a rich magazine; (2) We waited five months (from about July 15 to about December 15) to see if more informat~on came out by other avenues, and none did ;. (3) Before the sad event becomes staler still, it was desirable to raise the issue; (4) There exists no public agency in the United States so far as I know which is charged with investigating the deaths of our important leaders, and therefore it is incumbent on ordinary people (like "Computers 34 and Automation") to try to step into the breach; (5) Our act of publication might lead to more volunteering of information. I hope we shall have more information to publish. A DATA BANK FOR NARCOTIC ADDICTS-- COMMENT Bruce Madsen 10332 E. Lake Rd., RD-1 North East, Pa. 16428 Elmer Young ("Data Bank For Narcotic Addicts", C&A, October, 1970) missed a wonderful opportuni~to use his computer tool to achieve understanding of a social problem. Instead of using the results of studies by N.A.R.P. (Narcotic Addict Reporting Program) to educate computer and information engineers, he gives us statistics from unknown sources, modified by President Nixon. He continues to confuse the discussion with imprecise language: " ... A significant number of marijuana users become narcotic addicts. In a substantial number of cases ... marijuana ... leads to ... use of harder drugs." The issue is less clear if one compares the statements to the "data" offered: 180,000 heroine users users -- 1 : 44.5 8,000,000 marijuana Is one out of forty a significant number? than 2.5% substantial? Is less I would like to see a follow-up article with the goal of increasing our understanding of the narcotics problem. PROVOKE THINKING Mr. Vincent K. Roach Product Applications Manager COMRESS 1250 Broadway New York, N. Y. 10036 I find "Computers and Automation" an extremely interesting publication. While some of the articles seem to go to extremes in their viewpoint or application of "logic", this is fine in that they provoke thinking on the part of the readers. I receive over 15 EDP-type magazines per month, and simply can't read everything. So I mark them up for later reading, scan to eliminate second-hand information, poorly-documented or_-researched articles, and items of extremely limited appeal. Those that survive, I cut out and save. Of over 250 articles per month, I save perhaps a half dozen. Recently, I have saved "Computers and Automation" intact, as it contains as much useful, interesting information as the rest combined. Keep up the good work. Our computer "profession" has much maturing to do. "Computers and Automation" is maturing with it, perhaps a bit faster. COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 Winston Churchill BOOKS AND OTHER PUBLICATIONS Stuart Freudberg Newton, Mass. Pylyshyn, Zenon E., editor, and 35 authors. / Perspectives On the Computer Revolution / Prentice Hall, Inc., Englewood Cliffs, NJ 07632 / 1970, hardbound, 540 pp., $10.50. would have loved Xebec. Uncommonly versatile-that was Winnie. That's us too. When we started in business, our aim was to make and market versatile mini-computer peripherals -to offer the industry quality systems and equipment that would be compatible with the minis of all major OEM companies. So we did. Today we market such products as advanced operating cassette systems, moving head disk systems and controllers, line printer interfaces, and many more. If you're looking for versatile peripherals, contact us. Our large staff of software and systems analysts will solve your compatibility problems just as we've done for hundreds of customers throughout the U. S. and abroad. SYSTEMS INCORPORATED 918 North Rengstorff Avenue Mountain View, Calif. 94040 Telephone 415-964-4263 TWX 910-379-6942 COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 Contains a collection of important readings on many aspects of "the computer revolution", and includes statements on the historical, practical, theoretical, philosophical, social, legal, and moral issues of the computer field, from many distinguished authors. The book is divided into three sections: (1) "The Development of Computer Science," which describes the development of computers and the intellectual heritage of computer science; (2) "Man and Machine" which explains the relationship between man, as a conscious thinking organism, and the machine; (3) "Society and Machine," which examines the relationship between society as a whole and the machine, which includes the impact of computers and related technological phenomena on our society. Taviss, Irene, editor, and 30 authors / The Computer Impact / Prentice-Hall, Inc., Englewood Cliffs, NJ 07632 / 1970, hardbound, 297 pp., $7.95. Using writings of many authors, this work examines the social implications of computers by looking at their potential and at their impact on the economy, political organization, and the culture of society. Sackman, Harold J Man-Computer Problem Solving / Auerbach Publishers, Inc., 1101 State Rd., Princeton, NJ 08540 / 1970, hardbound, 272 pp., $12.50 This book is an examination of the growing experimental evidence on man-computer problem solving, particularly the competition between time-sharing and batch-processing computer systems. The author examines how-people solve problems and how they can use computers most effectively to reach their solutions. Gallagher, Cornelius E., New Jersey. Chairman, House Subcommittee on Invasion of Privacy, and others / The Computer and Invasion of Privacy: Hearings Before a Subcommittee of the Committee on Government Operations. House of Representatives, Eighty-Ninth Congresf July 26 to 28, 1966: Reprint / (Please turn to page53/ NEW DIRECTIONS IN COMPUTER PROGRAMMING FROM WILEY-INTERSCIENCE PL/I PROGRAMMING IN TECHNOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS By Gabriel F. Groner, THE RAND CORPORATION "This book was written for those who want to quickly learn to solve engineering and scientific problems by writing computer programs in Pl/I (Programming language One). It gets the beginner off to an easy start, but treats some advanced topics as well. It may be used profitably as a text in a computer science course for engineering, science, and mathematics students, as a supplemental text in a course emphasizing problem solving, in an industrial course, or as a self-teaching guide in individual study." - from the Preface 1971 240 pages $9.95 SYSTEM/360 JOB CONTROL LANGUAGE By Gary DeWard Brown, THE RAND CORPORATION This manual presumes no knowledge of System/360 JCL and is appropriate for those familiar with any computer language whether they code in COBOL, FORTRAN, PL/I, assembly language, RPG, or some other language. The manual serves as a learning text for the programmer who wants to understand and use System/360 Job Control language, and as a reference for the experienced JCL programmer. Each Job Control language feature is described in complete detail, examples are given for its use, and possible applications are discussed. 1970 292 pages paper, $7.95 AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSING System/360 Edition By Frederick P. Brooks, Jr., UNIVERSITY OF NORTH CAROLINA AT CHAPEL HILL, and Kenneth E. Iverson, THOMAS J. WATSON RESEARCH CENTER, IBM Of direct interest to data processing specialists and to workers in all fields, this outstanding volume covers the fundamental aspects of data processing common to all fields of application. It illustrates and applies theoretical material solely in terms of IBM's System/360 computers. Since Professor Brooks managed the design of the System/360, this is an especially authoritative introduction to machine principles and functions. 1969 466 pages $14.50 WI LEY-INTERSCI ENCE a division of JOHN WILEY & SONS, Inc. 605 Third Avenue, New York, N.Y. 10016 In Canada: 22 Worcester Road, Rexdale, Ontario 35 LYING BY THE UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT: AN "ACCEPTABLE LEVEL"? Edmund C. Berkeley Editor, Computers and Automation Every now 'and then these days I find out something that lacerates and splinters all my hopes and desires to have a good opinion of. an admiration for. the present United States Government. and its "national security" arm. the Pentagon and the military. In the years 1942-1946. I was on active duty in the U.S. Naval Reserve. and my last rank was Lieutenant Commander; and in those years, how much I admired the U.S. Navyl I have wondered for a long time how reliable are the figures issued by the computers in the Pentagon about the number of deaths of Americans and Asians as a result of the war in Vietnam. The battle death toll of Americans is currently reported by the Pentagon to be somewhere between 50,000 and 55,000. I happen to believe that the citizens of the United States, a democracy. are entitled to "the truth. the whole truth. and nothing but the truth" from the government which they have chosen to serve them. Apparently, the truthful battle death toll (including the toll of the aftermath of battle and of the destruction of a soldier into a living corpse) is at least 200,000 Americans. Fol~owing is an excerpt from a most important book, "Conversations with Americans" by Mark Lane. pub~ished by Simon and Schuster (630 Fifth Ave., New York, N.Y., 1970. 247 pp). Peter Sc~wed, the president of Simon and Schuster, told me in converiation that they had most carefully verified the information in the book before they published it. Most of the book consists of verbatim testimony from 32 Vietnam veterans, accounts based on tape recorded interviews of how the U.S. Marine Corps and other military groups trained them in torture tactics, and of the atrocities and massacres these soldiers witnessed or participated in. But in the introduction there occurs the following report: "If Americans know less than all there is to know about the terrible cost the war is imposing upon the civilian population of South Vietnam, they know next to nothing of the real cost America is paying for its adventure. "The real price is in the sacrifice of an entire generation. "Some of the untold stories may be gathered in the hospitals in Japan, Germany, and the United States. Major Thomas Engelsing, now chief of the in-patient service in psychiatry at the Army's 97th General Hospital in Frankfurt, told me that as a result of immediate medical contact with the wounded in Vietnam Lives are saved in this war. Lives of men who in any other war would have died. Men with multiple amputations, blinded,very serious brain inj uries. As a result, the Army facilities are now overfilled with men who are not rehabilitable. 36 He said that he had received a directive not to evacuate wounded to the United States because they are just filled up in the States; there is no more room. "Major Engelsing said that the facilities in Germany are so overcrowded that he has had to ignore the directive. A colonel who had just returned to Germany from the United States had told him that conditions in Army hospitals and Veterans Administration hospitals in the U.S. are so deplorable and the facilities so overcrowded that a substantial number of doctors and nurses, unable to stand the depressing scene any longer, have asked to be transferred to Germany or even to Vietnam. Conditions in Army and Navy hospitals in Japan are similar --perhaps slightly worse. "The Administration nevertheless has found a new method for reducing casualty figures. A man with both arms and legs blown off and suffering incurable brain damage is listed by the Pentagon merely as "wounded." When he dies in an Army hospi tal in the United States or in Japan or Okinawa he becomes a domestic military death -- not charged to the war, not added to the total. In this fashion U.S. losses in Vietnam are kept at an acceptable level, to borrow a Pentagon term. But for each man who dies on the battlefield in this war, doctors and medics have told me, another probably dies elsewhere. And for each who has died, perhaps one or two others will be unable to functiori ever again. The official figure for American deaths in Vi~tnam is over 45,000. But a figure several times that would more accurately reflect the number of young men lost forever. Yet even that figure would fail to comprehend the permanent damage done to so many who have fought in Vietnam who have not been physically wounded." (End of excerpt.) Some confirmation in general of what Mark Lane here says may be found in an article in "The Washington Monthly" for April 1971, (published at 1150 Connecticut Ave., N.W., Washington, D.C.) This article is entitled "The Burn War" by Ronald J. Glasser, a major, 1968-1970, in the United States Army Medical Corps. Glasser more or less matter of factly tells the story of a burned and dying American soldier, David Grant, in an American-run hospital at Kishine, Japan. Grant, 20 years old, was carrying detonators in his rucksack, and they blew up, and put him on fire. The half dozen pages describe the death of David Grant from burns and bacterial infection. After his savage suffering and death, this boy is NOT counted as a battle death. Every information system, computerized or not computerized, is foully contaminated by lies. To say that American deaths from fighting in a war are 50,000 when they are actually over 200,000 is a lie. Americans must not continue to tolerate lying by their government. The persons who lie, and the persons who cooperate in the concealment and the lying such as President Richard M. Nixon, who is responsible for knowing the "over 200,000" figure, must be voted out of office, or otherwise dismissed from the government of the United States. COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 LI FE SUPPORT AND WAR CONTROL SYSTEMS FOR PLANET EARTH Howard Kurtz War Control Planners Box 35 Chappaqua, N. Y. 10514 Without danger to the national security of the United States, the President of the United States, with strong bi-partisan support in Congress, can launch new strategic initiatives to chart a new historic course for world civilization: All nations can be invited to direct a portion of their research and development budgets toward a cooperative war prevention decade. No risk to the security of any nation will be incurred, because no nation will be asked to turn over its defense to the experimental global safety organizations. The experiments can go forward with U.S. initiatives, no matter which nations join or hold back at present. Matters can be so arranged that any nation can enter into the experiment at any later date. This mobilization of American creativity for world leadership will be in addition to continued essential defense efforts. The following tentative description of a large-scale strategic initiative is offered: to be debated; to be improved; to stimulate the creative thought of others, ~ithin their special fields. 1. Global Safety and Development Services Military and technical and intelligence experts of all cooperating nations will work together developing and testing military surveillance capabilities. All information will be unclassified. Knowledge and experience will be accumulated pertinent to that future time when a world-wide peace-keeping authority will be in existence. It will be assumed that individuals will distort information due to political or national loyalty, and this will be a decade of experiment in multi-national checks and balances to correct for such distortions. It also will be a decade of experiment with increasing capacities and inadequacies of computers and cybernetic systems, in the evaluation of global safety intelligence. 2. Secrecy Any nation may try to keep secret any information it considers essential to its security, but it will not be able to prevent other nations from making public such information if they are cognizant of it. The Soviet Union, for example, could make public to the world any information it has about American military activity, or the United States could make public similar information about the military activities of all other nations, from intelligence gathered through any source. Although this ten-year prototype experiment will be inaugurated with information garnered from Earthorbiting satellites and high flying airplanes, nations will be able to provide input from all intelligence channels. 3. Incidents or Crises The United States will announce the commitment of a special ten-year continuing series of ne~ earthorbiting Satellites and associated systems (computerized and other) to the future safety and wellbeing of mankind. Whenever border incidents or war between nations occur. close-up surveillance of both sides, day and night. can supply the world's public with current facts of alleged or actual hostile actions. Audiovisual information from the centers may be transmitted onto home television screens in times of special emergency, by the flip of a switch. A giant open-to-the-public information display and model global safety and development management center ~ill be built somewhere near the United Nations Headquarters, ~here the intelligence information garnered by these systems ~ill be fully available to the press and the public. All nations having the capability to launch Earthorbiting satellites will be invited to provide their share of scheduled launchings. Otherwise the experiments will go onward with U.S.-launched satellites. All cooperating nations can build identical opento-the-public management centers. These ~ill be in continuous communication and will operate simultaneously through a global information exchange network. These satellites, associated systems and ground support centers and computers will have t~o principal functions: First, to maintain public inventory of all potentially dangerous military activity for planet Earth. This will be a new, additional level of world military intelligence, separate from each nation's military intelligence, and serving as an additional potential safeguard against a war starting by mistake, or misunderstanding. Second, to assist the economic development and human wellbeing of all nations by providing information of all types to nations on a continuing and immediate basis. COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 All nations will be invited to design and produce intelligence-gathering instruments to be placed on these experimental "eyes in the sky." A new kind of "race" will be launched in which all nations. large and small. can make contributions to the future safety and wellbeing of mankind, in contrast to the race to produce powers of violence to destroy world ci viliza ti on. 4. Non-Military Benefits Perhaps the greatest benefits will come from the non-military uses of global public inventory services. In the United States. the National Aeronautics and Space Administration, the Department of Agriculture. the Department of the Interior. the Geologic Survey. the Department of Fisheries. the Federal Aviation Agency and many other departments and agencies already have experiments in progress for a series of Earth Resources Technology Satellites (ERTS) to be launched beginning in 1972 in Earth orbit. Through the global information centers and other channels these powers being created in the 1970s will ?e utilized to serve mankind, rather than in the sole Interests of the United States. Experiments are in progress to use satellites for air and sea and land 37 navigation and traffic control, and for search & rescue and emergency help anywhere in the ~orld. In time, even the smallest lifeboat in the largest ocean will be located by these new systems, to save human Ii ves. Experiments now under way will make it possible to maintain inventory of overy kind of agricultural crop and herd, in every country in the world, every day, from outer space. Other experiments in process will make it possible to determine the chemical content of surrounding soil, and its moisture content, and therefore predict the quality and quantity of all crops for the future global markets. Global meteorological services already are·in existence using photography from outer space. Satellites will be used to locate the largest schools of fish in the oceans of the world and to direct fishing fleets to them by radio, to facilitate feeding the hungry of the world. Information will be made available to all nations to monitor the pollution of the air and water throughout the planet, daily. These same sensors will detect illicit military production as 'it changes the pollution in its environment. Geologic surveys from outer space will help nations locate oil and mineral and other natural resources. Global forestry management services and water management services will help all nations toward maximum productivity to meet their human needs. 5. The Changed Character of Government-Sponsored Research Faculty, student and public support for government-sponsored research will grow to encourage the pioneering of peace technology •.. war safety control intelligence ••• war prevention control experiments •.. global development services •.. with research and development directed toward pro-human purposes. All cooperating nations will be invited to participate in continuing series of war prevention games, seminars, workshops and conferences. (Where war games test the proficiency of nations in destroying each other, war prevention games will test the proficiency of nations in protecting each other from war.) 6. War Prevention Colleges New kinds of multi-national military colleges and war prevention colleges will study future law enforcement structures to enforce world safety law, and to maintain lasting world peace, instead of to wage world war. New kinds of multi-national engineering institutes and strategic "think factories" will pioneer the technical aspects of planetary armed forces management systems, eventually to bring an end to war. New kinds of economics schools and business colleges will project new concepts of global organization to manage Earth-orbiting satellites and other global services, in the interest of all nations, rather than in the interest of the superpowers. New kinds of political science colleges and schools of diplomacy will study unprecedented checks and balances and controls for the new world organization, or reconstituted Uniied Nations of the future, in which all nations will find national security ••. and in which all nations will find national independence. 7. A New American Purpose After World War I the League of Nations was established to bring an end to war. It was not given authority or power to achieve this objective. Then after World War II the United Nations was established to bring an end to war. It was not given the authority or power to achieve this objective. If we wait until after World War III to create the global public authority capable, in fact, of bringing an end to war ••• it will be too late. One thing is certain: no progress will be made through present global strategies of the two superpowers or until a massive research and development and testing commitment is made, and maintained, firmly committed to this goal of a future free from war. No risk to the national security is involved in the experiments which art herewith proposed. THE GROWTH OF THE COMPUTER INDUSTRY James B. Hunter, President Digital Scientific Corp. San Diego, Calif. We predict that the computer industry will double in size every three years in the near-at-hand future, but the number of companies in it will be reduced by half. Our projections indicate that our industry will grow at a rate of at least 30% per year, or slightly more, for at least the next several years. Thus it will be twice today's size in just about three years, and we expect it to continue to grow at that rate." We also predict a drastic shakeout, expecially among manufacturers of so-called "mini-computers." Today there are around 100 companies making small computers. We expect there will be room for 20 or 30 at the most. We expect the greatest portion of qrowth in the computer industry to be in "midi-computers." A "midi-computer" is a high-speed computer which will operate alone or in concert with very large machines. "Midi-computers" apply to communications processing, controlling high-performance peripheral devices, and many other tasks for science and business. Based on our record to date, we expect to grow faster than a 3Q%-a-year rate. Our company is just over three years old; it has jumped from an annual sales rate of $4,000,000 last year to an anticipated $10 million in 1971. We see no reason why we can't continue or even increase this rate of growth. New kinds of law schools and bar associations and world law institutes will continue to pioneer new concepts of inter-nation conflict law, and undersea resource management law, and other unprecedented imperatives for planet-wide law, and enforcement power. 38 COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 CALENDAR OF COMING EVENTS May 3-5, 1971: Data Processing Supplies Association, Affiliate Membership Meeting, Copenhagen, Denmark / contact: Data Processing Supplies Association, 1116 Summer St., Stamford, Conn. 06905 May 5-6, 1971: 16th Annual Data Processing Conference of Univ. of Alabama Graduate School of Business and Division of Continuing Education, Parliament House Motor Hotel, 420 South 20th St., Birmingham, Ala. / contact: C. E. Adams, Director of Conference Activities, Box 2987, University, Ala. 35486 May 11-13, 1971: IEEE (Institute of Electrical and Electronic Engineers) 1971 Region Six Conference, Wood lake Inn, Sacramento, Calif. / contact: Dr. D. H. Gillot, Co-Chmn, IEEE Region 6 Conference, Sacramento State College, Dept. Of Electrical Engineering, 6000 Jay St., Sacramento, Calif. 95819; or, Dr. R. F. Soohoo, Program Chmn., IEEE Region 6 Conference, Univ. of California at Davis, Dept. of Electrical Engineering, Davis, Calif. 95616 July 26·29, 1971: First International Computer Exposition for Latin America, sponsored by the Computer Society of Mexico, Camino Real Hotel, Mexico City, Mexico / contact: Bernard lane, Computer Exposition, Inc., 254 West 31st St., New York, N.Y. 10001 Aug. 3·5, 1971: ACM '71 "Decade .of Dialogue", Conrad Hilton Hotel, Chicago, III. / contact: AI Hawkes, Computer Horizons, 53 West Jackson Blvd., Chicago, III. 60604 Aug. 3-6, 1971: IFAC Symposium on The Operator, Engineer and Ma~. agement Interface with the Process Control Computer, Purdue University, lafayette, Ind. / contact: Dr. Theodore J. Williams, Purdue laboratory for Applied Industrial Control, Purdue University, lafay· ette, Ind. 47907 Aug. 11.13, 1971: Joint Automatic Control Conference, Washington Univ., St. louis, Mo. / contact: R. W. Brockett, Pierce Hall, Harvard Univ., Cambricge, Mass. 02138 May 12-14, 1971: Annual Regulatory Information Systems Conference of the Missouri Public Service Commission, Chase-Park Plaza Hotel, St. louis, Mo. I contact: Sam l. Manley, Secretary, Missouri Public Service Commission, Jefferson City, Mo. 65101 May 12-14, 1971: 22nd Annual Conference of the American Institute of Industrial Engineers (AilE), Boston, Mass. / contact: Anthony J. Jannetti, Exhibit Manager, c/o Charles B. Slack, Inc., Pitman, N.J. 08071 May 18-20, 1971: Spring Joint Computer Conference, Convention Ctr., Atlantic City, N.J. / contact: AFIPS Headquarters, 210 Summit Ave., Montvale, N.J. 07645 May 21-22, 1971: Communications Systems Management Association First National Meeting, New York City, N.Y. / contact: CSMA Convention, P.O. Box 2805, Wilmington, Del. 19805 May 24-26, 1971: Power Industry Computer Applications Technical Conference, Statler Hilton Hotel, Boston, Mass. / contact: P. l. Dandeno, Hydro Electric Power Commission of Ontario, 620 University Ave., Toronto, Ontario, Canada May 24-28, 1971: 2nd International IFAC Conference and Exhibition "P.R.P.-Automation", Centenary Halls, Brussels, Belgium / contact: IFAC/P.R.P.-Automation, Jan van Rijswijcklaan 58, B-2000 Antwerp, Belgium June 1.4, 1971: Seventh Annual Data Processing and Automation Con· ference, National Rural Electric Cooperative Association, The Riviera Hotel, Atlanta, Ga. / contact: C. E. Aultz, NRECA, 2000 Florida Ave., N.W., Washington, D.C. 20009 June 2·5, 1971: 3rd IFAC/IFIP Conference on Digital Computer Applications to Process Control, Technical University, Otaniemi, finland / contact: 3rd IFAC/IFIP Conference, Box 10192, Helsinki 10, Finland June 3·5, 1971: Conference on Area-Wide Health Data Network, School of Medicine, State Univ. of New York at Buffalo, Buffalo, N.Y. / contact: Continuing Medical Education, 2211 Main St., Buffalo, N.Y. 14214 June 7-9, 1971: International Computer Forum and Exposition (ComFor), McCormick Place-on-the-lake, Chicago, III. / contact: National Electronics Conference, Inc., Oakbrook Executive Place ", 1211 W. 22nd St., Oak Brook, III. 60521 June 21-22, 1971: Ninth Annual Conference of the Special Interest Group on Computer Personnel Research of the Association for Computing Machinery, Center for Continuing Education, Univ. of Chicago, III. / contact: Fred A. Gluckson, EDP Systems Dept., National Bank of Detroit, Detroit, Mich. 48232 PROBLEM CORNER Walter Penney, CDP Problem Editor Computers and Automation PROBLEM 715: A RUN AROUND THE BASES When Claude Liffey entered the classroom, he saw John Lawthorne at his desk studying a pageful of calculations. "That's not right, is it," he said, pointing to an example John had just finished writing: 10.01 x 100.01 1010.0001. "Shouldn't the answer be 1001.1001 since 2 1/4 x 4 1/4 is 9 9/16?" "That would be right if this were binary, but it isn't. That is, 1 and a are the only digits used, but the base isn't 2." "Then it probably isn't positional. Something like Roman Numbers?" "Not at all, it's completely positional, on both sides of the point", John said. He continued in the manner of a sightseeing guide. "On the left we have powers of the base and on the right we have reciprocals of the base and its powers." "What is all this then?" "Well, it's an exercise I was thinking of using in my class. We're studying number systems now and I thought I'd give them a change from the usual bases and develop some really far-out system for them. Look at this example," he said, poin ting to 1000.100 1 + 1010.000 1 = 1010 1.0 1al. "Would you believe these are all integers?" "Too much for me. Do you expect your students to figure this out?" asked Claude. "Well, yes and no. I don't think anyone could determine the base used." Is this true? Solution to Problem 714: The Numbers Game July 19.21, 1971: 1971 Summer Computer Simulation Conference. Sheraton-Boston Hotel, Boston, Mass. / contact Dona Id H. Niesse, McDonnell Automation Co., Dept. K676, Box 516, St. louis, Mo. 63166, or, Peter Stein, McGraw-Hili Publishing Co., 607 Boylston St., Boston, Mass. 02116 He started with 3249, getting 0576 as the result of the first operation. The numbers 24 and 57 then repeated endlessly. July 19·23, 1971: Conference, on Computers in Chemical Education and Research, Northern Illinois Univ., DeKalb, III. / contact: Dr. F. M. Miller, Dept. of Chemistry, Northern Illinois Univ., DeKalb, III. 60115 Readers are invited to submit problems (and their solutions) for publication in this column to: Problem Editor, Computers and Automation, 815 Washington St., Newtonville, Mass. 02160. COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 39 ACROSS THE EDITOR'S DESK 35-LB. COMMUTER COMPUTER UPS TRAFFIC FLOW 500% IN NEW YORK CAPITAL was put into effect on March 15. On that date, notification and official input forms were mailed to over 25,000 priests and pastors of three leading denominations and the National Council of Churches. A minicomputer-controlled network of traffic signal s has increased the flow of cars and trucks in the business di strict of Albany, New York, from 1,000 cars per hour to nearly 5,000, while saving a significant amount of municipal money in manpower and congestion costs. The system, called RAPIDTRAC, uses Varian Data Machines' 620/i digital minicomputer. The mi ni ster' s input form now being disfributed asks for a wide range of information, incl uding interests and skills. This information will be fed into the computers of the various denominations and the National Council of Churches. Each participant then will receive a printout so that he will be able to review and approve hi s own record. Designed specifically for Albany's Central Business Oi strict by Computran Systems Corp., Hacken sack, N.J., RAPIDTRAC -- for Real-Time Automatic Programmed Intersection Digi tal Traffic Cont rol -- has provision for such interrupts as 'fire preempt'. Fire stations in the vicinity can use small consoles within the fi rehouse i tsel f to interrupt the normal flow of traffic and command the 620/i to optimize the fire equipment's travel through downtown intersections. Beginni ng next fall, any congregation of the Episcopal, American Baptist or Lutheran Church in America that has a vacant pastorate may apply to its national headquarters data bank and receive personnel profiles on ministers looking specifically for its kind of parish. The congregation will then follow up by conducting interviews and making its own selection. APPLICATIONS The minicomputer accepts signal s from a network of 65 traffic detection loops buried in the road pavement at selected locations. The 620/i' s memory identifies and records measurements of the tr"lffic on a continual "trend" basi s, and al ters the timing of each traffic signal to optimize the flow of traffic through the two-square-mile network. Typical cycle time of a signal is &) seconds, maintaining about a 30-m.p.h. synchronized flow of traffic. The system, designed with the prime consideration of safety, can adjust the delicate rhythms of traffic signals according to wet, icy or snowy weather condi tion s, as well as for unusual fluctuations in traffic density such as holidays, parades and various civic observations. The Varian 620/i provides RAPIDTRAC wi th automatic status reports on command. It al so provides an interactive information retrieval capabil i ty vi a a tel etype terminal for traffic engineers' communications. The system, designed by Information Science, Inc., New City, N. Y., is programmed primarily in COBOL to operate on IBM 360/30 (65 K) under DOS. Each denomination will maintain its own separate, but compatible, computer system. While they will use the same computer programs, each will maintain its own data base and have complete control of its own information. In addi tion to pari sh mini sters, the system will contain data about other personnel, such as agricultural, medical and other missionaries. It also will be used to assist in educational program planning, salary research studies and career counseling. OTC QUOTE SYSTEM ACTIVATED BY BUNKER-RAMO CHURCHES ANNOUNCE NEW PERSONNEL INFORMATION SYSTEM NASDAQ, a new system that makes OTC s to c k quo tat i 0 II sill S t ,. n tl y available on a nationwide basis, became full y operational in February, reporting bid and ask prices on 2, :~oo unli sted issues. The quotes of numerous market makers deal ing in each stock are available in 700 trading rooms coast-to-coast through the new compu teri zed network developed by Bunker-Ramo Corporation, Stamford, Conn. How can a congregation and the right pastor or priest find each other? The answer is the computerized Church Manpower System whiCth The system employs dual UNIVAC 1180's, 8 modified Honeywell 5l6's, 30,000 miles of high-speed lines, and 1,500 CRT terminals. The cen- 40 tral computers calculate median quotes on all issues and these are available to investors through thousands of brokerage offices which already have subscribed to the new service through their existing quotation systems. Special Bunker-Ramo cathode ray tube terminal s are used to look up, enter and update their bid/ask quotes. Unlike an exchange-traded stock which is quoted by a single specialist, an OTC stock is quoted by up to 40 market makers, each of whom may have a different bid and offer. NASDAQ enables trading room personnel to see all such quotes on any issue in a few seconds by entering a stock symbol on the terminal keyboard. Brokerage office personnel, through Bunker-Ramo's Telequote III or other similar services, obtain median NASDAQ quotes by a simple keyset interrogation simil ar to that performed for li sted stock quotations. The $25,000,000 system is operated by Bunker-Ramo under a contract with the National Association of Securities Dealers, a regulatory body for all over-the-counter securities trading. NASDAQ is an acronym for National Association of Securi ties Dealers Automated Quotations, and is a trademark of the NASD. NASDAQ is expandable to accommodate up to 10 ,000 stock sand to perform other functions for the sec uri ties industry such as the recording and clearing of all trades. TRANS WORLD AIRLINES IS TESTING COMPUTERS WITH COMPUTERS Trans World Airlines announced recently that one of two Bendix automatically controlled computerized test stations has been put into operation at TWA's Technical Services Center, Kansas Ci ty International Airport. The install ation is the fi rst maj or step taken to apply computer science to the testing of the advanced state electronic equipment on the airline's growing fleet of Boeing 747 widebodied jet s. The new equipment is currently programmed to automatically test generator panels, flight steering computers and the PB20 automatic pilot, all found aboard the Boeing 707's or 727's. According to J.T. Davi s, staff vice president of maintenance and overhaul. In addition to a sharp reduction in test time, adVantages of the new test station, incl ude a check-out of equipment to COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 a far greater extent and wi th greater assurance of complete reliability. An auto-pilot amplifier, for instance, is being checked out in less than two hours using the new equipment. Formerly, testing time could run as much as a full working day on each auto-pilot. When fully implemented into TWA's maintenance operation, the Bendix test stations will be capable of checking out all auto-pilot and flight director type equipment and will extend the exi sting capabili ty for testing digital avionics. The test stations, Bendix series model 260 and 270, also will be used for testing of communications and radio navigational aid avionics. TIGHTER CONTROL OVER GUNS PROVIDED BY IBM COMPUTER FOR NATIONAL DISTRIBUTOR Dayton Gun Headquarters (Ohio), a national distributor of firearms, hunting supplies, fishing tackle and archery equipment,has insti tuted further safeguards for the control and di stribution of fi rearms with the installation of an IBM System/3 Model 10. The Model 10 provi des more accurate record keeping and faster access to gun serial numbers. Under the previous manual system, the chance of transcription errors taking place as serial numbers were recorded was always present, and the manual process was time consuming. With the new system, as guns come in from the manufacturer, the comprehensive inventory (including a listing of all seri al numbers) is entered into the computer. When i terns are sold, the computer automatically deducts the indi vidual uni t s from inventory. Records of the guns shipped to a particul ar deal er al so are recorded in the computer. Before the shipments are made, a final visual check of serial numbers is made to assure that all units are accounted for. In the event a seri al number inqui ry is received from some law enforcement agency, the computer can quickly identify the appropriate dealer that received the units. The IBM system al so reviews each order pI aced wi th the company and checks it against a master list of 1,500 gun dealers to insure the customer receiving the order is licensed for gun sales. In the event a dealer's license either is not registered or has expired, the computer will omit the guns from the order and print a notation on the invoice telling him why guns are not being shipped. "In many cases," Lee Brock, treasurer of Dayton Gun, says, "a COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 dealer simply forgets to send us a copy of his renewed license. But this system puts the burden of proof on the government to issue the license and the dealer to let us know of his certification." The system also provides a number of financial support and inventory control functions for the company. DETROIT AREA RETAILERS CAN NOW SELECT STORE LOCATIONS WITH AID OF A COMPUTER Retailers in the Detroit area, planning to establish new outlets, now can receive computer assistance to help them pick the best location to attract maximum customer trade. The servi ce, operated by the Detroit News (Michigan), is made possible by a large-scale Sperry Rand UNIVAC 1108 computer system in Chicago and Computer Sciences Corporation's nationwide time-sharing network known as INFONET. Current and potential advertisers in the Detroi t News can use the service, which is known as a Pilot Site Analysis Program. The program estimates the number of households, total gross consumer income and dollar value of the total commodi ty market wi thin a fi ve mile radius of a proposed retail site. This trading area is subdivided into nine smaller segments. Households, income and commodity estimates and proj ections for each of the nine segments are based on dwelling unit intensity with each area. Results are then added to provide totals for a trading area. To perform the analysi s, the computer employs some programs already in its "library" plus others especially prepared by the Detroit News staff. Codes representing data on each of the nine trading area segments are transmi tted over leased telephone lines from the Detroit ·News terminal to the Uni vac computer. Wi thin 20 minutes, the total data compri sing a pil ot si te anal ysi sis printed out on a low-speed printer. The analysi s i s photocopied with accompanying maps and bound into a report. Normally such an analysis would cost a retailer more than $1,000 if he used a consultant. It costs the Detroi t News $7 and the retailer gets it free as a news service. To date, more than 76 pilot site analyses have been run by the newspaper. EDUCATION NEWS TWO RCA COMPUTERS HELP TEACH APPALACHIAN-AREA ELEMENTARY AND HIGH SCHOOL STUDENTS The Eastern Kentucky Educational Development Corp. recently dedicated a new RCA computer installation to help teach almost 2,000 Appalachianarea el ementary and high school students. A total of 34 teletypewri ter computer terminal s are located in 26 semi-rural and rural publ ic and parochial school s, the Kentucky School for the Deaf and the Federal Youth Center, a correctional institution for boys. All 34 termi nal s are 1 inked by tel ephone lines to an RCA Spectra 70/45 and an RCA 1600 computer, both of which are housed at the Holy Family Catholic School, Ashland, Kentucky. According to EKEDC Director Edwin R. Jones, the CAl program is similar to those now operating in such metropolitan areas as Cincinnati and New York City. He noted, however, that this is probably the first time it has been attempted in an area where participating school s are so widely scattered. The EKEDC is a non-profi t cooperative serving 32 school districts. Most of the school s are anywhere from 50 to 200 miles a~ay from the EKEDC computer center, wi th some of them being in such remote areas that telephone 1 ines had to be installed before the terminal s coul d be connected. Each tel etypewri ter terminal can accommodate approximately 60 students per day and offers an individualized "give and take" relationship wi th every child. "By individualizing instruction according to a child's level of ability, it provides the motivation needed by so many of our socially disadvantaged to compete in a world for which they are otherwi se so poorly prepared," Mr. Jones said. Besides computer assisted instruction, the RCA computer install ation al so will be used to process such school district admini strative data as student schedules, grade report s and teacher payroll s. KIDS AND COMPUTERS At Polytechnic Insti tute of Brooklyn (New York) 14 typical youngste:r;s -- not geniuses -- are receiving a thoroughly modern education, and having fun. The students fifth, sixth and seventh graders at Anna C. Scott Elementary School in Leonia, N.J. -- travel to Polytechnic's downtown Brooklyn campus every Saturday for their two-hour, non-credit weekly course. 41 " ••• One of the main reasons for our program is to insure that these kids "don't develop the feeling of awe toward computers that is imbedded in most adults," said Dr. Norbert Hauser, head of Polytechnic's Operations Research and System Analysi s Department. "We want them to get a basic understanding of what a computer can do -- to learn something about computer technology, modeling, mathematics and programming." Dr. Hauser, who donates hi s time, and two paid assi stant s are conducting the 10-week program. The course was arranged through the elementary school's Home and School Association. Norman Falk, a Home and School Association member who drives the children to Polytechnic every week, said the members feel that thi s supplement to a normal elementary school education will have far-reaching and beneficial results -- not only for the 14 students enrolled, but for the entire educational process at the elementary school level. Having learned an elementary computer 1 anguage known as 'BASIC' , the students use it to work math problems -- such as finding square roots -- and inventing random number guessing games in which the computer is programmed by them to answer correctly. Probably the most ambi tious proj ect undertaken by any of the students has been an attempt to write a program for estimating the number of cars which cross the George Washington Bridge in one day. Mr. Falk said, "This boy had to take into consideration such factors as how many lanes are in use, how fast the vehicles travel, and how long the cars wait at toll booths. The problem finally became so complicated that he couldn't finish it. Right now, he's programming an imaginary game of Russian Roulette." MOBILE OIL DONATES IBM SYSTEM TO PURDUE Donation of an IBM 7094-1401 computer system by the Mobil Oil Corporation to Purdue University's Computing Center recently was announced jointly by the corporation and the uni versi ty. Prof. SaUl Rosen, director of the Purdue Computing Center, said the contribution provides "an added link in a unique mul ticomput"er system." The Computing Center already includes two other 7094' s, two 1401' s and a third-generation CDC 6500, the key instrument in the Purdue system. Each of the 7094's has a memory of 32,768 36-bit words, or data units, while the 6500 has a memory of 98,304 6O-bit words. Purdue now 42 uses a 7094 to drive more than 60 terminal s in a system called PROCSY (Purdue Remote On-line Console System). Rosen said that one of the direct benefits to Purdue from Mobil Oil's gift would be the expansion of PROCSY to more than 100 terminal s. The expansion will be achieved by using two 7094' s as front end machines, while continuing to run Purdue's PUFFT system on a third 7094. PUFFT isafast FORTRAN compil ing system developed at Purdue to run student jobs on the 7094. I At thi s time more than 2,000 such jobs are run every day and a 7094 could easily run twice that number, Rosen noted. More than 100 courses on Purdue's main and regional campuses, including courses in such diverse areas as engineering, English, psychology and even home economics, regularly have assignments that require computer use. RESEARCH FRONTIER MAP MAKING TIME REDUCED BY DIGITAL CARTOGRAPHIC SYSTEM An experimental system for dramatically reducinh the time involved in color map making was described recently by an IBM engineer at the American Society of Photogrammetry Convention. The system uses a drumtype optical scanner/plotter, an IBM 1130 computer, and an IBM 2250 Model IV display unit to produce separation negatives for multicolor maps. It can reduce engravi ng time for map generation from months to as little as one day. The system first converts colored-pencil line drawings into binary information (l's and O's). Then the computer, acting in the role of an "engraver", puts together an image composed of mic roscopic spots, as commanded by the recognized colored-pencil codes. Film transparencies, each will millions of the square spots, are created on the optical scanner/plotter. These transparencies are used for making the lithographic plates for the color printing presses. The system was developed for the Uni ted States Army Engineer Topographic Laboratories, Fort Belvoir, Virginia. It is described in detail in a paper entitled "ComputerAided Mapping: A Total System Approach," written by Dr. P. June Min and Donald R. Thompson of IBM's Systems Development Laboratory. A copy of the paper is available from IBM Corporation,Systems Develop- ment Division, Neighborhood Rd., Kingston, N.Y. 12401. METALLURGIST DESCRIBES COMPUTER-MICROSCOPE COMBINATION An unusual experimental configuration consisting of a scanning electron microscope (SEM) coupled to an IBM System/360 Model 44 computer has been described by IBM metallurgist Richard Pyle speaking at the American Chemical Society's 161st National Spring Meeting. The equi pment provides "on-Ii neff or immediate chemical analysis of the specimen under observation. Where the conventional light optical microscope can magnify up to 2,000 times, the SEM can make an object appear more than 50,000 its real size~ "Digital computers operate from digi tal inputs," Mr. Pyle explained. "Substituting adigital scanner for an analog scanner eliminates several roadblocks. The computer is no longer hindered from its task of collecting and analyzing data from the SEM. On-the-spot analysis is possible." The paper, titled: "An On-Line Scanning Electron Microscope/Pseudo Electron Microprobe System," is coauthored by IBM's Poughkeepsie development laboratory engineers, Robert B. Togan, Timothy C. Hartmann, and Mark L. Shulman. MISCELLANEOUS JAPAN NOW EXPORTS TECHNICAL KNOW HOW Hitach~ Ltd., Tokyo, Japan, has announced the availability of 513 of their U.S. patents for licensee arrangements. Selected from over 20,000 patents granted to the company, they cover eqUipment in several fields, including communications, electronic components, and electronic computers. Examples of the Hitachi patents in the electronic computer category include: a system for curve plotting including interpolation; an electrical device for compensating a digital execution time in hybrid computer systems; a pen-tracking system in cathode ray tube display equipment; and an opto-electronic input and output memory device. Further information may be obtained by contacting Licensing Operations, Hitachi America, Ltd., 437 Madison Ave., New York, N.Y. 10022. COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 NEW PRODUCTS AND SERVICES DESCRIPTION FOR MORE INFORMATION For users whose computer requirements range from mediumscale operations to those combining large data bases, remote computing, and extensive remote and local terminal networks / CYBER 70® family's four systems are software compatiblej and users may link with CDC's CYBERNET network whenever desirable A custom OEM version of the MAC Jr. minicomputer / can effect cost savings to 25% for many minicomputer users / provides expansion from 2 to 28K words of 16-bit memory within computer chassis / memory cycle is 1 useCj add time is 2 usec / I/O structure expandable / selection of standard peripherals / several options Will accommodate 17 fifteen-inch printed circuit boards in 1O~" of rack space / dual power supply has been added to standard 800/1200 power supply / Jumbo Nova 1200 can be upgraded to a Jumbo Nova 800 by simple exchange of plug-in memory and CPU boards / to be shown at SJCC General purpose computer combining intermediate-scale DP capability with small-system economy / runs under DOSj provides opportunity for using COBOL, FORTRAN and RPG II / two main-storage sizes: 24,576 bytes and 32,7ffi bytes / basic cycle time of CUP is 0.75 usec Aerospace computer for nearly any environment / adaptable to wide variety of applications by changing or substituting memory and input/output modules /basic M-341 includes digital bus card, parallel-type central processor card, core memory several I/O modules and power supply / uses include general testing and process control Custom designed to user specifications / 16-, 12-, or 8-bit word lengths / asynchronous machine with typical add times in 400- to 500-nsec range / application areas include educational, medical, machine tool,manufacturing Business-oriented mini with 100-200K bits (48 bitword length) of magnetic drum memory / 2.5 msec average access time / direct memory access, accepts decimal as well as binary arithmetic, interface system can handle to 15 input and 16 o~tput devices / two versions: Standard, 2048 words and Expanded, 4096 words Multi-purpose aerospace digital computer, modular design / single data and control bus interconnects all modules to standard interface / major elements include central processor module, memory modules, I/O module with built-in-test-equipment submodule and power supply module ! through-put varies wi th memory module used For scientific and engineering applications / up to 131,072 words of core memory~ 900-nsec memory cycle time, and 12 independent ports to memory / CPU is word-oriented (32 bits plus parity) and also is addressable in 8-bit bytes, halfwords and doublewords / compatible wi th Sigma 5 and 9 and all XDS peripherals General purpose minicomputer / includes 4096 words of core memory, a party line I/O bus, direct memory access, power supply, automatic priority interrupt, a front panel console wi th lock /620/i compatible, software and peripherals / low-cost ($5,400) / to be shown at SJCC Control Data Corp. 8100 34th Ave. So. Minneapolis, MN 55420 Attn: Kent R. Nichols A computer-controlled tape library retrieval systemj also performs administrative functions of record-keeping /includes one or more tape vault modules, one or more shuttles, one minicomputer console / operates in OS or DOS / First model, LCS-5, for the UNIVAC 1108 and IBM System/360-65 which typically have libraries ranging ,from 2500 to 40,000 tapes Advanced Digital Systems, Inc. 146 w. Main St. Mohawk, NY 13407 Attn: Norbert Andres NAME/MODEL NO. Digital CDC CYBER 70 family Flexible MAC Jumbo Nova 1200 and 800 IBM System/360 Model 22 Magic 341 PDP-16 Functional Computer PPC-50 SKC-2000 Xerox Sigma 8 Varian 620/L Lockheed Elec tronics Co., Inc. Data Products Division 6201 E. Randolph St. Los Angeles, CA 90040 Attn: Wm. W. Orrange Data General Corp. Route 9 Southboro, MA 01772 Attn: Dick Brown IBM Corp., Data Proc'g.Div. 1133 Westchester Ave. White Plains, NY 10604 Attn: R. F. Whalen Delco Electronics Div. of General Motors Corp. Milwaukee, WI 53201 Digital Equipment Corp. 146 Main St. Maynard, MA 01754 Attn: Mark Nigberg Peripheral Processor Co. c/o GHB Advtg. Inc. One East 42nd St. New York, NY 10017 Singer-General Precision, Inc. 1150 McBride Ave. Little Falls, NJ 07424 Attn: H. Magnuson Xerox Data Systems 701 So. Aviation BlVd. El Segundo, CA 90245 Attn: Chuck Ramsey Varian 611 Hansen Way Palo Alto, CA 94303 Special Purpose Systems Automatic Tape Library Control System COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 43 NAME/MODEL NO. FOR MORE INFORMATION DESCRIPTION Memories Ll07 Disc Memory (dual-capacity) Memory Sequence Control 1771 Disc Memery System 3-million bit storage capacity at 3600 RPM / 1800 RMP version of same unit offers capacity of 3.7 Mbits / applications include field-expandable extension of minicomputer mainframe memory, communications terminal storage. main or auxiliary memory for inventory control Increases memory capab il i ty of indus trial robots / permi ts group of steps to be stored only once by robot / thereafter, robot will refer back to as often as required to complete program / may be added to Unima te indus trial robot as field modification, essentially a matter of plugging it in For Data General NOVA family of computers / head-pertrack system ranging in size from 65 thousand to 1 million words on single disc / 17 msec average access time; wri te protect swi tch / validity check in every data transfer Librascope Div. The Singer Co. 808 Western AVe. Glendale, CA 91201 Unimation, Inc. Shelter Rock Lane Danbury, CT 06810 Data Disc Inc. 686 W. Maude Ave. Sunnyvale, CA 94086 Attn: Ron Troxell Software BASIC-l Business Planning Language (BPL) CBISLEARN EDP Auditor Extended BASIC Compiler/Interpreter 'MX03016', generalized format print module 1401 SUPER/SIM PRINT-FAST SNOFLAKE Program Writing System STENCIL Telecommunications Programming System (TPS) 44 Gives NCR Century 100 system on-line scientific-problem solving capability / two configurations: dedicated version, accommodating to 15 data terminals and entirely devoted to BASIC-I; dual installation accommodates to 10 terminals, using 32K memorywith only 16K for BASIC-l For developing and analyzing financial reports / uses standard accounting procedures to create and evaluate company's financial reports / easy-to-use language Computer assisted instruction (CAl) system for use of instructors not proficient in computers or programming / written in APL; operates under APL PLUS system of Scientific Time Sharing Corp. / implemented ini tially to work with multiple choice and true-false material For auditing computer-based systems / written in Assembly Language / run s on IBM 360 DOS, OS, and RCA Spectra computers, TDOS and DOS / can be used by any audi tor regardless of EDP experience For small to medium scale time-sharing systems / permits multiple users to execute BASIC programs in fully interactive time-share environment / design is modular / may be tailored to particular requirements An RPG-type program utilizing simple control cards to furnish lists and/or other formatted output from a single input card, tape or disk file / written in BAL for IBM 360/0S and DOS; core requirement, 20K Simulator which executes 1401 programs on S/360 under the control of PC~ OS/MF~ OS/MVT / spooled output reduces operator intervention / supports all standard 1401 features / requires maximum of 80K core storage, including 1401 program For providing maximum overlap of processing and printing to yield maximum printer speed for Assembly Language and COBOL programs / runs on any TOS/DOS IBM 360 system / no modifications to system required A function-oriented COBOL program writing system / user need not be programmer / available functions include report wri ting, label printing, file rebuilding and reformatting A parameter driven universal printing routine,first of a series designated FORMWARE / includes card, tape, or disk input; printed or spooled output / self-relocating, as small a parti tion as lOKI applications include personal ized letters, mailing labels, formatted dumps / ini tial version, 360/DOS Lets minicomputers serve as front-end processor for IBM System/360 and 370 / cons is ts of three modules - a Communications Processor Program; a 360/370-resident communications access method for non-emulatory preprocessor applications; anda Communication Program Generation facility for creating new Communications Processor Programs without writing assembly language code for minicomputer or removing it from communications processing service The National Cash Register Co. Main & K Sts. Dayton, OH 45409 Intrnatl. Timesharing Corp. 4620 W. 77th St. Minneapolis, MN 55435 Attn: R. E. Greiling CBIS Informations Systems 6355 Topanga Canyon Blvd. Suite 307 Woodland Hills, CA 91364 Cull inane Corp. One Boston Place Boston, MA 02108 Polymorphic Corp. 460 California Ave. Palo Alto, CA 94306 Computer Systems 29230 NW Evergreen Hillsboro, OR 97123 Hygain Technologies, Inc. 65 Whitney St. Westport, CT 06880 Atlantic Software Inc. 312 Lafayette Bldg. Fifth and Chestnut Sts. Philadelphia, PA 19106 Software Engineering, Inc. 143 Newland St. Norton, MA 02766 Attn: Stephen N. Mills Data Systems Auditors, Inc. 325 Chestnut St. Philadelphia, PA 19106 Attn: S. L. Carroll PHI Computer Services, Inc. 800 Massachusetts Ave. Arlington, MA 02174 Attn: John Pryke COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 NAME/MODEL NO. DESCRIPTION FOR MORE INFORMATION Peripheral Equipment CMC 761 Printer DEC terminal I Display Terminal DICOMED 36 Image Display GTU-l Interactive Data\ Input System IBM 3735 Programmable Buffered Terminal Model ADAC 1200 Coupler/Modem Multiplexor Input/Output Processor (MIOP) OMR-650 Desk-top Mark Scanner OPTRIX Unlimited Document Reader Voice Response System, Model 7050 Westinghouse 1600 Computer Terminal For CMC KeyProcessingCD Systems / on-line or off-line / speeds from average 356 Ipm to over 1000 Ipm / multiplecopy printout / 64-character, EBCDIC / compatible wi th all industry-standard tape codes Low-cost replacement of standard Teletypes on any computer using ASCII code /72 characters/line; 12-inch screen, capacity of 20 lines / transmission speeds of 110, 150, 300 baud; options 600,1200, and 2400 baud Offers both high resolution and ability to display four images simul taneously / converts digi tal image information to pictorial form, using array of over 4 million points / incorporates "random posi tion" capabili ty For use as either on-line or off-line data entry and-or retrieval uni t / includes custom-designed keyboard, microprocessor, video display system, and 2 magnetic tape cassette recorder-reproducers Stores over 20,000 bytes of information on one recording track / data can be wri tten and retrieved at rate of a million bytes per second / 3 disk tracks store data; 2 hold terminal's program / keyboard data entry / data may be stored for later transmission, unattended Main application expected to be with CRT terminals and printers operating in 30 cps to 120 cps speed range / maximum telephone handset data transmission rate of 1200 baud / transmission is asynchronous A front-end proces sor for SYSTEMS 72 / uses only one memory cycle per data transfer; can handle I/O operations up to one million bytes per second /basic MIOP consists of 16 channels (expandable to 64), each dedicated to a standard com uter or s stems eri heral Scans punched cards; marked forms up to 8~" x 11" accepts mark scan forms without modification / user may mark to 4,000 positions on 8~" x 11" sheet / uses: as data terminal with associated teleprinter; connected to off-line data collection device; or, on-line to large scale CPU or minicomputer Senses printed or written information on a document, regardless of ink used, at rates of 30 documents per second! ignores over-stamps, cancellation marks / sorts checks wi tti. less than one error in 50,000/ high speed writing detection applications Converts any telephone to computer terminal/stores virtually unlimited vocabulary / interfaces directly and remotely wi th most general purpose computers / telephone data access lines expand up to 256 if desired Self-contained, interactive CRT display for direct users or original equipment manufacturers /built-in interfacing allows plug-for-plug teletypewriter replacement or operation at data rates up to 9600 baud / functions synchronously or asynchronously / data processing, time-sharing and process control applications Computer Machinery Corp. 2231 Barrington Ave. Los Angeles, CA 90064 Attn: Ruth Wishner Digital Equipment Corp. 146 Main St. Maynard, MA 01754 Attn: Edgar Geithner DICOMED Corp. 7600 Parklawn Ave. Minneapolis, MN 55435 Attn: Stephen D. Posey Hypertech Corporation 7343 West Wilson Ave. Harwood Hgts., IL 60656 IBM Corporation Monterey and Cottle Roads San Jose, CA 95111 Attn: B. J. Beers Anderson Jacobson, Inc. 1065 Morse Ave. Sunnyvale, CA 94086 SYSTEMS 6901 W. Sunrise Blvd. Ft. Lauderdale, FL 33313 Attn: Ted Swift Decision Inc. 5601 College Ave. Oakland, CA 94618 Attn: Bob Woodward Optrix Unlimited Corp. 21 Spencer St. Stoneham, MA 02180 Attn: Harold J. Weber Marketing Dept. Phonplex Corp. 789 Park Ave. Huntington, NY 11743 Canadian Westinghouse Co. Ltd. Information Dept. P.O. Box 510 Hamilton, Ontario, Canada Computer-Related Services AUTOMED Commercialoan Monitor A medical information system being offered initially in Illinois, Ohio, Indiana, Michigan / enables physicians to obtain instant access to patients' medical records by a visual display terminal connected to a Univac computer system in Cleveland / other benefi ts include partial or total automated billing, completing standard medical insurance forms, automated appointment routines, patient classification, providing medical literature in hard-copy form, etc. Provides a complete on-line computerized service for banks /only equipment requirement is typewriter-like terminal which connects to BankCom's computer by telephone / service enables banks to analyze commercial lo~n experience through over 35 separate reports or combinations of reports for increased management con- Medical Data Systems Corporation (MDS) c/o Sperry Rand Corp. Univac Division P.O. Box 500 Blue Bell, PA 19422 Attn: M. M. Maynard Bank Computer Network Corp. 333 N. Michigan Ave. Chicago, IL 60601 trol / operation easily learned in an hour's time COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 47 NEW CONTRACTS Burroughs Corp., Detroit, Mich. General Services Administration, Washington, D.C. Redcor Corporation, Woodland Hills, Calif. Transamerica Computer Co., San Francisco, Calif. Computing and Software, Inc. (C&S) , Los Angeles, Calif. National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Md. Honeywell Information Systems, Phoenix, Ariz. Internal Revenue Service Philco-Ford Corp., Communications and Technical Services (C&TS) Div., Willow Grove, Pa. U.S. Air Force Air Materiel Area, Tinker AFB, Okla. Qantel Corp., Hayward, Calif. Computer Usage Co., Inc., Greenwich, Conn. TRW Controls Corp., Houston, Texas Xerox Data Systems, El Segundo, Calif. Centronics Data Computer Corp., Hudson, N.H. Core, Ltd., London, England F&M Systems Co., Dallas, Texas Port of Seattle, Seattle, Wash. Ampex Corp., Redwood City, Calif. Los Angeles County, Calif. Universal Business Machines, Columbia, S.C. United States Postal Service Univac Division of Sperry Rand Corp., Blue Bell, Pa. National Gypsum Co., Buffalo, N.¥. Honeywell Inc., Information Systems Div., Framingham, Mass. The Boeing Company, Seattle, Wash. PRC Information Sciences Co., Los Angeles, Calif. Naval Electronics Laboratory Center, San Diego, Calif. Digital Resources Corp., Hybrid Systems Div., Houston, Texas Volkswagenwerk AG, Wolfsburg, West Germany Computer Complex, Inc., Houston, Texas National Aeronautics and Space Administration Manned Spacecraft Center Houston Texas Department of Defense, Defense Supply Agency, Washington, D.C. Potter Instrument Co., Inc., Plainview, N.Y. Leasco Information Products, Inc., Bethesda, Md. U.S. Office of Education, Educational Resources Information Center (ERIC), Washington, D.C. Electronics Associates Ltd., Burgess Hill, England Bri tish Nuclear Design and Construction Ltd., Whetstone, Leicestershire, England Computer Communications, Inc., Culver City, Calif. Midwest Stock Exchange Service Corp. 48 Forty-three (43) B3500 computer systems for the Navy's Uniform Automatic Data Processing System (UADPS) to be installed at 22 Naval locations in the U.S. and overseas; systems will be used for inventory control, movement of material from supply points to Naval fleet and shore establishments, and for financial control KeyLogic systems, communication systems, and data acquisition systems for lease to Redcor customers A one-year facility management contract with options for two additional one-year extensions; C&S will operate, maintain and manage NASA's Slidell computer complex at the Michoud Assembly Facility, Slidell, La. Existing contract option renewal for one year; C&S supports variety of DP services at Goddard Installation of direct data entry equipment at three new IRS regional tax processing centers (Tenn., Calif •• and N.Y.) Engineering, furnishing and installing a telecommunications network (code-named, Scopecomm) for U.S. forces in Europe; it will link centers in the Federal Republic of Germany, Belgium, and the. Uni ted Kingdom Purchase of Qantel business computer systems to be marketed through CUC's offices Xerox Sigma 3, Sigma 5 and Sigma 7 computers which will be used in company's electrical utilities energy management systems and pipeline control systems Purchase of at least 2,000 Centronics model 101 line printers, and related spare parts and accessories, over 3-year period; Core will have rights to market the 101 on the European continent and in United Kingdom Design, manufacture, installation of a computer-based Central Control and Communications Facility for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Second contract for equipment and engineering that will prepare previously ordered television records system to be extended for use by any law enforcement and justice agency in the county Production of 50 letter-sorting machines; firm will provide the sorters, plus spare parts and chairs A UNIVAC 1106 computer system, the first step in establishing corporate computer and nationwide wire communications center Three computers to be used in the "bras sboard" phase (a development less detailed than a prototype) of the Air Force's Airborne Warning and Control System (AWACS). Completion of development and documentation for the Message Processing and Distribution System (MPDS), a communications system for the USS Chester W. Nimitz Three SS-IOO Analog/Hybrid computers to be used in expanding research and development activities Computer timesharing services; includes data reduction of information received durin A 0110 missions Lease (with option to purchase of computer peripheral equipment, valued at about $5 million,for use on IBM computers Operation of the ERIC Document Reproduction Service; firm will reproduce and market information products to the education community -- primarily on microfiche An EAI 8800 analog/hybrid computer to supplement BNDC's 1500 amplifier. 6 console analog known as 'Saturn' for nuclear reactor and power station design problems A nationwide computerized hihg speed message switching and brokerage data proces sing network $30.6 million $7 million (approximate) $6+ million $6.1 million (approximate) $6 million $5.9 million $5 million $5 million $3.7 million $3 million $2.1 mi 11 ion $1. 2 mill ion (approximate) $1. 2 mi 11 ion (approximate) $1+ million $816,000 $755,000+ $50,000 COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 NEW INSlALLAliONS Burroughs B2500 system Burger King Corp., Miami, Fla. Gilbert Associates, Inc., Reading, pa. Meister Brau, Inc., Chicago, Ill. Burroughs B3500 system Control Industries Inc., Kansas City, Mo. Pittsburgh National Bank, Pittsburgh, Pat Control Data 1700 system 3M Company, Minneapolis, Minn. Control Data 3200 system V. Vranas and Co., Athens, Greece Control Data 3300 system Innsbruck University, Innsbruck, Austria Control Data 6400 system NASA's Langley Research Center, Hampton, Va. University of Aarhus, Aarhus, Denmark Data General Nova 1200 system Bullock's, Los Angeles, Calif. Datacraft University of Wisconsin, Engineering Computing Laboratory, Madison, Wis. DC 6024/3 system Honeywell Model 635 system U.S. Naval Academy, Annapolis, Md. IBM System/3 Model 6 Gingiss Formalwear, Inc., Chicago, Ill. IBM System/3 Model 10 Columbus Heating and Ventilation Co •• Columbus. Ohio Forest E. Olson, Inc., Van Nuys, Calif. Nicholson Terminal & Dock Co" River Rouge, Mich. Lockheed MAC 16 NCR Century 100 system NCR Century 200 system Univac 1106 system Pee Dee State Bank, Timmonsville, S.C. Colonial Pipeline Co., Plainfield, N.J. Crown Construction Co., Johnstown, Pat Good Samaritan Medical Center, Zanesville. Ohio First Computer Services, a subsidiary of the First National Bank, Ruston, La. Kansas State Bank & Trust Co., Wichita. Kans. Commercial and Industrial Computer Services, Johannesburg, South Africa University of Freiburg, West Germany COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 General accounting jobs and business applications, including payroll, profit and loss statements, sales analysis and forecasting, product mix analysis (system valued at more than $560,000) General accounting, cash flow forecasting, general ledger, manpower scheduling, and others (system valued at more than $460,000) General accounting, inventory accounting, production scheduling and market reporting (system valued at more than $346,000) Improving and expanding services to over sixty business firms in 500-mile area; primary markets served include· direct mail, bank processing and commercial type applications (system valued at more than $484.000) Savings accounts, Christmas Club and check credit accounting, correspondent bank checking accounts and sixty other banking programs (system valued at more than $1 million) Research and development projects; system connected to laboratory instrumentation units -- applications include chemical component analysis, spectroscopic, electrical and radiation data analysis Training students in computer programming and computer usage, and providing a data center for its own requirements and for external clients Centralized computer services for the university's science, engineering, economics, philosophy and computer science departments Use as the scheduling element for the Center's Computer Complex which includes 3 CDC 6600s and a previously installed 6400; new 6400 will enable optimal utilization of the systems University administration, faculty research, student training, and regional data center applications (system valued at $1.5 million) Directing a point of sales system (American Regitel Corporation) in Bullock's new Northridge store; one Regitel system already is in use in the downtown Los Angeles Bullock's Handling expanded work load built up over a tenyear period using older equipment; Computing Laboratory serves 2400 undergraduates, 800 graduate students as well as staff and faculty Increasing computer resources; Academy expects to double to more than 80 the number of courses a midshipman may take that require use of the computer Helping to assure proper size and style is available in headquarters and franchise stores in eight states as well as for general ledger, payroll. invoicing Computerized job costing system; comprehensive accounting system planned Real estate listings including as many as 1500 items of information about features of each piece of property Financial control functions including payroll needs (in cash daily) of some 1200 stevedores; also extensive job cost reporting Demand deposit accounting~ aged trial balance and customer service applications Reading meters, calculating and printing delivery tickets on ten pipeline systems; also will guard against pipeline leakage Design problems encountered in development of shopping centers and enclosed shopping malls Controlling rising costs; over 100 programs in use; each of 30 different departments are monitored Maintaining a Central Information File for bank's customers; also offers data processing services to area public utilities, hospitals, schools, and commercial establishments Automating all banking departments with NCR's Central Information File software package On-line invoicing, stock updating, consumer credit and general accounting in batch, remote batch and time sharing modes of operation; also performs service bureau work for the government A wide range of scientific and engineering applications as well as training of students in computer science (system valued at $1.4 million) 49 MONTHLY COMPUTER CENSUS Neil Macdonald Survey Editor COMPUTERS AND AUTOMATION The following is a summary made by COMPUTERS AND AUTOMATION of reports and estimates of the number of general purpose electronic digital computers manufactured and installed, or to be manufactured and on order. These figures are mailed to individual computer manufacturers from time to t.ime for their information and review, and for any updating or comments they may care to provide. Please note the variation in dates and reliability of the information. Several important manufacturers refuse to give out, confirm, or comment on any figures. Our census seeks to include all digital computers manufactured anywhere. We invite all manufacturers located anywhere to submit information for this census. We invite all our readers to submit information that would help make these figures as accurate and complete as possible. The following abbreviations apply: (A) -- authoritative figures, derived essentially from information sent by the manufacturer directly to COMPUTERS AND AUTOHATION C figure is combined in a total (D) acknowledgment is given to DP Focus, Marlboro, Mass., for their help in estimating many of these figures E figure estimated by COMPUTERS AND AUTOMATION (N) manufacturer refuses to give any figures on number of installations or of orders, and refuses to comment in any way on those numbers stated here (R) -- figures derived all or in part from information released indirectly by the manufacturer, or from reports by other sources likely to be informed (Sl sale only, and sale (not rental) price is stated X -- no longer in production information not obtained at press time Part I of the Monthly Computer Census contains reports for United States manufacturers. Part II contains reports for manufacturers outside of the united States. The two parts are published in alternate months. SUMMARY AS OF APRIL 15, 1971 NAME OF NAME OF MANUFACTURER Part 1. United States Manufacturers Autonetics Anaheim, Calif. (R) (1/69) Bailey Heter Co. Wickliffe, Ohio (A) (4/71) Bunker-Ramo Corp. Westlake Village, Calif. (A) (3/71) Burroughs Detroi t, Mich. (N) (1/69-5/69) Computer Automation, Inc. Newport Beach, Calif. (12/70) Control Data Corp. Minneapolis, Minn. (A) (R) (9/70) COHPUTER RECOHP II RECOMP III Bailey 750 Bailey 755 Bailey 756 Bailey 855 BR-130 BR-133 BR-230 BR-300 BR-330 BR-340 BR-1018 205 220 B100/B500 B2500 B3500 B5500 B6500 B7500 B8500 208/808 216/816 G15 G20 LGP-21 LGP-30 RPC4000 636/136/046 Series 160/8090 Series 924/924-A 1604/A/B 1700 3100/3150 3200 3300 3400 3500 3600 3800 6400/6500 6600 6800 7600 DATE OF FIRST INSTALLATION 11/58 6/60 11/61 2/65 4/68 10/61 5/64 8/63 3/59 12/60 12/63 6/71 1/54 10/58 7/65 2/67 5/67 3/63 2/68 4/69 8/67 6/68 3/69 7/55 4/61 12/62 9/56 1/61 5/60 8/61 1/60 5/66 5/64 5/64 9/65 11/64 8/68 6/23 2/66 8/64 8/64 6/67 12/68 AVERAGE OR RANGE OF MONTHLY RENTAL $ (000) 2.5 40-250 (S) 200-600 (S) 60-400 (S) 100-1000 (S) 2.0 2.4 2.7 3.0 4.0 7.0 23.0 (S) 4.6 14 0 2.8-9.0 5.0 14.0 23.5 33.0 44.0 200.0 5.0 (S) 8.0 (S) 1.6 15.5 0.7 1.3 1.9 NUMBER OF INSTALLATIONS Outside In In U.S.A. World U.S.A. 30 o 32 6 13 o 5 o 30 X 35 6 18 8 6 17 160 79 15 18 19 19 o 1 143 157 o X X X X X X 25-38 28-31 52-57 44 65-74 4 NUMBER OF UNFILLED ORDERS 12 18 o o o 7 13 2.1-14.0 11.0 45.0 3.8 10-16 13.0 20-38 18.0 25.0 52.0 53.0 58.0 115.0 130.0 235.0 27-40 30-33 X X 64-69 62 72-81 4 117 190 o 1 150 170 295 20 165 322 75 29 610 29 59 106-180 83-110 55-60 200 20 15 39 20 85 85 1 8 60 13 130 215 x X X X X X X X o C C C C C C C C C C C Total: 160 E Data General Corp. Southboro, Mass. (A) Datacraft Corp. Ft. Lauderdale, Fla. Digiac Corp. Plainview, N.Y. (A) (4/71) (A) (4/71) (3/71) Digital Computer Controls, Inc. Fairfield, ~.J. (A) (3/71) Digi tal Equipment Corp. Maynard, Mass. (A) (2/71) 50 NOVA SUPERNOVA NOVA 1200 NOVA 800 SUPERNOVA SC 6024/1 6024/3 6024/5 Digiac 3060 Digiac 3080 Digiac 3080C D-112 2/69 5/70 12/71 3/71 6/71 5/69 2/70 10/71 1/70 12/64 10/67 8/70 8.0 9.6 5.4 6.9 11.9 54-200 33-200 16-50 9.0 19.5 25.0 10.0 PDP-l PDP-4 PDP-5 PDP-6 PDP-7 11/60 8/62 9/63 10/64 11/64 3.4 1.7 0.9 10.0 1.3 (S) (S) (S) (S) (S) (S) (S) (S) (S) (S) (S) (S) 813 102 100 11 34 o 11 37 43 o o o o 30 16 7 45 48 40 90 C C 5 o 10 C C 50 300 50 45 100 23 160 X X X X X COMPUTERS and A"UTOMATION for May, 1971 NAME OF MANUFACTURER Digital Equipment Corp. (Cont'd.) NAME OF COMPUTER PDP-8 PDP-8/1 PDP-8/S PDP-8/L PDP-9 PDP-9L PDP-I0 PDP-11 PDP-12 PDP-IS LINC-8 DATE OF FIRST INSTALLATION 4/65 3/68 9/66 11/68 12/66 11/68 12/67 3/70 9/69 2/16 9/66 AVERAGE OR RANGE OF MONTHLY RENTAL $ (000) 0.5 0.4 0.3 1.1 8.0 10.5 17.0 (S) NUMBER OF INSTALLATIONS In Outside In U.S.A. U.S.A. World 1440 C C 3698 C C 1024 C C 3902 C C 436 C C 48 C C 145 C C C C 546 C C 475 6 C 15 C C 142 NUMBER OF UNFILLED ORDERS C C C C C C C C C C C Total: 1350 E Electronic Associates Inc. Long Branch, N.J. (A) (4/71) EMR Compu ter Minneapolis, Minn. (A) (2/71) 640 8400 EMR 6020 EMR 6040 EMR 6050 EMR 6070 EMR 6130 EMR 6135 EMR 6155 4/67 7/67 4/65 7/65 2/66 10/66 8/67 1.2 12.0 5.4 6.6 9.0 15.0 5.0 2.6 95 19 55 6 140 25 C C C C C C C C C C Total: 107 Total: 15 E 12 General Automation, Inc. SPC-12 1/68 Anaheim, Calif. SPC-16 5/70 (R) (6/70) System 18/30 7/69 General ~E71~e~ct~r-l~'c--------------------~G~E~-~P7A~C~30~1~0~--------~5~/~7~0-------------2~.0~------------~----------~0------------~----------~---West Lynn, Mass. Process Control Computers (A) (12/70) Hewlett Packard Cupertino, Calif. (A) (4/71) Honeywell Information Systems Wellesley Hills, Mass. (A) (2/71) GE-PAC 4010 GE-PAC 4020 GE-PAC 4040 GE-PAC 4050 GE-PAC 4060 2114A, 2114B 2115A 2116A, 2116B, 2116C G58 GI0 SA GI05B GI05RTS Gl15 G120 G130 G205 G210 G215 G225 G235 G245 G255 T/S G265 T/S G275 T/S G405 G410 T/S G415 G420 T/S G425 G430 T/S G435 G440 T/S G615 G625 G635 G655 H-110 H-115 H-120 H-125 H-200 H-400 H-800 H-1200 H-1250 H-1400 H-1800 H-2200 H-3200 H-4200 H-8200 DDP-24 DDP-1l6 DDP-124 DDP-224 DDP-316 DDP-416 DDP-516 H1l2 H632 H1602 H1642 H1644 H1646 H1648 H1648A COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 10/70 2/67 8/64 12/66 6/65 10/68 11/67 11/66 5/70 6/69 6/69 7/69 4/66 3/69 12/68 6/64 7/60 9/63 4/61 4/64 11/68 10/67 10/65 11/68 2/68 11/69 5/64 6/67 6/64 6/69 9/65 7/69 3/68 4/65 5/65 12/70 8/68 6/70 1/66 12/67 3/64 12/61 12/60 2/66 7/68 1/64 1/64 1/66 2/70 8/68 12/68 5/63 4/65 3/66 3/65 6/69 6.0 6.0 3.0 7.0 2.0 0.25 0.41 0.6 1.0 1. 3 1.4 1.2 2.2 2.9 4.5 2.9 16.0 6.0 8.0 12.0 13.0 17.0 20.0 23.0 6.8 11.0 7.3 23.0 9.6 17.0 14.0 25.0 32.0 43.0 47.0 80.0 2.7 3.5 4.8 7.0 7.5 10.5 30.0 9.8 12.0 14.0 50.0 18.0 24.0 32.5 50.0 2.65 0.9 2.2 3.5 0.6 2 172 45 23 18 0 49 20 9/66 10/69 12/68 1.2 3.2 255 30 960 370 1075 86 73 325 185 10 20 185 22 20 14 90 250 250 60 450 350 900 75 12 11/68 12.0 20 200-400 420-680 11 35 15 145 40-60 1 15 17 15-20 45-60 15-30 o 10-40 170-300 50-100 20 70-100 20-30 6 15 125 20 18 10 16 59 X X X 620-1080 11 35 16 160 57-77 15-20 60-90 10 15-45 240-400 70-130 26 26 23-43 23 20-40 180 30 800 150 800 46 58 230 130 2 221 65 24 20 1060 319 940 75 160 220 275 40 15 90 55 6 5 60 2 X X X X X 51 NAME OF MANUFACTURER IBM White Plains, N.Y. (N) (D) (1/69-5/69) Interdata Oceanport, N. J • (A) (4/71) NCR Dayton, ohio (R) (2/71) Phi1co Willow Grove, Pa. (N) (1/69) RCA Cherry Hill, N.J. (N) (5/69) Raytheon Santa Ana, Calif. (A) (4/71) Scientific Control Corp. Dallas, Tex. (A) (6/70) Standard Computer Corp. Los Ange les, Cali f. (N) (12/70) Systems Engineering Laboratories Ft. Lauderdale, Fla. (A) (6/70) UNIVAC Div. of Sperry Rand New York, N.Y. 52 DATE OF NAME OF FIRST INSTALLATION COMPUTER System/3 Model 6 3/71 System/3 Model 10 1/70 System/7 11/71 305 12/57 650 10/67 1130 2/66 1401 9/60 1401-G 5/64 1401-H 6/67 1410 11/61 1440 4/63 1460 10/63 1620 1, 11 9/60 1800 1/66 7010 10/63 7030 5/61 704 12/55 7040 6/63 7044 6/63 705 11/55 7020, 3/60 7074 3/60 7080 8/61 7090 11/59 7094-1 9/62 7094-11 4/64 360/20 12/65 360/25 1/68 360/30 5/65 360/40 4/65 360/44 7/66 360/50 8/65 360/65 11/65 360/67 10/66 360/75 2/66 12/69 360/85 360/90 11/67 370/135 5/72 370/145 9/71 370/155 2/71 370/165 5/71 360/195 4/71 Model 1 12/70 Model 3 5/67 Model 4 8/68 Model 11/70 Model 15 1/69 304 1/60 310 5/61 315 5/62 315 RMC 9/65 390 5/61 500 10/65 Century 100 9/68 Century 200 6/69 1000 6/63 200-210,211 10/58 2000-212 1/63 301 2/61 501 6/59 601 11/62 3301 7/64 Spectra 70/15 9/65 Spectra 70/25 9/65 Spectra 70/35 1/67 Spectra 70/45 11/65 Spectra 70/46 Spectra 70/55 11/66 250 12/60 440 3/64 520 10/65 703 10/67 704 3/70 706 5/69 650 5/66 655 10/66 660 10/65 670 5/66 4700 4/69 DCT-'132 5/69 IC 4000 12/68 IC 6000 5/67 IC 7000 8/70 810 9/65 810A 8/66 810B 9/68 840 11/65 840A 8/66 840MP 1/68 Systems 86 I & II 3/51 & 11/57 III 8/62 AVERAGE OR RANGE OF MONTHLY RENTAL $ (000) 1.0 1.1 0.35 and up 3.6 4.8 1.5 5.4 2.3 1.3 17.0 4.1 10.0 4.1 5.1 26.0 160.0 32.0 25.0 36.5 38.0 27.0 35.0 60.0 63.5 75.0 83.0 2.7 5.1 10.3 19.3 11.8 29.1 57.2 133.8 66.9 150.3 (S) 15 18 1227 1836 450 140 116 1174 63 186 148 14 40 50 2580 2210 420 180 156 1690 194 285 415 67 4 12 35 28 18 10 44 13 4 10 6 4690 27 13 26 3276 4 3144 498 13 109 31 4 5075 1260 65 480 175 9 14 o 5 14.4 23.3 48.0 98.7 232.0 3.7 8.5 10.5 20.0 14.0 2.5 8.7 12.0 1.9 1.5 2.7 7.5 7.0 40.0 52.0 7.0 14.0-18.0 14.0-35.0 17.0-35.0 4.3 6.6 9.2 22.5 33.5 34.0 1.2 3.6 3.2 12.8 9.8 19.0 0.5 2.1 2.1 2.7 1.8 0.9 9.0 16.0 17.0 1.1 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.5 2.0 10.0 25.0 21.0 NUMBER OF INSTALLATIONS Outside In In U.S.A. U.S.A. World 45 N/A 200 25 40 15 8 400 150 950 1100 1100 350 16 16 12 140-290 22-50 o 10 55 200 300 40 64 17 172 (S) 64 55 23 137 41 (S) 5 o 8 300 45 500 1800 300 90 700 195 1450 2900 1400 440 70 X 90 30 13 X X X X X 100-130 1 1-5 35-60 18-25 20-50 21-55 o (S) 41 21 13 70 15 6 14 10 7966 4 8219 1758 78 589 206 13 17 240-420 23-51 o 2 24-60 90-110 68-70 65-100 84-180 11 115 20 26 55 68 3807 4046 870 320 272 2864 257 471 563 81 5 13 o o 100 5 24 NUMBER OF UNFILLED ORDERS 20 1 31 16 14 19 45 25-65 l25-170 86-95 85-150 105-235 1 12 175 20 27 203 80 69 23 137 41 1 19 45 X X X 2 32 X o X 4 23 9 24 o III 5 75 24 216 76 3 o 36 31 o 38 31 o o o 23 25 2 31 X 32 26 X X 2 X X COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 NAME OF MANUFACTURER UNIVAC (Cont I d.) (2/71) (A) Varian Data Machines Newport Beach, Calif. (A) (4/71) Xerox Data Systems El Segundo, Calif. lR) (2/71) DATE OF NAME OF FIRST COMPUTER INSTALLATION File Computers 8/56 Solid-State 80 I,ll, 90, I, II, & Step 8/58 418 6/63 490 Series 12/61 1004 2/63 1005 4/66 1050 9/63 1100 Series (except 1107, 1l08) 12/50 1107 10/62 1108 9/65 9200 6/67 9300 9/67 9400 5/69 LARC 5/60 620 1l/65 620i 6/67 R-620i 4/69 520i 10/68 520/DC 12/69 620/f 1l/70 620/L 6/71 XDS-92 4/65 XDS-910 8/62 XDS-920 9/62 XDS-925 12/64 XDS-930 6/64 XDS-940 4/66 XDS-9300 11/64 Sigma 2 12/66 Sigma 3 12/69 Sigma 5 8/67 Sigma 6 6/70 Sigma 7 12/66 Sigma 9 BOOKS (Continued from page 35) Arno Press, Inc., 330 Madison Ave., New York, NY 10002 / 1967, hardbound, 311 pp., $? Hearings, and statements from some dozen persons, on the positive and negative aspects of storing personal data in computers. Enrick, Norbert L. / Decision-Oriented Statistics / Brandon Systems Press, Inc., 1101 State Rd., Princeton, NJ 08540 / 1970, hardbound, 216 pp., $8.95. This book presents statistical analysis methods to help managers analyze relationships, evaluate courses of action, calculate risks, and arrive at decisions. The methods described include the use of statistical analysis for application in today's computer information systems. Some other subjects covered are computer simulation systems, network analysis, strategy under risk and uncertainty, and decision-making and the computer. Katzan, Harry~ Jr. / APL Programming and Computer Techniques / Van Nostrand Reinhold Company, 450 West 33 St., New York, NY 10001 / 1970, hardbound, 329 pp., $12.00. This book is intended to give a thorough foundation in the APL language (of K. Iverson) and a terminal system, and to provide a thorough introduction to computer techniques for scientists, engineers, business analysts, and managers. Cuadra, Carlos A., editor, and 17 authors / Annual Review of Information Science and Technology (Volume 5) / Encyclopedia Britannica, Inc., 425 North Michigan Ave., Chicago, IL 60611 / 1970, hardbound, 476 pp., $17.50 Gives 13 significant reports on individual laboratorY,or experimental pilot programs of the past year in the field of information sciences. research~ COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 AVERAGE OR RANGE OF MONTHLY RENTAL $ (000) 15.0 NUMBER OF INSTALLATIONS In Outside In U.S.A. U.S.A. World 13 8.0 11.0 30.0 1.9 2.4 8.5 210 76 75 1502 637 138 35.0 57.0 68.0 1.5 3.4 7.0 135.0 9 8 87 1051 387 8 36 11 628 299 62 114 822 49 0 0 0.4 1.6 0.5 1.5 2.0 2.9 3.0 3.4 14.0 8.5 1.8 2.0 6.0 12.0 12.0 35.0 2 7-10 5-12 1 14 0 NUMBER OF UNFILLED ORDERS X 112 86 2130 936 200 9 11 56 175 144 2 75 1300 50 150 25 7 10-60 150-170 93-120 20 159 28-35 21-25 60-110 10 15-40 10-15 0 6-18 12 62 157-180 98-132 21 173 28-35 22-26 70-125 10 21-58 24-35 5-9 29-44 X 20 35 20 90 10 E E E E E X X 75 850 550 60 E E E E X 400 30 330 25 125 65 Profit, A. / Structure et Technologie des Ordinateurs / Armand Colin, 103, Blvd. Saint-Michel, Paris 5, France / 1970, hardbound, in French. 648 pp., $? This is a manual in French intended for students and engineers who wish to learn about the internal organization of machines and what may be loosely termed hardware. It covers two fundamental aspects: the description of circuits and the composition of computers, and a study of the organization of these different elements for the construction of systems. The 22 chapters include "Algorithmic Structures and the Organization of Calculators", "Logic Systems of Semi-Conductors", "General Organization of a Calculator", "Unity of Command", and "The Structure of the Computer". There is an index and a bibliography. The author is a professor at L'Ecole Superieure d'Electricite and has had some experience in the laboratories at the French National Center of Studies of Telecommunications. The manual is u2sed on a course taught by the author. ADVERTISING INDEX Following is the index of advertisements. Each item contains: name and address of the advertiser / page number where the advertisement appears / name of agency, i f any ACADEMIC PRESS, 111 Fifth Ave., New York, N.Y. 10003 / Page 56 / Flamm Advertising ASSOCIATION FOR COMPUTING MACHINERY, 1133 Avenue of the Americas, New York, N.Y. 10036 / Page 2 / Corporate Presence, Inc. COMPUTERS AND AUTOMATION, 815 Washington St., Newtonville, Mass. 02160 / Page 3 JOHN WILEY & SONS, INC., PUBLISHERS, 605 Third Ave., New York, N.Y. 10016 / Page 35 / Ed McLean & Co. XEBEC SYSTEMS, INC., 918 N. Rengstorff, Mountain View, California / Page 35/ Moorhead, Moran & Lanig 53 The Golden Trumpet STOP EXPRESSING POLITICAL POLEMICS John Culleton Data Processing Manager Penberthy Mfg. Co. P.O. Box 112 Prophetstown, III. 61277 Really, if you want subscription renewals, devote yourselves to computers and automation. Most of us are sick unto death of political polemics on every subject except the technical topics we want to learn about. I don't go to political social science journals to keep up with the state of the computational art and I certainly don't go to a technical'EDP journal to hear about assassinations and court trials. The slim technical content is largely superficial. I get several better technical journals free. Advertisements are important too, and your ads are nearly nonexistent. complaint that I have had about an increasing number of articles in your magazine. The issue is one of relevance. In the March 1971 issue, for example, you've published Kingman Brewster again. There isn't even the pretense of a computer connection in this one. A technical journal should apply itself to the field it professes to cover. Editorializing should be labelled as such, and segregated. Special purpose articles, unrelated to the technical area should be the exception, not the rule. No matter how much hair spli tting you do in your "Responses", all your non-computer articles seem to be selling the same political ideas. If you want to go into competi tion wi th "poli tical comment" type of magazines, by all means do so, but be honest about it. Stop masquerading as a computer journal. DON'T BLAME PRESIDENT NIXON I. From James E. 'Crow 207 Mulberry Road Newark, Del. 19711 I am sorry to read in the January issue of C&A that you blame President Nixon for "an economic depression and storm-sweeping through American business", etc. Apparently you haver,' t done your homework. Nixon found runaway inflation and had been attempting to control it. He didn't initiate Vietnam or "Vietnamization". Check the figures to see how he is winding down the Vietnam war, in both men and dollars. The cutbacks for defense have hurt. What do you want? Don't let your emotions carry you away and detract from the good work you are doing. 2. From H. Irvin Smith 54746 Yarnall Houston, Tex. 77035 By inference you blame President Nixon and the United States' involvement'in Southeast Asia for the declining advertising volume in Computers and Automation. This is somewhat surprising since one would think that the so-called "Military-Industrial Establishment" would be a much larger user of computers than would be the various radical gr~ups and liberal social causes you so ardently champlon. Have you considered the possibility that many advertisers may prefer not to be identified with your left-wing editorial content? (Just as they don't advertise in far-right political journals.) This also may be a factor in the eight-to-fifteen percent decline in your paid circulation over the past year. I, for example, plan not to renew my company's subscription. MASQUERADING AS A COMPUTER JOURNAL Patrick M. Cooney RD6 Carmel, NY 10512 In the March 1971 issue of Computers and Automation, Dr. Schwartz raised one point in his refutation of R. Sprague's article "The Assassination •••• ", with which I heartily agree. It's a 54 SURPRISE, DELIGHT, AND SUPPORT FOR YOUR VIEWS AND CONCERNS John R. Macleod 130 Rosevale Valley Rd. Toronto 5, Ontario, Canada I It was only recently that several delayed issues of "Computers and Automation" (May and November, 1970) crossed my desk, a publication I must admit I had not previously read, or, for that matter, even heard of. I am in the academic field, teaching Operations Research at Ryerson Poly technical Institute in Toronto, and this not-having-read-it previously was very surprising, to say the least. It may be that we have only recently begun receiving it. In any event, imagine my surprise to find social issues presented, discussed, editorialized, etc. -in a computer journal of all placesl I was even beginning to think that I was alone among my esteemed colleagues in being concerned over social matters. To be interested in people might even seem to be mutually exclusive of being interested in things, the latter being usually all too true of people in technical fields. I therefore read with a great deal of interest your articles on John F. Kennedy's assassination, the plight of Clark Squire, etc. and all of the comments on these matters. It certainly is a refreshing change from the usual right-wing or not-giving-a-damn non-involved academic publications which are so widely circulated. I am even tempted to wonder if such enlightenment is more of a common denominator among systems people, a field which implies the broad interdisciplinary approach that only intelligence can cope with successfully. It sometimes does seem to me that the really competent people in this field do have a way above average intelligence and social concern. This is a field for further research, as the academic says. This letter therefore is to express my surprise, delight, and continued support for your policies and views and concerns, and to provide a personal paton-the-back for someone who dares to make use of his opportunity to express a fair, balanced, enlightened, honest opinion in social matters in print, an all too rare occurrence in our unnecessarily complex society. Keep at itl You've got one more avid supporter and promoter in 'Canada now, that maybe you didn't realize you had. COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 PUBLISHING COURAGE Robert W. Carter, President QICSYS Systems Inc. 128 West 58 St. Bayonne, N. J. 01702 I am writing to express my feelings to you on the generally excellent form and content of your publication, "Computers and Automation." I am currently in the position of wearing a number of "hats" which call for varied readings as a user, teacher, and manufacturer of computer science and technology. As a result, my readings cover a very broad spectrum, and I can easily rate "Computers and Automation" as one of the best. Please accept my best wishes for your continued success and my admiration of your publishing courage. OASIS OF TRUTH Mrs. Grace P. Vale St. Louis, Mo. Computers and Automation is like an oasis of truth amidst the mass media fiction about the political assassinations, and I would like to express my appreciation to you for printing this information. I have been having a great deal of trouble with my mail ever since I started to subscribe to Mr. Joachim Joesten's Truth Letter, one of the few other sources of information on this subject. I would greatly appreciate it if the circulation department of Computers and Automation would give me some information about an order I placed with you .•.• On Wednesday I received Computers and Automation, and The Atlantic Monthly, and, of course, read eGA almost straight through before even looking at the others. Harper~v I especially enjoyed your answer to the attack on Richard Sprague's article." The articles on information or data processing, the book review, and several others in the March issue were also extremely interesting. Since that March 17, 1961 when the world's first mini (costing $120,000) was delivered, Digital Equipment Corporation has installed over 10,000 more to perform a host of applications throughout the world. Today's mini is priced under $5,000 and has more power than the $120,000 original. The estimated $1.2 billion market by 1975 for minis certainly implies many new and exciting developments. THOMAS J. WATSON FELLOWSHIPS AWARDED TO 70 STUDENTS FROM 34 COLLEGES Robert O. Schulze, Executive Director Thomas J. Watson Foundation 220 South Main St. Providence, R. I. 02903 The Thomas J. Watson Foundation announced on March 19 the award of 70 fellowship grants totaling $438,000. The grants will make possible a year of independent postgraduate travel and study abroad for 70 students from 34 colleges and universities in the United States. Each of the 61 unmarried recipients will receive an award of $6,000 and each of the nine married winners will receive $8,000. The fellowships are awarded annually by the foundation, a charitable trust established by the late Mrs. Thomas J. Watson, Sr., in memory of her husband, founder of IBM Corporation. The winners were chosen from among graduating seniors nominated by participating colleges. They were selected primarily on the basis of their potential for creative leadership in their chosen fields, although academic records and extracurricular activities were also taken into account. Each will pursue a travel-study program devised by the fellow~ ship winner to increase his or her personal or career potential. The fellows' travel-study programs will take them to Europe, Africa. South America, Asia and other areas, with several visiting more than one continent. Mark Nigberg Digital Equipment Corp. 46 Main St. Maynard, Mass. 01754 Their interests range from the study of medical care in developing countries to the role of nonviolence in resolving conflicts. Richard A. Reines of Tufts University, Medford, Mass., will study the former in Africa and India; Michael W. Johnson of Whitman College, Walla Walla, Wash., will investigate the latter in Europe, Africa and Asia. With the advent of general-purpose digital computers 25 years ago, everyone thought of the giant octopus reaching out to control the world. This thinkinIT prevailed for the next 15 years. But on March 17, just 10 years ago, a new product and with it a new philosophy was introduced: the mini-computer. The fellowship program was begun in 1968 by the daughters and sons of the late Mr. and Mrs. Watson, Sr.: Mrs. Walker G. Buckner, the late Mrs. John N. Irwin II, IBM Chairman Thomas J. Watson, Jr., and Arthur K. Watson, U.S. Ambassador to France -- working with Dr. Robert 0. Schulze, executive director of the foundation. The mini was but an ant compared to the octopus. But like the ant, it was dedicated to its work. It would work on a smaller scal~ in a more simplified operation. And like the ants, the minis would work together, each doing its assignment and all together successfully completing the job. Mr. and Mrs. Watson, Sr. were long interested in education and world affairs. For much of his business career, Mr. Watson. Sr. was involved with the Chamber of Commerce, and he vigorously supported the concept of "World Peace Through World Trade." He was an early and strong supporter of the United Nations. Both Mr. and Mrs. Watson traveled widely in connection with the global business requirements of IBM. THE ANT AND THE OCTOPUS As the ants greatly outnumber the octopus, the day when minicomputers greatly outnumber all others is imminent. COMPUTERS and AUTOMATION for May, 1971 55 ,,' ,.1 II THE THEORY OF LINEAR SYSTEMS GENERAL DYNAMICAL PROCESSES by J. E. RUBIO, Department of Electrical Engineering, Carnegie-Mellon University, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania A Volume of Electrical Science Series Editors: HENRY BOOKER and NICHOLAS DECLARIS Presents the theory of linear systems in a form suitable for study by first- and second-year graduate students and reference by practicing engineers. The book introduces the theory of linear spaces and the fundamentals of differential and difference systems with finite-dimensional state spaces. Other topics treated are basic descriptions, controllability and observability, synthesis, and stability. The final chapter discusses the general theory of dynamical systems, including an introduction to the subject of semi-groups of operators, and applies this theory to some simple differential systems with state spaces of infinite dimensions. An appendix deals with computational procedures. May 1971, about 329 pp., $14.00. by T. G. WINDEKNECHT, Michigan Technological University, Houghton, Michigan A Volume of Mathematics in Science and Engineering Series Editor: RICHARD BELLMAN The author uses set theory to develop a powerful axiomatic approach to general systems theory. He covers such topics as dynamic processes in general and their classifications, basic notions of combination and interconnection, time-evolution, the strong types of causality, and the concept of state. Results are obtained without introducing assumptions of linearity, finiteness, or time-variance and without, for the most part, distinguishing discrete-time from continuoustime processes. Complete proofs are given and a large number of mathematical exercises are included. 1971, 192 pp., $9.50. ITERATIVE SOLUTION OF LARGE LINEAR SYSTEMS by DAVID M. YOUNG, Center for Numerical Analysis, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas A Volume of Computer Science and Applied Mathematics Series Editor: WERNER RHEINBOLDT Provides a systematic development of a substantial portion of the theory of iterative methods for solving large linear systems with sparce matrices such as often arise in the numerical solution of elliptic partial differential equations by finite difference methods. The book also treats the successive overrelaxation method (SOR method) including several variants and related methods. Convergence properties of the various methods are studied in terms of the spectral radii of the associated matrices as well as in terms of certain matrix norms. June 1971, about 560 pp., in preparation. MATHEMATICAL SOFTWARE edited by JOHN R. RICE, Department of Computer Science, Purdue University, West Lafayette,' Indiana A Volume of ACM Monograph Series Series Editor: ROBERT L. ASHENHURST The scope and content of the 22 papers presented at a symposium on Mathematical Software held at Purdue University in April, 1970, cover a broad spectrum of topics in mathematical software. There are three introductory chapters by the editor which trace the historical background, review and analyze the current status and present remarks on the future of the field. The monograph then discusses: comprehensiyesurveys and developments (arithmetic, libraries,nonnumerical software), critical evaluation of current software (manufacturer's elementary function libraries, quadrature algorithms), new approaches and systems (ordinary differential equations, mathematical programming), philosophical "think" pieces (arithmetic, library construction), and specific research results (random numerical generation, singular values of matrices). June 1971, about 510 pp., in preparation. ADVANCES IN COMPUTERS Volume II Guest Editor: MARSHALL C. YOVITS, Division of Computer and Information Science, Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio CONTENTS: HARRY H. JOSSELSON: Automatic Translation of Languages Since 1960: A Linguist's View. D. M. JACKSON: Classification, Relevance, and Information Retrieval. KLAUS W. OTTEN: Approaches to the Machine Recognition of Conversational Speech. DAVID R. HILL: Man-Machine Interaction Using Speech. R. B. KIEBURTZ and E. E. NEWHALL: Balanced Magnetic Circuits for Logic and Memory Devices. ANTHONY DEBONS: Command and Control: Technology and Social Impact. Author Index-Subject Index. 1971, 428 pp., $18.50. INTRODUCTION TO PROBABILISTIC AUTOMATA by AZARIA PAZ, Department of Computer Science and Mathematics, Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa, Israel A Volume of Computer Science and Applied Mathematics Series Editor: WERNER RHEINBOLDT This book-the first published in English on the subject -discusses both the practical and theoretical aspects of probabilistic automata and sequential machines. The first chapter, dealing with state theory from an engineering standpoint, covers the synthesis of stochastic machines, state minimization, equivalence, coverings, and input-output relations. The second chapter is entirely devoted to nonhomogeneous Markov chains, which provide the mathematical model on which stochastic automata are based. It offers the first discussion of this important topic to appear in book form. The final chapter presents a theory of formal stochastic languages and events, including such topics as closure properties, decision problems, and characterizations. May 1971, 248 pp., $13.00. ACADEMIC PRESS \(!/ fnNEW YORK AND LONDON 111 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK, N. Y. 10003
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