SBUL 500 IAS Africa Rising 10 February 2015

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Equity Research
Sub-Saharan Africa
10 February 2015
Africa Rising
Rwandan Telcos shun new 4G network
Telecommunications companies in Rwanda have shunned the usage of the new 4G
network due to high charges according to a report by the East African. Almost three
months after the launch of the network, all telecos save for Tigo are yet to launch any
products because of the high costs involved.
In February 2015, Tigo unveiled online television services for 4G internet subscribers in
partnership with iRokotv, an online entertainment TV channel to provide subscriptionbased video entertainment for its 4G clients. However, some telecos companies are
being cautious to fully embrace the network while others are launching fibre as an
alternative network.
By the end of April, Liquid Telecom hopes to launch fibre to the home, FTTH, to provide
homes and small businesses in the country with unlimited data packages. Sam Nkusi, the
chief executive of Liquid Telecom Rwanda, said FTTH networks are the latest
technology, which are according to him, more affordable than any other network
method. With FTTH in place and being embraced by one of the biggest data providers in
the country, the uptake of the 4G network is likely to suffer a further decline.

TOP 5 VALUE TRADED
Country Value traded (USD m)
Nigeria
31.05
Kenya
5.95
Zimbabwe
1.17
Mauritius
1.01
Tanzania
0.30

TOP 5 VOLUME TRADED
Country
Volume traded (m)
Nigeria
364.47
Kenya
26.32
Zimbabwe
6.32
Mauritius
3.86
Tanzania
0.86

Low uptake of 4G was anticipated given that a few months preceding its launch, the
telecoms operators and the providers of the network — Korea Telecom and government
of Rwanda - were engaged in prolonged discussions regarding the pricing. MTN, the
biggest telecoms operator in the country by subscriber numbers, has been pushing the
4G network on the market since its launch albeit with limited uptake. Yvonne Makolo,
chief marketing officer of MTN attributed the low uptake of the network to the small
area which it covers and the pricing. 4G was rolled out in Kigali city with plans to
extend the coverage to other parts of the country over time. “The pricing is still an
issue but we hope as more users join the network, the prices will ultimately come down
and a growth in uptake will be witnessed,” said Mrs. Makolo.

Source: IAS

With limited up take in Kigali which is considered relatively affluent, the roll out by the
service providers to other parts of the country may take a cautious path especially if
the prices remain high. The pricing problem stems from the 4G network model in the
country where Rwanda telecos were locked out from developing and providing the
network, which has seen some operators drag their feet in introducing the product.
Previously, internet networks such as 3G were provided by the telecos to their retail
customers. Local telecos now purchase the universal mobile broadband bandwidth at
wholesale prices from the government and Korea Telecom which have the exclusive
rights to sell to the operators.
Telecos are expected to purchase from the suppliers with 1 gigabyte being sold for RWF
2,411 with the cost burden transferred to the end users. At MTN for example, the 3G
network data at the end of 2014 was being sold to consumers at RWF 800 per GB, which
was much lower than the latest 4G retail price where 5GB retails at RWF 18,600 for a
one month subscription while Airtel has projected to sell the same for RWF 20,000.
Rwanda Utilities Regulatory Authority (Rura) however, has said it will not take any
position regarding the pricing of the 4G network. “We are still assessing the impact of
the current price and we have sent out questionnaires to all the service providers,” said
Jean Baptist Mutabazi, director of communications at Rura. “We are still analysing the
data to find out the challenges in adopting the network.”

Country Performance
Country

Daily %
0.01%

4.46%

Zimbabwe

0.32%

4.02%

Kenya

0.50%

2.90%

Malawi

0.00%

1.90%

Uganda

-0.21%

1.45%

Tanzania

-1.16%

0.96%

Botswana

0.19%

0.49%

Rwanda

0.60%

-0.65%

Zambia

-0.39%

-2.75%

0.00%

-7.19%

BRVM
Mauritius

-0.20%

-7.78%

Ghana

0.29%

-10.43%

Nigeria

-2.08%

-20.28%

Source: IAS/S&P
S&P Africa Frontier Index
2 300
2 100
1 900

1 700
1 500
1 300

1 100
Nov-13

Mar-14

US$ price index

The move towards 4G technology by Rwanda is commendable. However, consumers may
fail to see the benefits of the new technology as long as the prices remain unaffordable
and out of reach for most of them with cheaper alternatives such as 3G still available,
albeit at slower speeds. Consequently we believe that the regulatory authorities need
to move faster to make 4G more ubiquitous within Rwanda.

YTD% (USD)

Namibia

Source: IAS/S&P

Jul-14

US$ total return

Nov-14

CLOSING MARKET SUMMARIES - 09 FEBRUARY 2015
BOTSWANA

BRVM

Index
BSE DCI

Today

Previous

Day %

YTD %

Index

Today

Previous

Day %

YTD %

9 475.62

9 457.70

0.19%

-0.27%

BRVM 10

261.85

261.85

0.00%

-2.12%

BRVM Composite

254.33

254.33

0.00%

-1.45%

Trading Ac tivity

Volume

Daily %

Turnover (USD)

Trading Ac tivity

Volume

Daily %

Turnover (USD)

Daily %

9-Feb-15

97 764

-92.54%

115 089

-66.69%

Top Traders

Volume

BIHL

25 379

Turnover (USD)

9-Feb-15
Top Traders
No Data

SECHABA

Bottom Losers

SECHABA

1.35%

SEFALANA

0.94%

CHOBE

0.45%

BIHL

0.43%

Previous

Day %

YTD %

Index

GSECI

2 155.95

2 149.80

0.29%

-4.65%

NSE All Share
NSE 20

Volume
206 220

Daily %

Turnover (USD)

-18.30%

23 297

Volume

Daily %
-90.16%

Turnover (USD)

126 500

Trading Ac tivity
9-Feb-15
Top Traders

6 687

Top Gainers

Safaricom

Bottom Losers

ETI

4.17%

SIC

-15.00%

BOPP

0.72%

UTB

-5.26%

GCB

0.40%

TLW

-0.14%

MALAWI
Index

5,280.72

0.29%

3.59%

Volume

Daily %

Turnover (USD)

Daily %

-5.30%

5 945 855

19.73%

26 316 200
Volume

Turnover (USD)

13 757 300

2 226 685
Bottom Losers
-3.17%
-2.78%

Total Kenya

6.67%

I&M

-1.61%

Kenya Re Insurance Corp

5.10%

NIC Bank

-1.53%

Sameer Africa

4.88%

TransCentury

-1.34%

MAURITIUS
Index

0.00%

0.51%

Semdex

MASI

14 961.60

14 961.60

0.00%

0.51%

Sem 7

Daily %

Turnover (USD)

Volume
542 816

-74.40%

38 507

Volume

Daily %

Trading Ac tivity

46.34%

9-Feb-15

Turnover (USD)

389 580

Top Traders

35 230

SBM

Top Gainers

Bottom Losers

Top Gainers

There were no gainers

There were no losers

ROCKCASTLE(USD)*

Today

Previous

Day %

YTD %

1 990.82

1 994.83

-0.20%

-4.00%

369.74

370.94

-0.32%

-4.17%

Daily %

Turnover (USD)

Daily %

Volume
3 855 922

-63.22%

1 010 622

Volume

-74.4%

Turnover (USD)

3 081 163

533 008
Bottom Losers

13.89%

United Docks

-12.86%

Fincorp

1.36%

Policy

-9.32%

MUA

1.32%

NMH

-1.84%

Lux Island Resorts

0.98%

BLUELIFE LIMITED

-1.03%

Rogers

0.70%

CIEL LIMITED

-0.86%

NIGERIA

NAMIBIA
YTD %

Index

0.01%

3.53%

NSE All Share

1 132.60

0.26%

3.41%

Turnover (USD)

Today

Previous

402.74

402.68

1 135.49

Trading A c tivity

Volume

Daily %

9-Feb-15

10 629

-97.26%

Top Traders

Volume

Bank Windhoek Ltd

3.77%

5,296.07

Carbacid Investments

11 780.30

NSX Overall

YTD %

0.50%

Mumias Sugar Co.

11 780.30

NSX Local

Day %

168.19

7.44%

DASI

Index

Previous

Kakuzi

YTD %

NITL

Today
169.03

9.17%

Day %

Top Traders

Bottom Losers

E.A.Portland Cement Co.

Previous

9-Feb-15

-

Top Gainers

Today

Trading Ac tivity

Turnover (USD)

-

KENYA
Today

UTB

Daily %
-100.00%

-0.25%

Index

Top Traders

-

Volume

Top Gainers

CHOPPIES

GHANA

9-Feb-15

-100.00%

70 126

Top Gainers

Trading A c tivity

-

Day %

33 711

Daily %
-97.42%

Turnover (USD)

9-Feb-15
Top Traders

5 700

Access

Oceana

22 223

Top Gainers

Trading Ac tivity

Today

Previous

Day %

YTD %

29,360.55

29,985.08

-2.08%

-15.28%

Daily %

Turnover (USD)

Volume
364 472 058

-15.67%

31 052 406

Volume

Turnover (USD)

107 361 184

Nestle

Bottom Losers

Daily %
24.24%

12 461 146

Top Gainers

Bottom Losers

Truworths

1.83%

B2Gold Corp

-4.43%

Seplat

Maybaker

-8.67%

Anglo-American

1.66%

Paladin Energy

-2.33%

Dangflour

9.50%

Stanbic

-6.80%

Trustco

1.61%

Vukile Property

-1.82%

Vitafoam

4.92%

Nem

-6.78%

Barloworld

1.04%

Shoprite

-1.24%

Rtbriscoe

4.88%

Pz

-5.00%

Investec

0.68%

PSG Konsult

-1.01%

Eterna

4.76%

Nestle

-5.00%

10.25%

CLOSING MARKET SUMMARIES - 09 FEBRUARY 2015
TANZANIA

RWANDA
Today

Previous

Day %

YTD %

Index

Today

Previous

Day %

YTD %

RSI

236.48

235.07

0.60%

-0.12%

TSI

4 970.62

5 028.96

-1.16%

6.38%

RSE All Share

136.29

135.43

0.64%

0.32%

DSEI

2 699.25

2 717.45

-0.67%

7.13%

Daily %

Turnover (USD)

Daily %

Turnover (USD)

Daily %

-71.02%

297 775

-93.34%

Index

Trading Ac tivity
9-Feb-15
Top Traders
Bank of Kigali

Volume
418 500

135.24%

Volume

Bralirwa

1.30%

USE All Share

Trading Ac tivity
9-Feb-15
Top Traders
SBU

9-Feb-15

CRDB

Volume
859 128
Volume

Turnover (USD)

828 525

225 682

Bottom Losers

Top Gainers

There were no losers

NMB

19.35%

SWALA

-7.14%

JHL

2.12%

ACA

-4.86%

KCB

1.77%

NMG

-1.16%

EABL

1.18%

TPCC

-0.51%

SWISSPORT

0.19%

TCC

-0.18%

UGANDA
Index

Trading Ac tivity

Top Traders

170 845

Top Gainers
1.72%

117.93%

Turnover (USD)

402 500

Bank of Kigali

Daily %

179 824

Bottom Losers

ZAMBIA
Today

Previous

Day %

YTD %

Index

2 012.00

2 016.28

-0.21%

4.41%

LuSE All Share

Daily %

Turnover (USD)

Volume
576 085

-77.46%

21 554

Volume

Daily %
-91.20%

Turnover (USD)

500 000

NVL

13 770

Top Gainers

Today

Previous

Day %

YTD %

6 158.30

6 182.56

-0.39%

-0.04%

Turnover (USD)

Daily %

Trading A c tivity

Volume

Daily %

9-Feb-15

19 071

-23.38%

Top Traders

Volume

Zanaco

15 385

2 420
Turnover (USD)

ATEL

Bottom Losers

JHL

1.08%

UCHM

-5.90%

KA

0.88%

EBL

-1.01%

KCB

0.76%

CENT

-0.85%

DFCU

0.42%

NMG

-0.47%

EABL

-0.42%

-9.75%

796

Top Gainers

Bottom Losers

There were no gainers

CEC

-4.69%

ATEL

-1.44%

ZIMBABWE
Index
Industrial
Mining
Trading Ac tivity
9-Feb-15
Top Traders
ZPIL

Today

Previous

Day %

169.91

169.37

0.32%

4.02%

59.93

59.03

1.52%

-12.01%

Daily %

Turnover (USD)

Volume
6 324 644

94.70%

1 170 539

Volume

YTD %

Daily %
-43.81%

Turnover (USD)

3 255 281

DELT

800 350

Top Gainers

Bottom Losers

EDGA

25.00%

TURNAL

-8.33%

POWE

22.22%

HIPP

-6.25%

DZLH

12.50%

ZPIL

9.09%

BIND

1.96%

Imara Africa Securities
(A division of Imara SP
Reid)
Imara House Block 3, 257
Oxford Road, Illovo
Johannesburg 2146
South Africa
Tel:
+27 11 550 6200
Fax:
+27 11 550 6295

Imara Securities
Angola SCVM
Limitada
Rua Rainha Ginga
74, 13th Floor,
Luanda
Angola
Tel: +244 222 372
029/36
Fax: +244 222 332
340

Imara Capital
Securities
2nd Floor Morojwa
Mews, Unit 6, Plot
74770
Western
Commercial Road
CBD
Gaborone
Botswana
Tel: +267 3188886
Fax +267 3188887
Members of the
Botswana Stock
Exchange

Imara Edwards
Securities (Pvt.) Ltd.
Tendeseka Office Park
1st Floor Block 2
Samora Machel Avenue
Harare
Zimbabwe
Tel: +263 4 790590
Fax: +263 4 791435
4 Fanum House
Cnr. Leopold
Takawira/Josiah
Tongogara Street
Bulawayo
Zimbabwe
Tel: +263 9 74554
Fax: +263 9 66024
Members of the
Zimbabwe Stock
Exchange

Imara S.P. Reid
(Pty) Ltd
Imara House
257 Oxford Road
Illovo 2146
P.O. Box 969
Johannesburg
2000
South Africa
Tel: +27 11 550
6200
Fax: +27 11 550
6295
Members of the
JSE Limited

Stockbrokers
Malawi Ltd
Able House
Cnr. Hanover
Avenue/
Chilembwe
Road
Blantyre
Malawi
Tel: +265
1822803
Members of
the
Malawi Stock
Exchange

Namibia
Equity
Brokers
(Pty) Ltd
1st Floor
City Centre
Building,
West Wing
Levinson
Arcade
Windhoek
Namibia
Tel: +264 61
246666
Fax: +264
61256789
Members of
the
Namibia
Stock
Exchange

Stockbrokers
Zambia Ltd
2nd Floor,
Stock Exchange
Building, Central Park
Cairo Road/
Church Road
P O Box 38956
Lusaka
Zambia
Tel: +260 211 232456
Fax: +260211 224055
Members of the Lusaka
Stock Exchange



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Author                          : Loyiso Hoza
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Create Date                     : 2015:02:10 12:56:16+02:00
Modify Date                     : 2015:02:10 12:56:16+02:00
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