Pls Manual
pls-manual
pls-manual
pls-manual
pls-manual
pls-manual
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Introduction to the pls Package Bjørn-Helge Mevik University Center for Information Technology, University of Oslo Norway Ron Wehrens Biometris, Wageningen University & Research The Netherlands December 18, 2016 Abstract The pls package implements Principal Component Regression (PCR) and Partial Least Squares Regression (PLSR) in R, and is freely available from the CRAN website, licensed under the Gnu General Public License (GPL). The user interface is modelled after the traditional formula interface, as exemplified by lm. This was done so that people used to R would not have to learn yet another interface, and also because we believe the formula interface is a good way of working interactively with models. It thus has methods for generic functions like predict, update and coef. It also has more specialised functions like scores, loadings and RMSEP, and a flexible crossvalidation system. Visual inspection and assessment is important in chemometrics, and the pls package has a number of plot functions for plotting scores, loadings, predictions, coefficients and RMSEP estimates. The package implements PCR and several algorithms for PLSR. The design is modular, so that it should be easy to use the underlying algorithms in other functions. It is our hope that the package will serve well both for interactive data analysis and as a building block for other functions or packages using PLSR or PCR. We will here describe the package and how it is used for data analysis, as well as how it can be used as a part of other packages. Also included is a section about formulas and data frames, for people not used to the R modelling idioms. 1 Introduction This vignette is meant as an introduction to the pls package. It is based on the paper ‘The pls Package: Principal Component and Partial Least Squares Regression in R’, published in Journal of Statistical Software [18]. The PLSR methodology is shortly described in Section 2. Section 3 presents an example session, to get an overview of the package. In Section 4 we describe formulas and data frames (as they are used in pls). Users familiar with formulas and data frames in R can skip this section on first reading. Fitting of models is described in Section 5, and cross-validatory choice of components is discussed in Section 6. Next, inspecting and plotting models is described (Section 7), followed by a section on predicting future observations (Section 8). Finally, Section 9 covers more advanced topics such as parallel computing, setting options, using the underlying functions directly, and implementation details. 1 2 2 THEORY 2 Theory Multivariate regression methods like Principal Component Regression (PCR) and Partial Least Squares Regression (PLSR) enjoy large popularity in a wide range of fields, including the natural sciences. The main reason is that they have been designed to confront the situation that there are many, possibly correlated, predictor variables, and relatively few samples—a situation that is common, especially in chemistry where developments in spectroscopy since the seventies have revolutionised chemical analysis. In fact, the origin of PLSR lies in chemistry (see, e.g., [22, 13]). The field of near-infrared (NIR) spectroscopy, with its highly overlapping lines and difficult to interpret overtones, would not have existed but for a method to obtain quantitative information from the spectra. Also other fields have benefited greatly from multivariate regression methods like PLSR and PCR. In medicinal chemistry, for example, one likes to derive molecular properties from the molecular structure. Most of these Quantitative Structure-Activity Relations (QSAR, and also Quantitative Structure-Property Relations, QSPR), and in particular, Comparative Molecular Field Analysis (ComFA) [2], use PLSR. Other applications range from statistical process control [11] to tumour classification [19] to spatial analysis in brain images [16] to marketing [5]. In the usual multiple linear regression (MLR) context, the least-squares solution for Y = XB + E (1) B = (X T X)−1 X T Y (2) is given by The problem often is that X T X is singular, either because the number of variables (columns) in X exceeds the number of objects (rows), or because of collinearities. Both PCR and PLSR circumvent this by decomposing X into orthogonal scores T and loadings P X = TP (3) and regressing Y not on X itself but on the first a columns of the scores T . In PCR, the scores are given by the left singular vectors of X, multiplied with the corresponding singular values, and the loadings are the right singular vectors of X. This, however, only takes into account information about X, and therefore may be suboptimal for prediction purposes. PLSR aims to incorporate information on both X and Y in the definition of the scores and loadings. In fact, for one specific version of PLSR, called SIMPLS [4], it can be shown that the scores and loadings are chosen in such a way to describe as much as possible of the covariance between X and Y , where PCR concentrates on the variance of X. Other PLSR algorithms give identical results to SIMPLS in the case of one Y variable, but deviate slightly for the multivariate Y case; the differences are not likely to be important in practice. 2.1 Algorithms In PCR, we approximate the X matrix by the first a Principal Components (PCs), usually obtained from the singular value decomposition (SVD): X = X̃ (a) + EX = (U (a) D (a) )V T(a) + EX = T (a) P T(a) + EX 2 THEORY 3 Next, we regress Y on the scores, which leads to regression coefficients B = P (T T T )−1 T T Y = V D −1 U T Y where the subscripts a have been dropped for clarity. For PLSR, the components, called Latent Variables (LVs) in this context, are obtained iteratively. One starts with the SVD of the crossproduct matrix S = X T Y , thereby including information on variation in both X and Y , and on the correlation between them. The first left and right singular vectors, w and q, are used as weight vectors for X and Y , respectively, to obtain scores t and u: t = Xw = Ew (4) u = Y q = Fq (5) where E and F are initialised as X and Y , respectively. The X scores t are often normalised: √ t = t/ tT t (6) The Y scores u are not actually necessary in the regression but are often saved for interpretation purposes. Next, X and Y loadings are obtained by regressing against the same vector t: p = ET t (7) q = FTt (8) Finally, the data matrices are ‘deflated’: the information related to this latent variable, in the form of the outer products tpT and tq T , is subtracted from the (current) data matrices E and F . E n+1 = E n − tpT (9) F n+1 = F n − tq T (10) The estimation of the next component then can start from the SVD of the crossproduct matrix E Tn+1 F n+1 . After every iteration, vectors w, t, p and q are saved as columns in matrices W , T , P and Q, respectively. One complication is that columns of matrix W can not be compared directly: they are derived from successively deflated matrices E and F . It has been shown that an alternative way to represent the weights, in such a way that all columns relate to the original X matrix, is given by R = W (P T W )−1 (11) Now, we are in the same position as in the PCR case: instead of regressing Y on X, we use scores T to calculate the regression coefficients, and later convert these back to the realm of the original variables by pre-multiplying with matrix R (since T = XR): B = R(T T T )−1 T T Y = RT T Y = RQT Again, here, only the first a components are used. How many components are optimal has to be determined, usually by cross-validation. Many alternative formulations can be found in literature. It has been shown, for instance, that only one of X and Y needs to be deflated; alternatively, one can directly deflate the crossproduct matrix S (as is done in SIMPLS, for example). Moreover, there are many equivalent ways of scaling. In the example above, the scores t have been normalised, but one can also choose to introduce normalisation at another point in the algorithm. Unfortunately, this can make it difficult to directly compare the scores and loadings of different PLSR implementations. 3 2.2 EXAMPLE SESSION 4 On the use of PLSR and PCR In theory, PLSR should have an advantage over PCR. One could imagine a situation where a minor component in X is highly correlated with Y ; not selecting enough components would then lead to very bad predictions. In PLSR, such a component would be automatically present in the first LV. In practice, however, there is hardly any difference between the use of PLSR and PCR; in most situations, the methods achieve similar prediction accuracies, although PLSR usually needs fewer latent variables than PCR. Put the other way around: with the same number of latent variables, PLSR will cover more of the variation in Y and PCR will cover more of X. In turn, both behave very similar to ridge regression [6]. It can also be shown that both PCR and PLSR behave as shrinkage methods [9], although in some cases PLSR seems to increase the variance of individual regression coefficients, one possible explanation of why PLSR is not always better than PCR. 3 Example session In this section we will walk through an example session, to get an overview of the package. To be able to use the package, one first has to load it: > library(pls) This prints a message telling that the package has been attached, and that the package implements a function loadings that masks a function of the same name in package stats. (The output of the commands have in some cases been suppressed to save space.) Three example data sets are included in pls: yarn A data set with 28 near-infrared spectra (NIR) of PET yarns, measured at 268 wavelengths, as predictors, and density as response (density) [20]. The data set also includes a logical variable train which can be used to split the data into a training data set of size 21 and test data set of size 7. See ?yarn for details. oliveoil A data set with 5 quality measurements (chemical) and 6 panel sensory panel variables (sensory) made on 16 olive oil samples [15]. See ?oliveoil for details. gasoline A data set consisting of octane number (octane) and NIR spectra (NIR) of 60 gasoline samples [10]. Each NIR spectrum consists of 401 diffuse reflectance measurements from 900 to 1700 nm. See ?gasoline for details. These will be used in the examples that follow. To use the data sets, they must first be loaded: > data(yarn) > data(oliveoil) > data(gasoline) For the rest of the paper, it will be assumed that the package and the data sets have been loaded as above. Also, all examples are run with options(digits = 4). In this section, we will do a PLSR on the gasoline data to illustrate the use of pls. The spectra are shown in Figure 1. We first divide the data set into train and test data sets: > gasTrain <- gasoline[1:50,] > gasTest <- gasoline[51:60,] EXAMPLE SESSION 5 0.6 0.0 log(1/R) 1.2 3 1000 nm 1200 nm 1400 nm 1600 nm Figure 1: Gasoline NIR spectra A typical way of fitting a PLSR model is > gas1 <- plsr(octane ~ NIR, ncomp = 10, data = gasTrain, validation = "LOO") This fits a model with 10 components, and includes leave-one-out (LOO) cross-validated predictions [12]. We can get an overview of the fit and validation results with the summary method: > summary(gas1) Data: X dimension: 50 401 Y dimension: 50 1 Fit method: kernelpls Number of components considered: 10 VALIDATION: RMSEP Cross-validated using 50 leave-one-out segments. (Intercept) 1 comps 2 comps 3 comps 4 comps CV 1.545 1.357 0.2966 0.2524 0.2476 adjCV 1.545 1.356 0.2947 0.2521 0.2478 7 comps 8 comps 9 comps 10 comps CV 0.2386 0.2316 0.2449 0.2673 adjCV 0.2377 0.2308 0.2438 0.2657 TRAINING: 1 X octane 9 X octane % variance explained comps 2 comps 3 comps 78.17 85.58 93.41 29.39 96.85 97.89 comps 10 comps 99.02 99.19 99.28 99.39 4 comps 96.06 98.26 5 comps 96.94 98.86 5 comps 0.2398 0.2388 6 comps 97.89 98.96 6 comps 0.2319 0.2313 7 comps 98.38 99.09 8 comps 98.85 99.16 The validation results here are Root Mean Squared Error of Prediction (RMSEP). There are two cross-validation estimates: CV is the ordinary CV estimate, and adjCV is a bias-corrected CV estimate [17]. (For a LOO CV, there is virtually no difference). It is often simpler to judge the RMSEPs by plotting them: 3 EXAMPLE SESSION 6 0.6 1.0 CV adjCV 0.2 RMSEP 1.4 octane 0 2 4 6 8 10 number of components Figure 2: Cross-validated RMSEP curves for the gasoline data > plot(RMSEP(gas1), legendpos = "topright") This plots the estimated RMSEPs as functions of the number of components (Figure 2). The legendpos argument adds a legend at the indicated position. Two components seem to be enough. This gives an RMSEP of 0.297. As mentioned in the introduction, the main practical difference between PCR and PLSR is that PCR often needs more components than PLSR to achieve the same prediction error. On this data set, PCR would need three components to achieve the same RMSEP. Once the number of components has been chosen, one can inspect different aspects of the fit by plotting predictions, scores, loadings, etc. The default plot is a prediction plot: > plot(gas1, ncomp = 2, asp = 1, line = TRUE) This shows the cross-validated predictions with two components versus measured values (Figure 3). We have chosen an aspect ratio of 1, and to draw a target line. The points follow the target line quite nicely, and there is no indication of a curvature or other anomalies. Other plots can be selected with the argument plottype: > plot(gas1, plottype = "scores", comps = 1:3) This gives a pairwise plot of the score values for the three first components (Figure 4). Score plots are often used to look for patterns, groups or outliers in the data. (For instance, plotting the two first components for a model built on the yarn dataset clearly indicates the experimental design of that data.) In this example, there is no clear indication of grouping or outliers. The numbers in parentheses after the component labels are the relative amount of X variance explained by each component. The explained variances can be extracted explicitly with > explvar(gas1) Comp 1 78.1708 Comp 2 7.4122 Comp 3 7.8242 Comp 4 2.6578 Comp 5 0.8768 Comp 6 0.9466 Comp 7 0.4922 Comp 8 0.4723 Comp 9 Comp 10 0.1688 0.1694 3 EXAMPLE SESSION 7 87 ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ●●●● ●● ● ●● ● ●● ● ●●● ● ●● ● ● ● ●● 86 ● ●● ●● ● 85 predicted 88 89 octane, 2 comps, validation ● ● 84 ● ●● ● 84 85 86 87 88 89 measured Figure 3: Cross-validated predictions for the gasoline data The loading plot (Figure 5) is much used for interpretation purposes, for instance to look for known spectral peaks or profiles: > plot(gas1, "loadings", comps = 1:2, legendpos = "topleft", + labels = "numbers", xlab = "nm") > abline(h = 0) The labels = "numbers" argument makes the plot function try to interpret the variable names as numbers, and use them as x axis labels. A fitted model is often used to predict the response values of new observations. The following predicts the responses for the ten observations in gasTest, using two components: > predict(gas1, ncomp = 2, newdata = gasTest) , , 2 comps 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 octane 87.94 87.25 88.16 84.97 85.15 84.51 87.56 EXAMPLE SESSION 8 ● ● ●● ●● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ●● ●● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ●● Comp 1 (78.2 %) ●● ● ● ●● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ●● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●●● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ●● ● ●● ●● ● ● ●● ● ●● ●● ● ● ●● ● ● ●● ● ● ●● ● ●●● ●● ● Comp 3 (7.8 %) ● ● ●● −0.10 ● ● ● 0.0 ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● 0.2 ● 0.4 −0.10 0.00 0.10 0.3 Figure 4: Score plot for the gasoline data Comp 1 (78.2 %) Comp 2 (7.4 %) −0.1 0.1 0.2 ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● −0.4 ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ●● ● ● ● Comp 2 (7.4 %) ● ● ● ● 0.10 ● ● 1000 0.00 0.10 ● ● 0.00 ● ● ● −0.10 ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ●●● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ●● ●● ● ● ● ● ●● ●● 0.0 ● 0.4 0.10 0.2 0.00 ● −0.4 −0.10 loading value 3 1200 1400 nm Figure 5: Loading plot for the gasoline data 1600 4 58 59 60 FORMULAS AND DATA FRAMES 9 86.85 89.19 87.09 Because we know the true response values for these samples, we can calculate the test set RMSEP: > RMSEP(gas1, newdata = gasTest) (Intercept) 1.5369 6 comps 0.2703 1 comps 1.1696 7 comps 0.3301 2 comps 0.2445 8 comps 0.3571 3 comps 0.2341 9 comps 0.4090 4 comps 0.3287 10 comps 0.6116 5 comps 0.2780 For two components, we get 0.244, which is quite close to the cross-validated estimate above (0.297). 4 Formulas and data frames The pls package has a formula interface that works like the formula interface in R’s standard lm functions, in most ways. This section gives a short description of formulas and data frames as they apply to pls. More information on formulas can be found in the lm help file, in Chapter 11 of ‘An Introduction to R’, and in Chapter 2 of ‘The White Book’ [1]. These are good reads for anyone wanting to understand how R works with formulas, and the user is strongly advised to read them. 4.1 Formulas A formula consists of a left hand side (lhs), a tilde (~), and a right hand side (rhs). The lhs consists of a single term, representing the response(s). The rhs consists of one or more terms separated by +, representing the regressor(s). For instance, in the formula a ~ b + c + d, a is the response, and b, c, and d are the regressors. The intercept is handled automatically, and need not be specified in the formula. Each term represents a matrix, a numeric vector or a factor (a factor should not be used as the response). If the response term is a matrix, a multi-response model is fit. In pls, the right hand side quite often consists of a single term, representing a matrix regressor: y ~ X. It is also possible to specify transformations of the variables. For instance, log(y) ~ msc(Z) specifies a regression of the logarithm of y onto Z after Z has been transformed by Multiplicative Scatter (or Signal) Correction (MSC) [7], a pre-treatment that is very common in infrared spectroscopy. If the transformations contain symbols that are interpreted in the formula handling, e.g., +, * or ^, the terms should be protected with the I() function, like this: y ~ x1 + I(x2 + x3). This specifies two regressors: x1, and the sum of x2 and x3. 4.2 Data frames The fit functions first look for the specified variables in a supplied data frame, and it is advisable to collect all variables there. This makes it easier to know what data has been used for fitting, to keep different variants of the data around, and to predict new data. 5 FITTING MODELS 10 To create a data frame, one can use the data.frame function: if v1, v2 and v3 are factors or numeric vectors, mydata <- data.frame(y = v1, a = v2, b = v3) will result in a data frame with variables named y, a and b. PLSR and PCR are often used with a matrix as the single predictor term (especially when one is working with spectroscopic data). Also, multi-response models require a matrix as the response term. If Z is a matrix, it has to be protected by the ‘protect function’ I() in calls to data.frame: mydata <- data.frame(..., Z = I(Z)). Otherwise, it will be split into separate variables for each column, and there will be no variable called Z in the data frame, so we cannot use Z in the formula. One can also add the matrix to an existing data frame: > mydata <- data.frame(...) > mydata$Z <- Z This will also prevent Z from being split into separate variables. Finally, one can use cbind to combine vectors and matrices into matrices on the fly in the formula. This is most useful for the response, e.g., cbind(y1, y2) ~ X. Variables in a data frame can be accessed with the $ operator, e.g., mydata$y. However, the pls functions access the variables automatically, so the user should never use $ in formulas. 5 Fitting models The main functions for fitting models are pcr and plsr. (They are simply wrappers for the function mvr, selecting the appropriate fit algorithm). We will use plsr in the examples in this section, but everything could have been done with pcr (or mvr). In its simplest form, the function call for fitting models is plsr(formula, ncomp, data) (where plsr can be substituted with pcr or mvr). The argument formula is a formula as described above, ncomp is the number of components one wishes to fit, and data is the data frame containing the variables to use in the model. The function returns a fitted model (an object of class "mvr") which can be inspected (Section 7) or used for predicting new observations (Section 8). For instance: > dens1 <- plsr(density ~ NIR, ncomp = 5, data = yarn) If the response term of the formula is a matrix, a multi-response model is fit, e.g., > dim(oliveoil$sensory) [1] 16 6 > plsr(sensory ~ chemical, data = oliveoil) Partial least squares regression , fitted with the kernel algorithm. Call: plsr(formula = sensory ~ chemical, data = oliveoil) (As we see, the print method simply tells us what type of model this is, and how the fit function was called.) The argument ncomp is optional. If it is missing, the maximal possible number of components are used. Also data is optional, and if it is missing, the variables specified in the formula 5 FITTING MODELS 11 is searched for in the global environment (the user’s workspace). Usually, it is preferable to keep the variables in data frames, but it can sometimes be convenient to have them in the global environment. If the variables reside in a data frame, e.g. yarn, do not be tempted to use formulas like yarn$density ~ yarn$NIR! Use density ~ NIR and specify the data frame with data = yarn as above. There are facilities for working interactively with models. To use only part of the samples in a data set, for instance the first 20, one can use arguments subset = 1:20 or data = yarn[1:20,]. Also, if one wants to try different alternatives of the model, one can use the function update. For instance > trainind <- which(yarn$train == TRUE) > dens2 <- update(dens1, subset = trainind) will refit the model dens1 using only the observations which are marked as TRUE in yarn$train, and > dens3 <- update(dens1, ncomp = 10) will change the number of components to 10. Other arguments, such as formula, can also be changed with update. This can save a bit of typing when working interactively with models (but it doesn’t save computing time; the model is refitted each time). In general, the reader is referred to ‘The White Book’ [1] or ‘An Introduction to R’ for more information about fitting and working with models in R. Missing data can sometimes be a problem. The PLSR and PCR algorithms currently implemented in pls do not handle missing values intrinsically, so observations with missing values must be removed. This can be done with the na.action argument. With na.action = na.omit (the default), any observation with missing values will be removed from the model completely. With na.action = na.exclude, they will be removed from the fitting process, but included as NAs in the residuals and fitted values. If you want an explicit error when there are missing values in the data, use na.action = na.fail. The default na.action can be set with options(), e.g., options(na.action = quote(na.fail)). Standardisation and other pre-treatments of predictor variables are often called for. In pls, the predictor variables are always centered, as a part of the fit algorithm. Scaling can be requested with the scale argument. If scale is TRUE, each variable is standardised by dividing it by its standard deviation, and if scale is a numeric vector, each variable is divided by the corresponding number. For instance, this will fit a model with standardised chemical measurements: > olive1 <- plsr(sensory ~ chemical, scale = TRUE, data = oliveoil) As mentioned earlier, MSC [7] is implemented in pls as a function msc that can be used in formulas: > gas2 <- plsr(octane ~ msc(NIR), ncomp = 10, data = gasTrain) This scatter corrects NIR prior to the fitting, and arranges for new spectra to be automatically scatter corrected (using the same reference spectrum as when fitting) in predict: > predict(gas2, ncomp = 3, newdata = gasTest) There are other arguments that can be given in the fit call: validation is for selecting validation, and ... is for sending arguments to the underlying functions, notably the crossvalidation function mvrCv. For the other arguments, see ?mvr. 6 6 CHOOSING THE NUMBER OF COMPONENTS WITH CROSS-VALIDATION 12 Choosing the number of components with cross-validation Cross-validation, commonly used to determine the optimal number of components to take into account, is controlled by the validation argument in the modelling functions (mvr, plsr and pcr). The default value is "none". Supplying a value of "CV" or "LOO" will cause the modelling procedure to call mvrCv to perform cross-validation; "LOO" provides leaveone-out cross-validation, whereas "CV" divides the data into segments. Default is to use ten segments, randomly selected, but also segments of consecutive objects or interleaved segments (sometimes also referred to as ‘Venetian blinds’) are possible through the use of the argument segment.type. One can also specify the segments explicitly with the argument segments; see ?mvrCv for details. When validation is performed in this way, the model will contain an element comprising information on the out-of-bag predictions (in the form of predicted values, as well as MSEP and R2 values). As a reference, the MSEP error using no components at all is calculated as well. The validation results can be visualised using the plottype = "validation" argument of the standard plotting function. An example is shown in Figure 2 for the gasoline data; typically, one would select a number of components after which the cross-validation error does not show a significant decrease. The decision on how many components to retain will to some extent always be subjective. However, especially when building large numbers of models (e.g., in simulation studies), it can be crucial to have a consistent strategy on how to choose the “optimal” number of components. Two such strategies have been implemented in function selectNcomp. The first is based on the so-called one-sigma heuristic [8] and consists of choosing the model with fewest components that is still less than one standard error away from the overall best model. The second strategy employs a permutation approach, and basically tests whether adding a new component is beneficial at all [21]. It is implemented backwards, again taking the global minimum in the crossvalidation curve as a starting point, and assessing models with fewer and fewer components: as long as no significant deterioration in performance is found (by default on the α = 0.01 level), the algorithm continues to remove components. Applying the function is quite straightforward: > ncomp.onesigma <- selectNcomp(gas2, method = "onesigma", plot = TRUE, + ylim = c(.18, .6)) > ncomp.permut <- selectNcomp(gas2, method = "randomization", plot = TRUE, + ylim = c(.18, .6)) This leads to the plots in Figure 6 – note that graphical arguments can be supplied to customize the plots. In both cases, the global minimum of the crossvalidation curve is indicated with gray dotted lines, and the suggestion for the optimal number of components with a vertical blue dashed line. The left plot shows the width of the one-sigma intervals on which the suggestion is based; the right plot indicates which models have been assessed by the permutation approach through the large blue circles. The two criteria do not always agree (as in this case) but usually are quite close. When a pre-treatment that depends on the composition of the training set is applied, the cross-validation procedure as described above is not optimal, in the sense that the crossvalidation errors are biased downward. As long as the only purpose is to select the optimal number of components, this bias may not be very important, but it is not too difficult to avoid it. The modelling functions have an argument scale that can be used for auto-scaling per 0.6 CHOOSING THE NUMBER OF COMPONENTS WITH CROSS-VALIDATION 0.6 RMSEP 0.5 Abs. minimum Selection 0.3 0.4 0.3 RMSEP 0.5 Abs. minimum Selection 13 0.4 6 ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● 0.2 ● 0.2 ● 0 2 4 6 8 10 0 Number of components 2 4 6 8 10 Number of components Figure 6: The two strategies for suggesting optimal model dimensions: the left plot shows the one-sigma strategy, the right plot the permutation strategy. segment. However, more elaborate methods such as MSC need explicit handling per segment. For this, the function crossval is available. It takes an mvr object and performs the crossvalidation as it should be done: applying the pre-treatment for each segment. The results can be shown in a plot (which looks very similar to Figure 2) or summarised in numbers. > gas2.cv <- crossval(gas2, segments = 10) > plot(MSEP(gas2.cv), legendpos="topright") > summary(gas2.cv, what = "validation") Data: X dimension: 50 401 Y dimension: 50 1 Fit method: kernelpls Number of components considered: 10 VALIDATION: RMSEP Cross-validated using 10 random segments. (Intercept) 1 comps 2 comps 3 comps CV 1.545 1.325 0.2821 0.2590 adjCV 1.545 1.323 0.2802 0.2576 7 comps 8 comps 9 comps 10 comps CV 0.2386 0.2559 0.2676 0.2952 adjCV 0.2338 0.2495 0.2593 0.2841 4 comps 0.2429 0.2393 5 comps 0.2397 0.2363 6 comps 0.2466 0.2406 Applying MSC in this case leads to nearly identical cross-validation estimates of prediction error. When the scaling does not depend on the division of the data into segments (e.g., logscaling), functions crossval and mvrCv give the same results; however, crossval is much slower. 7 INSPECTING FITTED MODELS 14 Cross-validation can be computationally demanding (especially when using the function crossval). Therefore, both mvrCv and crossval can perform the calculations in parallel on a multi-core machine or on several machines. How to do this is described in Section 9.2. 7 Inspecting fitted models A closer look at the fitted model may reveal interesting agreements or disagreements with what is known about the relations between X and Y. Several functions are implemented in pls for plotting, extracting and summarising model components. 7.1 Plotting One can access all plotting functions through the "plottype" argument of the plot method for mvr objects. This is simply a wrapper function calling the actual plot functions; the latter are available to the user as well. The default plot is a prediction plot (predplot), showing predicted versus measured values. Test set predictions are used if a test set is supplied with the newdata argument. Otherwise, if the model was built using cross-validation, the cross-validated predictions are used, otherwise the predictions for the training set. This can be overridden with the which argument. An example of this type of plot can be seen in Figure 3. An optional argument can be used to indicate how many components should be included in the prediction. To assess how many components are optimal, a validation plot (validationplot) can be used such as the one shown in Figure 2; this shows a measure of prediction performance (either RMSEP, MSEP, or R2 ) against the number of components. Usually, one takes the first local minimum rather than the absolute minimum in the curve, to avoid over-fitting. The regression coefficients can be visualised using plottype = "coef" in the plot method, or directly through function coefplot. This allows simultaneous plotting of the regression vectors for several different numbers of components at once. The regression vectors for the gasoline data set using MSC are shown in Figure 7 using the command > plot(gas1, plottype = "coef", ncomp=1:3, legendpos = "bottomleft", + labels = "numbers", xlab = "nm") Note that the coefficients for two components and three components are similar. This is because the third component contributes little to the predictions. The RMSEPs (see Figure 2) and predictions (see Section 8) for two and three components are quite similar. Scores and loadings can be plotted using functions scoreplot (an example is shown in Figure 4) and loadingplot (in Figure 5), respectively. One can indicate the number of components with the comps argument; if more than two components are given, plotting the scores will give a pairs plot, otherwise a scatter plot. For loadingplot, the default is to use line plots. Finally, a ‘correlation loadings’ plot (function corrplot, or plottype = "correlation" in plot) shows the correlations between each variable and the selected components (see Figure 8). These plots are scatter plots of two sets of scores with concentric circles of radii given by radii. Each point corresponds to an X variable. The squared distance between the point and the origin equals the fraction of the variance of the variable explained by the components in the panel. The default values for radii correspond to 50% and 100% explained variance, respectively. INSPECTING FITTED MODELS 15 −2 0 2 octane −4 1 comps 2 comps 3 comps −6 1000 1200 1400 1600 nm −0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 Figure 7: Regression coefficients for the gasoline data Comp 2 (7.4 %) ● ●● ● ● ●● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ●● ●●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●●●● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●●●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●●● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ●● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●●● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●●● ● ● ● ●●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ●●●●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● −1.0 regression coefficient 7 −1.0 −0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 Comp 1 (78.2 %) Figure 8: Correlation loadings plot for the gasoline data 8 PREDICTING NEW OBSERVATIONS 16 The plot functions accept most of the ordinary plot parameters, such as col and pch. If the model has several responses or one selects more than one model size, e.g. ncomp = 4:6, in some plot functions (notably prediction plots (see below), validation plots and coefficient plots) the plot window will be divided and one plot will be shown for each combination of response and model size. The number of rows and columns are chosen automatically, but can be specified explicitly with arguments nRows and nCols. If there are more plots than fit the plot window, one will be asked to press return to see the rest of the plots. 7.2 Extraction Regression coefficients can be extracted using the generic function coef; the function takes several arguments, indicating the number of components to take into account, and whether the intercept is needed (default is FALSE). Scores and loadings can be extracted using functions scores and loadings for X, and Yscores and Yloadings for Y. These also return the percentage of variance explained as attributes. In PLSR, weights can be extracted using the function loading.weights. When applied to a PCR model, the function returns NULL. Note that commands like plot(scores(gas1)) are perfectly correct, and lead to exactly the same plots as using scoreplot. 7.3 Summaries The print method for an object of class "mvr" shows the regression type used, perhaps indicating the form of validation employed, and shows the function call. The summary method gives more information: it also shows the amount of variance explained by the model (for all choices of a, the number of latent variables). The summary method has an additional argument (what) to be able to focus on the training phase or validation phase, respectively. Default is to print both types of information. 8 Predicting new observations Fitted models are often used to predict future observations, and pls implements a predict method for PLSR and PCR models. The most common way of calling this function is predict(mymod, ncomp = myncomp, newdata = mynewdata), where mymod is a fitted model, myncomp specifies the model size(s) to use, and mynewdata is a data frame with new X observations. The data frame can also contain response measurements for the new observations, which can be used to compare the predicted values to the measured ones, or to estimate the overall prediction ability of the model. If newdata is missing, predict uses the data used to fit the model, i.e., it returns fitted values. If the argument ncomp is missing, predict returns predictions for models with 1 component, 2 components, . . ., A components, where A is the number of components used when fitting the model. Otherwise, the model size(s) listed in ncomp are used. For instance, to get predictions from the model built in Section 3, with two and three components, one would use > predict(gas1, ncomp = 2:3, newdata = gasTest[1:5,]) , , 2 comps 8 PREDICTING NEW OBSERVATIONS 51 52 53 54 55 octane 87.94 87.25 88.16 84.97 85.15 17 , , 3 comps 51 52 53 54 55 octane 87.95 87.30 88.21 84.87 85.24 (We predict only the five first test observations, to save space.) The predictions with two and three components are quite similar. This could be expected, given that the regression vectors (Figure 7) as well as the estimated RMSEPs for the two model sizes were similar. One can also specify explicitly which components to use when predicting. This is done by specifying the components in the argument comps. (If both ncomp and comps are specified, comps takes precedence over ncomp.) For instance, to get predictions from a model with only component 2, one can use > predict(gas1, comps = 2, newdata = gasTest[1:5,]) 51 52 53 54 55 octane 87.53 86.30 87.35 85.82 85.32 The results are different from the predictions with two components (i.e., components one and two) above. (The intercept is always included in the predictions. It can be removed by subtracting mymod$Ymeans from the predicted values.) The predict method returns a three-dimensional array, in which the entry (i, j, k) is the predicted value for observation i, response j and model size k. Note that singleton dimensions are not dropped, so predicting five observations for a uni-response model with ncomp = 3 gives an 5 × 1 × 1 array, not a vector of length five. This is to make it easier to distinguish between predictions from models with one response and predictions with one model size. (When using the comps argument, the last dimension is dropped, because the predictions are always from a single model.) One can drop the singleton dimensions explicitly by using drop(predict(...)): > drop(predict(gas1, ncomp = 2:3, newdata = gasTest[1:5,])) 51 2 comps 3 comps 87.94 87.95 9 52 53 54 55 FURTHER TOPICS 87.25 88.16 84.97 85.15 18 87.30 88.21 84.87 85.24 Missing values in newdata are propagated to NAs in the predicted response, by default. This can be changed with the na.action argument. See ?na.omit for details. The newdata does not have to be a data frame. Recognising the fact that the right hand side of PLSR and PCR formulas very often are a single matrix term, the predict method allows one to use a matrix as newdata, so instead of newdataframe <- data.frame(X = newmatrix) predict(..., newdata = newdataframe) one can simply say predict(..., newdata = newmatrix) However, there are a couple of caveats: First, this only works in predict. Other functions that take a newdata argument (such as RMSEP) must have a data frame (because they also need the response values). Second, when newdata is a data frame, predict is able to perform more tests on the supplied data, such as the dimensions and types of variables. Third, with the exception of scaling (specified with the scale argument when fitting the model), any transformations or coding of factors and interactions have to be performed manually if newdata is a matrix. It is often interesting to predict scores from new observations, instead of response values. This can be done by specifying the argument type = "scores" in predict. One will then get a matrix with the scores corresponding to the components specified in comps (ncomp is accepted as a synonym for comps when predicting scores). Predictions can be plotted with the function predplot. This function is generic, and can also be used for plotting predictions from other types of models, such as lm. Typically, predplot is called like this: > predplot(gas1, ncomp = 2, newdata = gasTest, asp = 1, line = TRUE) This plots predicted (with 2 components) versus measured response values. (Note that newdata must be a data frame with both X and Y variables.) 9 Further topics This section presents a couple of slightly technical topics for more advanced use of the package. 9.1 Selecting fit algorithms There are several PLSR algorithms, and the pls package currently implements three of them: the kernel algorithm for tall matrices (many observations, few variables) [3], the classic orthogonal scores algorithm (A.K.A. NIPALS algorithm) [14] and the SIMPLS algorithm [4]. The kernel and orthogonal scores algorithms produce the same results (the kernel algorithm being the fastest of them for most problems). SIMPLS produces the same fit for single-response 9 FURTHER TOPICS 19 octane, 2 comps, test 89 ● 88 ● ● 87 ● ● ● 86 predicted ● 85 ● ● ● 85 86 87 88 89 measured Figure 9: Test set predictions models, but slightly different results for multi-response models. It is also usually faster than the NIPALS algorithm. The factory default is to use the kernel algorithm. One can specify a different algorithm with the method argument; i.e., method = "oscorespls". If one’s personal taste of algorithms does not coincide with the defaults in pls, it can be quite tedious (and error prone) having to write e.g. method = "oscorespls" every time (even though it can be shortened to e.g. me = "o" due to partial matching). Therefore, the defaults can be changed, with the function pls.options. Called without arguments, it returns the current settings as a named list: > pls.options() $mvralg [1] "kernelpls" $plsralg [1] "kernelpls" $cpplsalg [1] "cppls" $pcralg [1] "svdpc" 9 FURTHER TOPICS 20 $parallel NULL $w.tol [1] 2.22e-16 $X.tol [1] 1e-12 The options specify the default fit algorithm of mvr, plsr, and pcr. To return only a specific option, one can use pls.options("plsralg"). To change the default PLSR algorithm for the rest of the session, one can use, e.g. > pls.options(plsralg = "oscorespls") Note that changes to the options only last until R exits. (Earlier versions of pls stored the changes in the global environment so they could be saved and restored, but current CRAN policies do not allow this.) 9.2 Parallel cross-validation Cross-validation is a computationally demanding procedure. A new model has to be fitted for each segment. The underlying fit functions have been optimised, and the implementation of cross-validation that is used when specifying the validation argument to mvr tries to avoid any unneeded calculations (and house-keeping things like the formula handling, which can be surprisingly expensive). Even so, cross-validation can take a long time, for models with large matrices, many components or many segments. By default, the cross-validation calculations in pls is performed serially, on one CPU (core). (In the following, we will use ‘CPU’ to denote both CPUs and cores.) Since version 2.14.0, R has shipped with a package parallel for running calculations in parallel, on multi-CPU machines or on several machines. The pls package can use the facilities of parallel to run the cross-validations in parallel. The parallel package has several ways of running calculations in parallel, and not all of them are available on all systems. Therefore, the support in pls is quite general, so one can select the ways that work well on the given system. To specify how to run calculations in parallel, one sets the option parallel in pls.options. After setting the option, one simply runs cross-validatons as before, and the calculations will be performed in parallel. This works both when using the crossval function and the validation argument to mvr. The parallel specification has effect until it is changed. The default value for parallel is NULL, which specifies that the calculations are done serially, using one CPU. Specifying the value 1 has the same effect. Specifying an integer > 1 makes the calculations use the function mclapply with the given number as the number of CPUs to use. Note: mclapply depends on ‘forking’ which does not exist on MS Windows, so mclapply cannot be used there. Example: pls.options(parallel = 4) # Use mclapply with 4 CPUs gas1.cv <- plsr(octane ~ NIR, ncomp = 10, data = gasTrain, validation = "LOO") 9 FURTHER TOPICS 21 The parallel option can also be specified as a cluster object created by the makeCluster function from the package parallel. Any following cross-validation will then be performed with the function parLapply on that cluster. Any valid cluster specification can be used. The user should stop the cluster with stopCluster(pls.options()$parallel) when it is no longer needed. library(parallel) # Needed for the makeCluster call pls.options(parallel = makeCluster(4, type = "PSOCK")) # PSOCK cluster, 4 CPUs gas1.cv <- plsr(octane ~ NIR, ncomp = 10, data = gasTrain, validation = "LOO") ## later: stopCluster(pls.options()$parallel) Several types of clusters are available: FORK uses forking, so starting the cluster is very quick, however it is not available on MS Windows. PSOCK starts R processes with the Rscript command, which is slower, but is supported on MS Windows. It can also start worker processes on different machines (see ?makeCluster for how). MPI uses MPI to start and communicate with processes. This is the most flexible, but is often slower to start up than the other types. It also dependens on the packages snow and Rmpi to be installed and working. It is especially useful when running batch jobs on a computing cluster, because MPI can interact with the queue system on the cluster to find out which machines to use when the job starts. Here is an example of running a batch job on a cluster using MPI: R script (myscript.R): library(parallel) # for the makeCluster call pls.options(parallel = makeCluster(16, type = "MPI") # MPI cluster, 16 CPUs gas1.cv <- plsr(octane ~ NIR, ncomp = 10, data = gasTrain, validation = "LOO") ## later: save.image(file = "results.RData") stopCluster(pls.options()$parallel) mpi.exit() # stop Rmpi To run the job: mpirun -np 1 R --slave --file=myscript.R The details of how to run mpirun varies between the different MPI implementations and how they interact with the queue system used (if any). The above should work for OpenMPI or Intel MPI running under the Slurm queue system. In other situations, one might have to specify which machines to use with, e.g., the -host or -machinefile switch. 9.3 Package design The pls package is designed such that an interface function mvr handles the formula and data, and calls an underlying fit function (and possibly a cross-validation function) to do the real work. There are several reasons for this design: it makes it easier to implement new algorithms, one can easily skip the time-consuming formula and data handling in computingintensive applications (simulations, etc.), and it makes it easier to use the pls package as a building block in other packages. 9 FURTHER TOPICS 22 The plotting facilities are implemented similarly: the plot method simply calls the correct plot function based on the plottype argument. Here, however, the separate plot functions are meant to be callable interactively, because some people like to use the generic plot function, while others like to use separate functions for each plot type. There are also plot methods for some of the components of fitted models that can be extracted with extract functions, like score and loading matrices. Thus there are several ways to get some plots, e.g.: plot(mymod, plottype = "scores", ...) scoreplot(mymod, ...) plot(scores(mymod), ...) One example of a package that uses pls is lspls, available on CRAN. In that package LS is combined with PLS in a regression procedure. It calls the fit functions of pls directly, and also uses the plot functions to construct score and loading plots. There is also the plsgenomics package, which includes a modified version of (an earlier version of) the SIMPLS fit function simpls.fit. 9.4 Calling fit functions directly The underlying fit functions are called kernelpls.fit, oscorespls.fit, and simpls.fit for the PLSR methods, and svdpc.fit for the PCR method. They all take arguments X, Y, ncomp, and stripped. Arguments X, Y, and ncomp specify X and Y (as matrices, not data frames), and the number of components to fit, respectively. The argument stripped defaults to FALSE. When it is TRUE, the calculations are stripped down to the bare minimum required for returning the X means, Y means, and the regression coefficients. This is used to speed up cross-validation procedures. The fit functions can be called directly, for instance when one wants to avoid the overhead of formula and data handling in repeated fits. As an example, this is how a simple leave-oneout cross-validation for a uni-response-model could be implemented, using the SIMPLS: > > > > > + + + + X <- gasTrain$NIR Y <- gasTrain$octane ncomp <- 5 cvPreds <- matrix(nrow = nrow(X), ncol = ncomp) for (i in 1:nrow(X)) { fit <- simpls.fit(X[-i,], Y[-i], ncomp = ncomp, stripped = TRUE) cvPreds[i,] <- (X[i,] - fit$Xmeans) %*% drop(fit$coefficients) + fit$Ymeans } The RMSEP of the cross-validated predictions are > sqrt(colMeans((cvPreds - Y)^2)) [1] 1.3570 0.2966 0.2524 0.2476 0.2398 which can be seen to be the same as the (unadjusted) CV results for the gas1 model in Section 3. REFERENCES 9.5 23 Formula handling in more detail The handling of formulas and variables in the model fitting is very similar to what happens in the function lm: The variables specified in the formula are looked up in the data frame given in the data argument of the fit function (plsr, pcr or mvr), or in the calling environment if not found in the data frame. Factors are coded into one or more of columns, depending on the number of levels, and on the contrasts option. All (possibly coded) variables are then collected in a numerical model matrix. This matrix is then handed to the underlying fit or cross-validation functions. A similar handling is used in the predict method. The intercept is treated specially in pls. After the model matrix has been constructed, the intercept column is removed. This ensures that any factors are coded as if the intercept was present. The underlying fit functions then center the rest of the variables as a part of the fitting process. (This is intrinsic to the PLSR and PCR algorithms.) The intercept is handled separately. A consequence of this is that explicitly specifying formulas without the intercept (e.g., y ~ a + b - 1) will only result in the coding of any factors to change; the intercept will still be fitted. References [1] John M. Chambers and Trevor J. Hastie. Statistical Models in S. Chapman & Hall, London, 1992. [2] R.D. Cramer, D.E. Patterson, and J.D. Bunce. Comparative molecular-field analysis (ComFA). 1. Effect of shape on binding of steroids to carrier proteins. Journal of the American Chemical Society, 110(18):5959–5967, 1988. [3] B. S. Dayal and J. F. MacGregor. Improved pls algorithms. Journal of Chemometrics, 11(1):73–85, 1997. [4] Sijmen de Jong. SIMPLS: an alternative approach to partial least squares regression. Chemometrics and Intelligent Laboratory Systems, 18:251–263, 1993. [5] C. Fornell and F.L. Bookstein. Two structural equation models – LISREL and PLS applied to consumer-exit voice theory. Journal of Marketing Research, 19(4):440–452, 1982. [6] Ildiko E. Frank and Jerome H. Friedman. A statistical view of some chemometrics regression tools (with discussion). Technometrics, 35(2):109–148, 1993. [7] P. Geladi, D. MacDougall, and H. Martens. Linearization and scatter-correction for NIR reflectance spectra of meat. Applied Spectroscopy, 39:491–500, 1985. [8] T. Hastie, J. Friedman, and R. Tibshirani. The Elements of Statistical Learning: data mining, inference, and prediction. Springer, 2013. 10th printing with corrections. [9] T. Hastie, R. Tibshirani, and J.H. Friedman, editors. The Elements of Statistical Learning. Springer, New York, 2001. [10] John H. Kalivas. Two data sets of near infrared spectra. Chemometrics and Intelligent Laboratory Systems, 37:255–259, 1997. REFERENCES 24 [11] J.V. Kresta, J.F. MacGregor, and T.E. Marlin. Multivariate statistical monitoring of process operating performance. The Canadian Journal of Chemical Engineering, 69(1):35– 47, 1991. [12] Peter A. Lachenbruch and M. Ray Mickey. Estimation of error rates in discriminant analysis. Technometrics, 10(1):1–11, 1968. [13] H. Martens. Reliable and relevant modelling of real world data: a personal account of the development of PLS regression. Chemometrics and Intelligent Laboratory Systems, 58(2):85–95, 2001. [14] Harald Martens and Tormod Næs. Multivariate Calibration. Wiley, Chichester, 1989. [15] D. L. Massart, B. G. M. Vandeginste, L. M. C. Buydens, S. de Jong, P. J. Lewi, and J. Smeyers-Verbeke. Handbook of Chemometrics and Qualimetrics: Part B. Elsevier, 1998. [16] A.R. McIntosh, F.L. Bookstein, J.V. Haxby, and C.L. Grady. Spatial pattern analysis of functional brain images using partial least squares. Neuroimage, 3(3):143–157, 1996. [17] Bjørn-Helge Mevik and Henrik René Cederkvist. Mean squared error of prediction (MSEP) estimates for principal component regression (PCR) and partial least squares regression (PLSR). Journal of Chemometrics, 18(9):422–429, 2004. [18] Bjørn-Helge Mevik and Ron Wehrens. The pls package: Principal component and partial least squares regression in R. Journal of Statistical Software, 18(2):1–24, 2007. [19] D.V. Nguyen and D.M. Rocke. Tumor classification by partial least squares using microarray gene expression data. Bioinformatics, 18(1):39–50, 2002. [20] H. Swierenga, A. P. de Weijer, R. J. van Wijk, and L. M. C. Buydens. Strategy for constructing robust multivariate calibration models. Chemometrics and Intelligent Laboratory Systems, 49(1):1–17, 1999. [21] H. van der Voet. Comparing the predictive accuracy of models using a simple randomization test. Chemom. Intell. Lab. Syst., 25(2):313–323, 1994. [22] S. Wold. Personal memories of the early PLS development. Chemometrics and Intelligent Laboratory Systems, 58(2):83–84, 2001.
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