J2J Quickstart Guide

User Manual: Pdf

Open the PDF directly: View PDF PDF.
Page Count: 6

1 J2J20170828
Job-to-Job Flows: New Statistics on
Worker Flows across Jobs
Overview
Employment statistics predominately focus on job growth, wages and unemployment. While these
headline statistics are undoubtedly important, such figures provide only a partial portrait of the U.S. labor
market. Expanding firms are not the only employers hiring workers; there is an enormous churn of
workers across firms, with even shrinking employers having vacancies to fill. Firms fill vacancies not
only from the pool of unemployed, but also by luring workers away from other firms. At the start of the
last decade, approximately one-third to one-half of all hiring consisted of workers moving from one
employer to another. These job-to-job moves, concentrated among younger workers, appear to be a
primary means of improving job matches between firms and workers, with a typical job-to-job move
resulting in an 8% increase in earnings (Hyatt and McEntarfer, 2012; Fallick, Haltiwanger, and
McEntarfer, 2012). Such job-to-job moves also increase in economic booms and decline sharply in
recessions - in the Great Recession, approximately two-thirds of the fall in hiring came from a decline in
hiring workers already employed (see Figure 1).
Figure 1: Hires and Separations Due to Job Change, National Job-to-Job Flows Data
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
% of employment
J2J job-to-job hire rate J2J job-to-job separation rate
J2J separations to persistent nonemp J2J hires from persistent nonemp
2 J2J20170828
New Job-to-Job Flows (J2J) statistics released by U.S. Census Bureau illuminate this enormous churn of
workers across firms. Using longitudinal administrative data on worker job histories, Job-to-Job Flows
traces worker movements across industries, geographic labor markets, and to and from employment.
These data can be used to decompose employment declines in a particular industry into worker
movements into other industries and worker flows into persistent spells of nonemployment. Worker
separations to persistent nonemployment spells by worker demographics and origin industry are also
available.
Shown in Figure 1 is the national J2J rates series, which decomposes trends in hires and separations since
2000 into flows from one job to another and flows to and from nonemployment. As can be seen in the
figure, there has been a marked decline in the rate of job change in the U.S. since 2000, concentrated in
the two recessions. The fall in the rate of job change during the Great Recession was especially steep,
and the rate of job change only recovered to 2006 levels in 2016.
Specifically, J2J statistics provide:
Rates of job change, by worker age, education, race & ethnicity
Worker separations to persistent nonemployment, by demographics
Hires from persistent nonemployment, by demographics
Origin-destination data for workers changing jobs
Brief Overview of the Main J2J Indicators
This section covers the key variables of interest for new users of the Job-to-Job Flows data. Technical
definitions and descriptions of the full-set of variables are available in the documentation and schema also
available on the J2J release site.
Hires
Main job hires (MHire): Employees with the firm on the last day of the quarter hired sometime during
the quarter. The new job must be primary source of income for worker.
Main job hires are the sum of hires from job-to-job transitions (J2JHire), hires from nonemployment
(NEPersist), and an unpublished residual of hires where previous main jobs become secondary jobs.
These are defined below:
Job-to-job hires (J2JHire): Hires that are part of a job-to-job move with little-to-no
nonemployment between jobs. Job-to-job hires are the sum of EEHire and AQHire, defined
below:
o Within-quarter job-to-job hires (EEHire): Main job hires who separated from their
former main job during the same quarter they started the new job.
o Adjacent-quarter job-to-job hires (AQHire): Main job hires who separated from their
former main job in the quarter prior to starting the new job.
3 J2J20170828
Hires from persistent nonemployment (NEPersist): Main job hires not employed on the first
day of this quarter or the first day of the previous quarter.
Separations
Main job separations (MSep): Employees with the firm on the first day of the quarter who separate
sometime during the quarter. The old job must be the primary source of income for the worker.
Main job separations are the sum of separations due to job-to-job transitions (J2JSep), separations to
nonemployment (ENPersist), and an unpublished residual of separations where previous secondary jobs
become main jobs. These are defined below:
Job-to-job separations (J2JSep): Separations that are part of a job-to-job move with little-to-no
observed nonemployment between jobs. Job-to-job hires are the sum of EESep and AQSep,
defined below.
o Within-quarter job-to-job separations (EESep): Main job separations who start a new
main job during the same quarter they leave the old main job.1
o Adjacent-quarter job-to-job separations (AQSep): Main job separations who start a
new main job in the quarter following their job separation.
Separations to persistent nonemployment (ENPersist): Main job separations who were not
employed on the last day of this quarter or the last day of the subsequent quarter.
Employment
Employment, start of quarter (MainB): Employment in primary jobs, first day of the quarter.
Employment, end of quarter (MainE): Employment in primary jobs, last day of the quarter.
Rates
The denominator for rates is the average employment over the quarter, or the average of main jobs held at
the start and end of the quarter (MainB and MainE). Rates corresponding to the variables listed above
have the same name but end with an R (for example, the rate corresponding to job-to-job hires, J2JHire,
is the job-to-job hiring rate, J2JHireR).
Structure of the J2J Data
The J2J data contain two distinct sets of files. The main files tabulate hires and separations resulting
from job change as well as hires and separations to nonemployment. These data are provided at the
national level, by firm size and age, by worker education, sex, age, and race/ethnicity. The second set of
1 At the national level, EESep and EEHire are equivalent. However, within a particular industry or sub-national
geographic area, the wedge between job-to-job hires and separations represents the net inflow (or outflow) of
workers from the industry or state due to workers changing jobs.
4 J2J20170828
files contain national and state level, by industry origin-destination job-to-job data for the subset of hires
where the worker separated from their previous main job either in that same quarter or the previous
quarter (job transitions involving fairly long spells of nonemployment between jobs are not included).
These origin-destination data are provided at the origin-state/destination-state, origin-state-
industry/destination-state-industry, origin-state/destination-state by worker demographics, origin-state-
firm-size/destination-state-firm-size, origin-state-firm-age/destination-state-firm-age. Later releases of
the J2J data may include more detailed tabulations and cross-tabulations than those provided in the beta
release.
It is recommended that you use seasonally adjusted data when available, as the hires and separations data
is highly seasonal.
A longer document describing the Job-to-Job Flows data and the methodology used to derive the statistics
is Job-to-Job Flows: New Statistics on Worker Reallocation and Job Turnover, available on the LEHD
website. A schema is also provided on the website, which provides a full list of variable names, flags,
and value labels for the tabulation levels.
Availability of the J2J Data
The available quarters of J2J data vary by geography. The table below provides the starting quarter that
data is available for each region, and the ending quarter if the state is not in active production.
Region
Initial Quarter
Latest Quarter
United States
2000Q2
Latest available
Alabama
2001Q2
Latest available
Alaska
2000Q2
Latest available
Arkansas
2002Q4
Latest available
Arizona
2004Q2
Latest available
California
2000Q2
Latest available
Colorado
2001Q2
Latest available
Connecticut
2010Q2
Latest available
Delaware
2000Q2
Latest available
District of Columbia
2005Q3
Latest available
Florida
2000Q2
Latest available
Georgia
2001Q2
Latest available
Hawaii
2000Q2
Latest available
Idaho
2000Q2
2015Q3
Illinois
2000Q2
Latest available
Indiana
2001Q2
Latest available
Iowa
2000Q2
Latest available
5 J2J20170828
Region
Initial Quarter
Latest Quarter
Kansas
2000Q2
Latest available
Kentucky
2001Q2
Latest available
Louisiana
2002Q4
Latest available
Maine
2004Q2
Latest available
Maryland
2005Q3
Latest available
Massachusetts
2010Q2
Latest available
Michigan
2000Q4
Latest available
Minnesota
2000Q2
Latest available
Mississippi
2003Q4
Latest available
Missouri
2000Q2
Latest available
Montana
2001Q2
2015Q3
Nebraska
2000Q2
Latest available
Nevada
2001Q2
Latest available
New Hampshire
2010Q2
Latest available
New Jersey
2000Q2
Latest available
New Mexico
2004Q2
Latest available
New York
2000Q2
Latest available
North Carolina
2000Q2
Latest available
North Dakota
2001Q2
2015Q3
Ohio
2001Q2
Latest available
Oklahoma
2000Q2
Latest available
Oregon
2000Q2
Latest available
Pennsylvania
2000Q2
Latest available
Rhode Island
2010Q2
Latest available
South Carolina
2000Q2
Latest available
South Dakota
2000Q2
Latest available
Tennessee
2002Q4
Latest available
Texas
2000Q2
Latest available
Utah
2001Q2
Latest available
Vermont
2010Q2
Latest available
Virginia
2005Q3
Latest available
Washington
2000Q2
Latest available
West Virginia
2001Q2
Latest available
Wisconsin
2000Q2
Latest available
Wyoming
2001Q2
2014Q3
6 J2J20170828
Beta Release
This is a beta release from the U.S. Census Bureau of new national statistics on worker reallocation. We
welcome your feedback and comments during this beta release to help us further develop the product, the
documentation, and accompanying data applications.
References
Fallick, Bruce, John Haltiwanger, and Erika McEntarfer “Job-to-Job Flows and the Consequences of Job
Separations.FEDS Working Paper 2012-73. Available at
http://www.federalreserve.gov/pubs/feds/2012/201273/201273pap.pdf (463 KB).
Hyatt, Henry and Erika McEntarfer. 2012. “Job-to-Job Flows in the Great Recession.American
Economic Review, 102(3): 580-83.
Links
LEHD Website: https://lehd.ces.census.gov/
J2J Data: https://lehd.ces.census.gov/data/j2j_beta.html
J2J Explorer: https://j2jexplorer.ces.census.gov/index.html
Send feedback and comments to CES.J2J.Feedback@census.gov

Navigation menu